SIVR

SIVR

The abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF provides exposure to silver by holding physical bullion through a commodity brokerage vehicle.
It offers direct investment in the precious metal, serving as a straightforward tool for hedging inflation or diversifying a portfolio with a tangible asset.

$88.78 +6.23 (+7.55%)

Updated: January 14, 2026, 16:00 EST

Analyzed by Rockflow Bobby Quantitative Model ✓ Updated Daily

Investment Opinion: Should I buy SIVR Today?

Of course, here is a comprehensive analysis of whether SIVR is worth buying.

Based on the provided technical data, SIVR is not a typical stock but appears to be an ETF focused on silver. Its performance is driven directly by the price of silver, not by company fundamentals like revenue or profits. This explains the lack of fundamental data.

The fund has demonstrated explosive growth, surging over 76% in three months, heavily outperforming the market. However, this comes with high volatility, as shown by its beta of 1.44. Currently trading near its 52-week high, the price action suggests the rally is strong but may be overbought, indicating a potential for a near-term pullback.

Buy Recommendation:

SIVR is a pure play on the silver commodity. The decision to buy hinges entirely on your outlook for silver prices. The technical trend is powerfully bullish, but the risk of a sharp correction is high given the recent massive gains and inherent volatility. It is best suited for investors with a high tolerance for risk who have a strong conviction that silver prices will continue to rise. For most investors seeking diversified, long-term growth, this may be too speculative.

*(Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.)*

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SIVR 12-Month Price Forecast

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Based on the provided analysis, here is a 12-month outlook for SIVR:

The primary catalyst for SIVR remains a constructive outlook for the price of silver, which could be driven by sustained industrial demand, persistent geopolitical tensions supporting its safe-haven status, and potential monetary policy shifts that weaken the US dollar. The key risk is the inherent volatility of the commodity itself; after a powerful rally that may have left the ETF overbought, SIVR is highly susceptible to a sharp correction, especially if macroeconomic conditions become less favorable for precious metals. Given its nature as a commodity ETF tracking spot prices, there is no traditional analyst target price; therefore, performance will be a direct function of silver's price movement, with the potential for significant swings in either direction over the next year.

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about SIVR's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $88.78, indicating expected upside potential.

Average Target
$88.78
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
0
covering this stock
Price Range
$71 - $115
Analyst target range
Buy Buy
0 (0%)
Hold Hold
0 (0%)
Sell Sell
0 (0%)

Bulls vs Bears: SIVR Investment Factors

Overall, SIVR has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

Bullish Bullish
  • Strong Price Momentum: Silver prices surged to multi-week highs amid broad precious metal rally.
  • Industrial Demand Support: Supply deficit and industrial usage provide fundamental support for prices.
  • Hedge Against Inflation: Silver ETFs offer protection against monetary debasement and inflation concerns.
  • Potential 2026 Outperformance: Analysts suggest silver ETFs could outperform gold due to structural factors.
Bearish Bearish
  • Parabolic Rally Risks: Some analysts warn of 20-30% pullback potential after sharp gains.
  • Speculative Excess Concerns: Rapid price increases may indicate overheated market conditions.
  • Economic Sensitivity: Silver demand fluctuates with industrial cycles and economic uncertainty.
  • Currency Correlation Risk: Dollar strength and Fed policy could pressure precious metal prices.
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SIVR Technical Analysis

Of course. Here is the technical analysis of SIVR's price performance.

Overall Assessment SIVR has demonstrated exceptionally strong bullish momentum over the recent quarter, significantly outperforming the broader market.

Short-term Performance The stock has experienced explosive growth, with a 76.2% surge over three months heavily outpacing the market by nearly 73%, indicating powerful bullish sentiment. While remarkably strong, the elevated beta of 1.44 signals this performance has come with high volatility, and the substantial 36.51% gain in just one month suggests the rally may be undergoing a near-term consolidation.

Current Position Trading at $82.55, SIVR is positioned near the top of its 52-week range (high: $84.83, low: $27.86), indicating it is in a technically strong uptrend but also approaching a key resistance level. Given its proximity to the 52-week high and the magnitude of the recent gains, the stock is in an overbought condition, which, combined with a relatively modest maximum drawdown of -13.63% over the past year, highlights the persistent and concentrated buying pressure.

📊 Beta
1.44
1.44x market volatility
📉 Max Drawdown
-13.6%
Largest decline past year
📈 52-Week Range
$28-$89
Price range past year
💹 Annual Return
+203.0%
Cumulative gain past year
Period SIVR Return S&P 500
1m +50.8% +1.3%
3m +86.9% +5.7%
6m +156.3% +10.6%
1y +203.0% +16.5%
ytd +28.6% +1.1%

SIVR Fundamental Analysis

Of course. Here is a fundamental analysis based on the limited information provided.

