RTX

RTX

$195.20

+0.15%
Jul 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
RTX Corporation is a premier aerospace and defense manufacturer formed from the merger of United Technologies and Raytheon, supplying commercial aerospace components, aircraft engines, and defense systems through its Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon segments. As a top-tier defense prime and diversified aerospace supplier, RTX holds a unique dual-exposure to both commercial aviation recovery and rising global defense budgets. The current investor narrative centers on the company's ability to capitalize on heightened geopolitical tensions—recent U.S.-Iran strikes have boosted defense stocks—while navigating commercial aerospace supply chain challenges and the massive $1.2 trillion Golden Dome missile defense program that presents both opportunity and execution risk.

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RTX 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $195.20
Average Target $195.20
High Target $224.48
Low Target $165.92

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on RTX's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $253.76 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$253.76

8 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

8

covering this stock

Price Range

$156 - $254

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (25%)
Hold
4 (50%)
Sell
2 (25%)

RTX is covered by 8 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish: the distribution includes 4 Buy/Overweight ratings, 2 Neutral, and no Sell ratings (based on institutional ratings data). The average analyst target price is not directly provided, but using the estimated EPS average of $9.86 and a forward P/E of 26.29x implies a target of ~$259, representing approximately +30% upside from the current price of $199.25. The consensus recommendation is a Buy, reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory. The target range spans from a low of $9.69 EPS estimate (implying ~$255 at 26.3x) to a high of $10.06 EPS (implying ~$265), suggesting a relatively tight spread of about 4%. This narrow range indicates strong conviction among analysts, likely due to the visibility of defense spending and commercial aerospace recovery. Recent rating actions show stability: Citigroup maintained Buy, UBS downgraded from Buy to Neutral in January 2026, but other firms like RBC Capital and JP Morgan have maintained positive ratings. The lack of downgrades and the consistent Buy ratings support a favorable outlook, though the UBS downgrade warrants monitoring for potential sentiment shifts.

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RTX Technical Analysis

RTX is in a sustained uptrend over the long term, with a 1-year price change of +37.87%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's +19.1%. The stock currently trades at $199.25, which is 92.9% of its 52-week range ($142.98–$214.50), positioning it near the upper end of the range. This suggests strong momentum but also implies the stock is pricing in optimistic expectations, leaving limited room for error. Over the past month, RTX has surged 14.34%, accelerating sharply from the 3-month change of +1.55%, which indicates a recent bullish catalyst—likely the geopolitical escalation with Iran. However, the 1-year trend remains positive, and the 1-month relative strength of +15.59% versus the S&P 500 confirms strong near-term outperformance. The stock's beta of 0.298 is remarkably low, meaning it is about 70% less volatile than the market, which is unusual for a defense stock and suggests the stock has been less sensitive to broad market swings. Key support lies at the 52-week low of $142.98, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $214.50. A breakout above $214.50 would signal a continuation of the uptrend and likely attract momentum buyers, while a breakdown below $142.98 would negate the long-term bullish structure. The low beta implies that RTX may offer a defensive profile, but the recent price action shows it can still rally sharply on sector-specific news.

Beta

0.30

0.30x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-19.3%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$144-$215

Price range past year

Annual Return

+33.5%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodRTX ReturnS&P 500
1m+7.5%+2.0%
3m-3.2%+10.6%
6m+3.6%+8.3%
1y+33.5%+20.4%
ytd+4.2%+10.2%

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RTX Fundamental Analysis

RTX's revenue trajectory is solidly growing, with Q4 2025 revenue of $24.24 billion, up 12.09% year-over-year from $21.62 billion in Q4 2024. The multi-quarter trend shows accelerating growth: Q1 2025 revenue was $20.31 billion, Q2 $21.58 billion, Q3 $22.48 billion, and Q4 $24.24 billion, indicating sequential acceleration. The three primary segments—Collins Aerospace ($15.36B), Pratt & Whitney ($17.13B), and Raytheon ($14.66B)—all contribute significantly, with Pratt & Whitney being the largest. This balanced diversification reduces reliance on any single end-market. The company is profitable, with Q4 2025 net income of $1.62 billion and a net margin of 6.69%. Gross margin has been relatively stable around 19.5% in recent quarters, though it dipped slightly from 20.4% in Q3 2025 to 19.5% in Q4 2025, suggesting some cost pressure. Operating margin improved from 8.57% in Q4 2024 to 9.45% in Q4 2025, indicating operational leverage. RTX maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.61 and a current ratio of 1.03, indicating adequate liquidity. Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months is $7.94 billion, providing ample capacity for dividends and investments. The ROE of 10.32% is respectable for an industrial company, and the free cash flow yield (FCF/market cap) is approximately 3.2%, which is reasonable for a defense contractor.

Quarterly Revenue

$24.2B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+12.09%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

19.46%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$7.9B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Collins Aerospace Systems
Raytheon Intelligence & Space
Pratt and Whitney

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Valuation Analysis: Is RTX Overvalued?

Since RTX has positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 36.53x, while the forward P/E is 26.29x, implying the market expects earnings growth of about 39% over the next year. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests investors are pricing in a significant earnings recovery, likely driven by defense spending and commercial aerospace recovery. Compared to the industry average P/E of 22.0x (estimated from sector data), RTX trades at a 66% premium on a trailing basis. This premium is partially justified by RTX's superior growth (12% revenue growth vs. industry average of ~5%) and its dual exposure to commercial and defense markets, but it also reflects the market's optimism about future earnings. Historically, RTX's trailing P/E has ranged from 19x to 38x over the past five years. The current 36.5x is near the top of that range, indicating that the stock is priced for perfection. The P/B ratio of 3.77x is also elevated compared to the historical average of ~2.5x, further suggesting the stock is not cheap. The PEG ratio of 0.91x (based on forward earnings growth) suggests the stock may be reasonably valued relative to its growth rate, but this depends on the company delivering the expected earnings acceleration.

PE

36.5x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -26x~299x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

18.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple