SNOW

Snowflake Inc.

$268.65

+2.75%
Jul 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Snowflake Inc. operates a fully managed cloud data platform that enables centralized analytics, data engineering, and AI workloads across multiple public clouds. As a pioneer in cloud-native data warehousing and data lake solutions, Snowflake has carved out a distinct competitive position as a platform company serving Fortune 2000 enterprises in financial services, media, and retail. The current investor narrative centers on Snowflake's accelerating revenue growth, driven by its AI and data sharing capabilities, while the stock has rebounded sharply from its April lows amid broader tech optimism and analyst upgrades.

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SNOW 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $268.65
Average Target $268.65
High Target $308.95
Low Target $228.35

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Snowflake Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $349.25 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$349.25

11 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

11

covering this stock

Price Range

$215 - $349

Analyst target range

Buy
3 (27%)
Hold
5 (46%)
Sell
3 (27%)

Snowflake is covered by 11 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish: 7 Buy ratings, 3 Overweight, and 1 Neutral (no Sell ratings). The average analyst price target is not explicitly provided, but based on the estimated EPS of $5.96 and a forward PE of 97.3x, the implied price target is approximately $580 (5.96 * 97.3), representing a 122% upside from the current price of $261.45. This suggests strong bullish sentiment, though the wide range of EPS estimates ($5.68 to $6.22) indicates some uncertainty. The consensus recommendation is effectively a Buy, with most firms maintaining or reiterating their ratings in February 2026. The high target of $6.22 EPS implies a price of ~$605, assuming the same multiple, while the low target of $5.68 EPS implies ~$553. The spread of about 9% in EPS estimates is relatively tight, indicating reasonable conviction among analysts. Recent ratings actions show no downgrades, with firms like Stifel, TD Cowen, and JP Morgan reaffirming Buy/Overweight ratings. The bullish consensus reflects confidence in Snowflake's AI-driven growth and improving margins, though the wide gap between current price and target suggests the market is pricing in execution risk.

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SNOW Technical Analysis

Snowflake's 1-year price change of +21.9% reflects a strong recovery from a deep drawdown, with the stock currently trading at $261.45, approximately 91.7% of its 52-week high of $284.99 and well above the 52-week low of $118.30. This positioning near the upper end of the range suggests bullish momentum but also raises caution about potential overextension given the stock's beta of 1.353, indicating 35.3% more volatility than the S&P 500. The prevailing trend is a sustained uptrend since the May earnings gap, though the stock remains below its all-time highs. Short-term momentum is robust, with a 1-month price change of +9.0% and a 3-month change of +115.9%, dramatically outperforming the S&P 500's 1-month and 3-month returns of 4.1% and 11.1%, respectively. The 3-month surge, however, diverges from the more moderate 1-year gain, suggesting the recent rally may be driven by a catalyst (likely earnings) rather than a gradual trend. This divergence could signal a potential mean reversion if the catalyst fades, but the relative strength indicators (1-month RS of 4.9, 3-month RS of 104.8) confirm strong near-term momentum. Key support lies at the 52-week low of $118.30, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $284.99. A breakout above $285 would signal a resumption of the long-term uptrend and likely attract momentum buyers, while a breakdown below the recent consolidation zone near $225 could indicate a trend reversal. With a beta of 1.353, Snowflake is more volatile than the market, amplifying both upside and downside moves, which is critical for position sizing.

Beta

1.35

1.35x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-56.3%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$118-$285

Price range past year

Annual Return

+27.4%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodSNOW ReturnS&P 500
1m+15.4%+1.0%
3m+98.3%+7.9%
6m+30.3%+8.5%
1y+27.4%+20.1%
ytd+24.0%+9.9%

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SNOW Fundamental Analysis

Snowflake's revenue trajectory is accelerating, with Q4 FY2026 (ending January 31, 2026) revenue of $1.284 billion, up 30.1% year-over-year, compared to 28.5% growth in the prior quarter. Product revenue, which constitutes 95.5% of total revenue, reached $1.227 billion, while professional services contributed $57.4 million. The multi-quarter trend shows consistent acceleration from 24.5% YoY growth in Q1 FY2026 to 30.1% in Q4, driven by increased customer adoption of AI and data sharing workloads. This growth trajectory supports the investment case that Snowflake is capturing a growing share of the enterprise data platform market. Despite strong revenue growth, Snowflake remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis, with a net loss of $309.6 million in Q4 FY2026, though the net loss margin improved to -24.1% from -33.2% in the year-ago quarter. Gross margin expanded to 66.8% from 66.2% a year earlier, reflecting improving scale efficiencies. Operating margin also improved to -24.8% from -39.2% in Q4 FY2025, indicating progress toward profitability, though the company still faces significant stock-based compensation expenses. Snowflake's balance sheet is healthy, with $2.83 billion in cash and equivalents at the end of Q4 FY2026 and a current ratio of 1.30. The company generated $781.2 million in operating cash flow and $765.1 million in free cash flow in Q4, demonstrating strong cash generation despite GAAP losses. However, the debt-to-equity ratio of 1.42 is elevated, primarily due to convertible notes, but interest coverage is negative (-153x) as operating income is negative. ROE is deeply negative at -69.2%, reflecting accumulated losses relative to equity.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.3B

2026-01

Revenue YoY Growth

+30.1%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

66.8%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$1.1B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Product
Professional Services And Other

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Valuation Analysis: Is SNOW Overvalued?

Since Snowflake has negative net income (EPS of -$0.90 in the latest quarter), the price-to-sales (PS) ratio is the most appropriate valuation metric. The trailing PS ratio is 13.9x, while the forward PS ratio (based on estimated revenue of $12.84 billion) is approximately 5.1x, implying the market expects significant revenue growth to justify the current valuation. Compared to the software application industry average PS ratio of approximately 8.0x (estimated), Snowflake trades at a 74% premium on a trailing basis, reflecting its premium growth profile and market position. However, on a forward basis, the PS ratio of 5.1x is more in line with the industry, suggesting that the premium is driven by growth expectations. Historically, Snowflake's PS ratio has ranged from a low of around 10x in late 2022 to a high of over 300x in early 2021. The current trailing PS of 13.9x is near the lower end of its historical range, indicating that the stock is not excessively valued by its own standards, though it remains expensive in absolute terms. The forward PS of 5.1x is near the bottom of its historical band, suggesting that if Snowflake delivers on revenue estimates, the valuation could be attractive.

PE

-48.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -175x~-29x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

-60.0x

Enterprise Value Multiple