1. Revenue & Profitability

Based on the data provided, a standard revenue and profitability analysis cannot be conducted. The absence of recent quarterly reports and financial ratios means critical metrics like sales growth, gross margin, and net income trends are unavailable. Without this foundational data, it is impossible to assess the company's current earning power or its ability to control costs relative to its revenue.

2. Financial Health

The financial health of the company is similarly unquantifiable from the given information. Key indicators of stability, such as the debt-to-equity ratio, interest coverage, and operating cash flow, are not present. This lack of data prevents any assessment of the company's leverage, liquidity position, or its capacity to meet financial obligations, representing a significant gap in the analysis.

3. Operational Efficiency

Operational efficiency cannot be evaluated due to the complete lack of reported financial data. Standard efficiency metrics like Return on Equity (ROE), asset turnover, and inventory days are essential for understanding how effectively management is utilizing company assets to generate profits. The unavailability of these ratios makes it impossible to comment on the company's operational performance or competitive standing.

Quarterly Revenue
N/A
2025-09
Revenue YoY Growth
N/A
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
N/A%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is SIVR Overvalued?

Based on the limited data provided, a comprehensive valuation analysis for SIVR is not possible. All key valuation metrics—PE (both trailing and forward), PB, PS, PEG, and EV/EBITDA—are listed as "N/A." This lack of data prevents any meaningful assessment of whether the stock is overvalued or undervalued relative to its own earnings, assets, or sales.

Furthermore, a peer comparison cannot be conducted as the required industry average data has also been noted as unavailable. Without both the company's specific financial ratios and relevant industry benchmarks, it is impossible to position SIVR's valuation within its market context or against its competitors. A definitive analysis would require access to these fundamental financial figures.

Current PE
N/Ax
TTM
vs. Historical
N/A
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A×
EV/EBITDA
N/Ax
Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure

📈 Volatility Risk Analysis

SIVR demonstrates elevated volatility risk with a beta of 1.44, indicating it is 44% more volatile than the broader market. This heightened sensitivity to market movements is further evidenced by a significant one-year maximum drawdown of -13.63%, suggesting substantial downside potential during market downturns. Investors should be prepared for amplified price swings relative to the overall market.

⚠️ Other Risks Analysis

While short interest data is not applicable, the primary risks for SIVR likely stem from its liquidity profile and concentration in silver assets. As a commodity ETF, it faces inherent risks from silver price fluctuations, which are driven by industrial demand, currency movements, and macroeconomic factors. The absence of short interest does not mitigate risks related to metal-specific volatility or potential liquidity constraints during periods of market stress.

FAQs

Is SIVR a good stock to buy?

Neutral. While SIVR exhibits powerful bullish momentum driven by strong industrial demand and its role as an inflation hedge, the ETF is technically overbought and carries high volatility (beta 1.44), increasing near-term pullback risks (~20-30%). This suits speculative investors comfortable with high volatility, but the lack of fundamental data makes it less ideal for traditional value or income-focused investors.

Is SIVR stock overvalued or undervalued?

Based on the provided data, it is impossible to determine if SIVR is overvalued or undervalued. All primary valuation metrics (PE, PB, PS) are unavailable, preventing comparison to industry averages or historical levels. The lack of data suggests either the stock is not a typical publicly-traded company (e.g., it could be an ETF) or its financial data cannot be calculated due to missing or negative figures like earnings, making a standard valuation assessment impossible. A definitive judgment requires accessible financial statements and meaningful ratios.

What are the main risks of holding SIVR?

Based on the available information, here are the key risks of holding the Aberdeen Standard Physical Silver Shares ETF (SIVR):

1. Commodity Price Risk: The fund’s value is directly tied to the spot price of silver, making it highly susceptible to volatility driven by industrial demand fluctuations, currency movements, and macroeconomic factors unrelated to the fund's management. 2. High Volatility Risk: With a beta of 1.44, SIVR is significantly more volatile than the broader market, leading to amplified price swings and a substantial potential for short-term losses, as evidenced by its recent explosive gains and proximity to a 52-week high. 3. Concentration and Liquidity Risk: The fund is concentrated solely in physical silver, lacking diversification, and may face liquidity constraints during periods of market stress, which could exacerbate price declines or create difficulties in trading.

What is the price forecast for SIVR in 2026?

Based on the analysis of silver's fundamental drivers, here is a forecast for the SIVB ETF (SIVR) for 2026.

Our base case target for SIVR in 2026 is a range of $85 to $95, while a bull case scenario could see prices reach $110 to $120, driven by sustained industrial demand from the green energy transition, its role as an inflation hedge amid potential Fed easing, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. The primary assumptions are that silver's structural supply deficit persists and macroeconomic conditions remain broadly supportive for commodities. It is critical to note that this forecast carries significant uncertainty, as SIVR's performance is entirely dependent on highly volatile spot silver prices, making it susceptible to sharp corrections based on shifts in dollar strength or global growth outlooks.