SPYV is a passively managed ETF that invests in large-cap US stocks exhibiting value characteristics.
As one of the SPDR Portfolio suite's core value offerings, it provides broad, low-cost exposure to value stocks within the S&P 500 index.
Updated: January 14, 2026, 16:00 EST
Based on the provided analysis, here is an assessment of whether SPYV is worth considering for investment.
Technical Analysis & Valuation SPYV shows a positive technical picture, having outperformed the broader market with slightly lower volatility. Currently trading near its 52-week high, its near-term upside may be limited, but its manageable drawdown suggests contained downside risk. From a valuation perspective, its PE and PB ratios indicate it is fairly valued, neither signaling a bargain nor severe overpricing.
Risk & Fundamental Considerations The primary risk is its inherent exposure to the "value" investment style, which can underperform growth stocks for extended periods. A significant limitation is the lack of accessible fundamental data for a deeper analysis of its underlying holdings' financial health, which is a notable gap for a comprehensive assessment.
Investment Recommendation SPYV represents a reasonable, steady option for investors seeking exposure to large-cap value stocks with moderate risk. Its technical strength and fair valuation are positive, but the potential for style underperformance is a key risk. For investors whose strategy aligns with a long-term value tilt and who are comfortable with the sector-specific risks, SPYV can be a solid core holding. However, it is best suited for a diversified portfolio rather than a standalone speculative purchase.
*Note: This is not investment advice, for reference only.*
Here is a 12-month outlook for SPYV:
12-Month Outlook for SPYV
The primary catalyst for SPYV over the next year will be a sustained macroeconomic regime favoring value stocks, characterized by persistently higher interest rates and inflation, which would cause investors to rotate away from highly-valued growth companies into more stable, value-oriented names. The primary risk remains the opposite scenario: a sharp pivot by the Fed toward rate cuts or a recessionary environment that could spark a rally in growth stocks, leading to significant style underperformance for SPYV. With the fund trading near its 52-week high, its fair valuation suggests price appreciation may be more modest and tied to overall market earnings growth; a reasonable target range would be in line with broader market expectations, perhaps low to mid-single-digit percentage upside from the current price, contingent on the value style remaining in favor.
Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about SPYV's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $58.21, indicating expected upside potential.
Overall, SPYV has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.
SPYV has demonstrated steady outperformance with moderate volatility compared to the broader market. The stock exhibits positive momentum across recent timeframes while maintaining a valuation that avoids extreme territory.
Over the past month and three months, SPYV has delivered gains of 0.96% and 4.61% respectively, notably outperforming the market by 1.24% over the quarter. This relative strength, coupled with its beta of 0.92, indicates it has achieved superior returns with slightly lower volatility than the benchmark.
Currently trading at $58.04, SPYV sits near its 52-week high of $58.2999, placing it in the upper quartile of its yearly range. While not severely overbought, the proximity to the high suggests limited upside potential in the near term, though the maximum drawdown of -15.19% over the past year indicates manageable downside risk.
| Period | SPYV Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +1.7% | +1.3% |
| 3m | +7.3% | +5.7% |
| 6m | +9.8% | +10.6% |
| 1y | +12.7% | +16.5% |
| ytd | +2.2% | +1.1% |
Based on the information provided, a comprehensive fundamental analysis cannot be conducted for SPYV. No quarterly report data or financial ratios are available for review.
This lack of accessible financial information prevents any meaningful assessment of the company's profitability, financial health, or operational efficiency. Fundamental analysis requires concrete financial statements and ratio data to evaluate a company's performance.
You may need to consult the company's official investor relations materials or a financial database to obtain the necessary reports. Alternatively, confirming the correct ticker symbol may be necessary if this is intended to represent a publicly traded entity.
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Try Now & Get Tesla Stock RewardValuation Level Based on a trailing PE ratio of 23.25 and a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.47, SPYV appears fairly valued. The PE ratio is moderately high, suggesting the market prices in reasonable growth expectations, while the PB ratio near 1.5 indicates the stock trades at a slight premium to its book value, which is typical for a fund tracking value-oriented stocks rather than indicating significant overvaluation. The lack of forward-looking metrics like forward PE or PEG limits a deeper growth-adjusted assessment, but current multiples do not signal apparent undervaluation.
