Sidus Space, Inc.

Based on the provided data, here is a comprehensive analysis of SIDU.

Technical Analysis The stock has experienced a parabolic rally followed by a sharp correction. While the three-month performance is exceptionally strong, the extreme volatility and recent steep decline suggest a cooling-off period. Trading near the midpoint of its yearly range indicates uncertainty, and the highly negative beta means its price action is largely disconnected from the broader market, adding a layer of unpredictability.

Fundamental Analysis SIDU's fundamentals are deeply concerning. The company is fundamentally unprofitable, with a negative gross profit margin and significant operating losses. Critically negative cash flow and an inability to cover interest payments from earnings point to severe financial distress. Operational metrics like negative returns on equity and assets confirm the business is highly inefficient and not currently viable.

Valuation & Risk Valuation metrics are largely irrelevant due to the lack of profitability, though the high Price-to-Book ratio suggests the market is pricing in speculative future growth. The risks are substantial, characterized by extreme price volatility, a high maximum drawdown, and critical fundamental weaknesses that pose a serious threat to the company's ongoing viability.

Investment Recommendation

SIDU is not worth buying for the vast majority of investors. This is a highly speculative stock whose price appreciation appears detached from its alarming fundamental reality. The company's unsustainable losses, negative cash flow, and poor operational health represent extreme risks that far outweigh the potential for short-term volatility trades. Investors should avoid this stock until there is clear, fundamental evidence of a viable business model and a path to profitability.

*This is not investment advice, for reference only.*

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Based on the analysis provided, the 12-month outlook for SIDU is extremely bearish and speculative. The key potential catalyst is purely sentiment-driven, such as a retail trading frenzy or a significant, unexpected positive business development, which is highly unlikely given the company's financial state. The risks are severe and fundamental, including the high probability of continued financial distress, potential dilution, or even bankruptcy due to its unsustainable losses and negative cash flow. Given the extreme disconnect between price and fundamentals, any price target is unreliable, but the significant downside risk suggests the stock could trade materially lower, potentially well below its current level of $2.29, as the speculative premium erodes.

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about Sidus Space, Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $2.29, indicating expected upside potential.

Overall, SIDU has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

SIDU has demonstrated extreme volatility coupled with significant long-term appreciation over three months. Despite a sharp recent pullback, the stock has dramatically outperformed the market.

The 1-month plunge of -37.77% indicates severe recent pressure, completely overshadowing the staggering 179.81% 3-month gain. However, the +177.96% relative strength confirms this rally was exceptionally strong against the broader market, though its negative beta suggests counter-trend behavior.

Currently trading at $2.29, SIDU sits approximately 58% above its 52-week low but 58% below its high, positioning it near the midpoint of its yearly range. Given the extreme negative beta and recent sharp decline from the highs, the stock appears to be in a corrective, potentially oversold phase following its parabolic advance.

Revenue & Profitability: SIDU's Q3 2025 performance shows severe profitability challenges with a gross profit margin of -100%, indicating costs of revenue exceed total revenue. The company's operating loss deepened to -$5.63 million, resulting in a net income ratio of -4.65%, reflecting unsustainable operational efficiency as expenses substantially outpace revenue generation.

Financial Health: The company maintains a reasonable current ratio of 1.38, but the cash flow situation is critical with an operating cash flow to sales ratio of -4.79 and negative cash flow to debt ratio of -0.62. While the debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 appears moderate, the negative interest coverage of -12.98 indicates inability to service debt obligations from operating earnings.

Operational Efficiency: Operational metrics show significant inefficiencies with return on equity at -25.2% and return on assets at -15.1%. The asset turnover of just 0.03 suggests poor utilization of company assets to generate revenue, while the high days sales outstanding of 233 days indicates problematic accounts receivable collection periods.

Valuation Level Negative trailing and forward P/E ratios indicate the company is currently unprofitable, making traditional P/E analysis meaningless for valuation assessment. The negative EV/EBITDA further confirms significant earnings challenges, though the surprisingly low PEG ratio (calculated from forward estimates) suggests extremely high growth expectations are priced in relative to earnings projections. The elevated P/B ratio of 6.1 signals the market is valuing the company's equity at a substantial premium to its book value.

Peer Comparison A direct peer comparison cannot be conducted due to the unavailability of industry average data. However, a P/B ratio of 6.1 is generally considered high and typically implies the market anticipates significant future growth or profitability improvements not reflected in the current asset base. Without industry benchmarks, it is difficult to determine if this premium is justified relative to sector norms.

Volatility Risk: With a Beta of -1.652, this stock exhibits pronounced inverse volatility relative to the broader market, suggesting significant price fluctuations that trend counter to major indices. The exceptionally high maximum drawdown of -74.73% over the past year confirms extreme volatility and substantial capital erosion potential for investors, indicating a highly unstable price history that should compel caution.

Other Risks: While the absence of notable short interest suggests limited immediate downward pressure from bearish speculation, this does not negate underlying fundamental or liquidity concerns. The lack of reported short interest could reflect extremely low trading volume or limited market participation, which itself presents liquidity risk and potential for dramatic price gaps on even modest order flow.