UP Fintech Holding Limited operates an online brokerage platform in the capital markets industry.
It serves as a gateway for global investors to access Asian and US markets, known for its technology-driven user experience and competitive pricing.
Updated: December 28, 2025, 16:00 EST
Technical Perspective TIGR shows short-term resilience with a recent monthly gain, but its sustained underperformance against the market and significant drawdown highlight persistent downward pressure. Trading mid-range between its annual highs and lows suggests limited directional momentum, making technical recovery uncertain without stronger bullish catalysts.
Fundamental Health TIGR shines in revenue growth and profitability, with expanding margins and disciplined cost control. However, thin liquidity buffers and low asset turnover indicate inefficiencies in working capital management that could strain operations during market stress.
Valuation & Risk The stock appears undervalued based on earnings growth potential, as reflected in its low PEG ratio, though elevated price-to-sales multiples warrant caution. While low beta and short interest reduce near-term downside risks, the history of deep drawdowns underscores vulnerability to volatility.
---
Recommendation TIGR presents a mixed profile: strong fundamentals and attractive growth-adjusted valuation are counterbalanced by technical weakness and operational inefficiencies. For investors with moderate risk tolerance and a focus on undervalued growth opportunities, the stock may offer value. However, its volatile trends and liquidity constraints suggest adopting a cautious, phased investment approach rather than aggressive entry. Not investment advice, for reference only.
Based on the provided analysis, here is a 12-month outlook for TIGR:
12-Month Outlook for TIGR
The 12-month outlook for TIGR is cautiously optimistic, driven by its strong fundamental health. Key positive catalysts include its impressive revenue growth, expanding profit margins, and an earnings-based valuation (PEG ratio) that suggests it is undervalued relative to its growth potential. However, significant risks persist, primarily from its technical weakness, operational inefficiencies in working capital (low asset turnover), and a history of deep drawdowns that highlight its vulnerability to market volatility. Given the mixed signals, the analyst target price of approximately $14.56 offers a substantial upside from the current price but hinges on the company improving its operational efficiency and the stock building stronger technical momentum.
Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about TIGR's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $14.56, indicating expected upside potential.
Overall, TIGR has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.
TIGR has demonstrated volatile performance with recent gains failing to offset significant longer-term weakness relative to the market. The stock remains in a challenging downtrend despite short-term improvement.
Over the past month, TIGR gained 6.24%, showing temporary bullish momentum, although the 3-month decline of 9.26% underscores ongoing weakness. Notably, the stock has underperformed the market by 13.66% over this period, indicating lackluster relative strength despite its historically low beta of 0.363.
Currently trading at $9.02, TIGR sits approximately 33% above its 52-week low of $5.64 yet remains 33% below its 52-week high of $13.55, placing it near the middle of its annual range. While not severely overbought or oversold, the maximum drawdown of -39.26% suggests the stock remains vulnerable to volatility despite its moderate current positioning.
| Period | TIGR Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +6.8% | +2.6% |
| 3m | -11.4% | +4.7% |
| 6m | +12.5% | +16.8% |
| 1y | +31.6% | +17.4% |
| ytd | +35.8% | +19.5% |
Revenue & Profitability TIGR demonstrated strong quarterly revenue growth with Q3 2025 revenue increasing over 26% to $175 million from Q2's $139 million. Profitability remains robust, with net income margin holding steady at approximately 31% and gross profit margin improving slightly to 70.5%, indicating effective cost management relative to revenue expansion.
Financial Health The company maintains a conservative debt structure, evidenced by a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21 and minimal total debt-to-capitalization of 17.6%. However, the current ratio of 1.09 suggests thin liquidity buffers, while negligible cash coverage ratios indicate potential constraints in cash flow generation relative to obligations.
Operational Efficiency TIGR shows moderate operational efficiency with a return on equity of 6.6% and an asset turnover of just 0.02, reflecting intensive asset utilization requirements. The high fixed asset turnover of 6.5 indicates efficient use of property and equipment, though receivables turnover remains very low at 0.04, suggesting extended collection periods.
Get real-time data, AI-driven personalized investment analysis to make smarter investment decisions
Try Now & Get Tesla Stock RewardBased on the provided metrics, TIGR appears significantly undervalued on an earnings basis. The trailing and forward P/E ratios are relatively low at approximately 11x and 9.4x, respectively, but the most compelling indicator is the exceptionally low PEG ratio of 0.27, which suggests the stock is deeply undervalued when its earnings growth prospects are considered. However, the stock trades at a premium based on sales, with a PS ratio of 3.28, and has a moderate PB ratio of just under 2x.
A peer comparison cannot be conducted effectively as the necessary industry average data is unavailable. Consequently, it is impossible to determine whether TIGR's valuation multiples are high or low relative to the broader Capital Markets industry. This lack of comparative context limits the ability to form a conclusive relative valuation assessment.
Volatility risk for TIGR appears tempered based on its low beta of 0.363, implying less volatility than the broader market. However, the stock's significant 1-year maximum drawdown of -39.26% highlights considerable peak-to-trough price risk, suggesting potential for substantial losses despite its lower beta during downturns.
Other risks seem moderate, as the short interest of 1.39% is low, indicating minimal speculation on a price decline from short sellers. While liquidity can fluctuate, the low short interest generally points to adequate market depth and less immediate pressure from a short squeeze scenario.
Neutral. While TIGR shows strong fundamentals with impressive revenue growth (26% QoQ) and appears undervalued based on its PEG ratio (0.27), it faces significant headwinds from intense competition and geopolitical risks as a China-based firm. The stock's technical downtrend and highly divergent analyst opinions further cloud the near-term outlook. Suitable primarily for risk-tolerant, long-term investors who can stomach volatility tied to geopolitical events and earnings reports.
Based on the provided data, TIGR stock appears significantly undervalued. This judgment is primarily driven by its PEG ratio of 0.27, which is exceptionally low and indicates the market price does not reflect its strong earnings growth potential. Key metrics like the trailing P/E of 10.9 and forward P/E of 9.4 also suggest an attractive valuation on an earnings basis. The undervaluation is supported by the company's robust fundamentals, including 26% quarterly revenue growth and a high net income margin of 31%, which are not fully priced into the stock.
Based on the provided information, here are the key risks of holding TIGR:
1. Market and Price Risk: Despite its low beta, the stock's significant maximum drawdown of -39.26% demonstrates a high susceptibility to substantial price declines during market downturns or adverse company-specific events. 2. Business and Operational Risk: The very low receivables turnover of 0.04 indicates potential inefficiency in collecting payments, which could strain cash flow and signal customer concentration or credit management issues. 3. Financial Risk: The current ratio of 1.09 points to thin liquidity buffers, suggesting the company may have limited flexibility to meet short-term obligations or unforeseen expenses without raising additional capital.
Based on the provided analysis, the TIGR stock forecast for 2026 is moderately bullish, contingent on the company executing its growth strategy effectively.
* Target Price Range: Our base case target for late 2026 is in the $15 - $17 range, while a bull case scenario, requiring accelerated user adoption, could push the stock toward the $19 analyst high target. * Key Growth Drivers: The primary catalysts are 1) Sustained high revenue growth from international brokerage expansion, 2) Maintenance of its impressive ~31% net income margin, and 3) A re-rating of its valuation as profitability proves durable. * Main Assumptions: This forecast assumes TIGR can improve its operational efficiency (notably its low asset turnover) and that market volatility does not lead to another significant drawdown given the stock's technical weakness. * Uncertainty: The forecast is highly sensitive to macroeconomic conditions affecting trading volumes and the company's ability to manage its thin liquidity buffers.