Peer Comparison A direct peer comparison is not feasible as specific industry average data was not provided. Generally, a value-focused ETF like SPYV would be benchmarked against broader market indices or other value ETFs; without this context, it is challenging to determine if its valuation is attractive relative to peers. Investors should seek comparative industry metrics to better evaluate SPYV's standing.
Volatility Risk: SPYV exhibits moderate volatility risk, as its beta of 0.92 indicates it is slightly less volatile than the broader market but still experiences significant market-driven swings. The 1-year maximum drawdown of -15.19% demonstrates a notable, though not extreme, potential for loss during adverse market conditions, consistent with its focus on large-cap value stocks.
Other Risks: SPYV appears to have negligible concerns regarding short-term speculative pressure, as evidenced by the lack of significant short interest. However, while it holds highly liquid underlying securities, its concentrated focus on the value factor introduces sector-specific and style underperformance risks relative to the broader market.
Bullish. SPYV is attractive due to its steady outperformance with lower volatility (beta of 0.92), fair valuation (PE 23.25), and strong institutional demand. While near its 52-week high suggests limited short-term upside, it suits long-term investors seeking diversified exposure to large-cap value stocks with moderate risk.
Based on the provided metrics, SPYV appears to be fairly valued.
1. Judgment: Fairly valued. 2. Comparison: A PE ratio of 23.25 is moderately high but not extreme for the market. A Price-to-Book (PB) ratio of 1.47 is reasonable and indicates the fund is trading close to its net asset value, which is typical for an ETF. 3. Key Metrics: * Trailing P/E Ratio: 23.25 * P/B Ratio: 1.47 4. Explanation: The valuation suggests the market has priced in moderate growth expectations without significant over-optimism. The lack of metrics like Forward PE or PEG ratio prevents a more dynamic, growth-adjusted assessment, but the available multiples do not signal clear undervaluation or overvaluation. As an ETF tracking value stocks, its valuation is largely a reflection of its underlying portfolio.
Based on the provided information, here are the key risks of holding SPYV:
1. Value Style Risk: The fund's concentrated focus on the value investment style exposes it to the risk of prolonged underperformance compared to growth stocks or the broader market, particularly during economic cycles that favor growth. 2. Market Risk: As an equity ETF with a beta of 0.92, the fund is subject to significant market-driven price swings, evidenced by a 1-year maximum drawdown of -15.19%, meaning it will likely decline during broad market downturns. 3. Concentration Risk: The fund's performance is heavily dependent on the fortunes of the large-cap value segment, introducing sector-specific risks that are not diversified away like they would be in a total market fund.
Of course. Here is a professional forecast for the SPYV ETF through 2026, based on the provided information.
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1. Target Price Range: * Base Case (2026): $63 - $68 * Bull Case (2026): $70 - $75
2. Key Growth Drivers: * Macroeconomic Tailwinds: The primary driver will be a sustained period of higher-than-average inflation and interest rates, which forces investors to favor profitable, undervalued companies over speculative growth stocks. * Attractive Relative Valuation: As a value-focused ETF, SPYV holds companies that are typically cheaper relative to their earnings and book value, offering a margin of safety and potential for valuation expansion if the economic regime shifts. * Stable Earnings & Dividends: The constituent companies are generally well-established, generating consistent cash flow and providing dividend yields that can outperform in range-bound or volatile markets.
3. Main Assumptions: * The U.S. economy avoids a deep recession, experiencing instead a period of slow growth or a "soft landing." * Inflation remains structurally above the Fed's 2% target, preventing a swift return to the ultra-low interest rate environment that fueled the growth stock boom. * Corporate earnings for value-oriented sectors (e.g., Financials, Energy, Industrials) hold steady or grow modestly.
4. Uncertainty of the Forecast: This outlook is highly dependent on the macroeconomic cycle; the largest risk is a sharp dovish pivot by the Federal Reserve or a significant economic downturn, either of which could trigger a powerful rotation back into growth stocks and cause SPYV to underperform the broader market.