Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
TMO
$673.82
-0.40%
Thermo Fisher Scientific is the world's largest pure-play life sciences tools and diagnostics company, selling analytical instruments, laboratory equipment, specialty diagnostics, life science reagents, and CRO services across four reporting segments — Analytical Technologies (17% of sales), Specialty Diagnostics (11%), Life Science Solutions (23%), and Lab Products & Services including CRO (the remainder). Its scale, breadth of portfolio, and entrenched customer relationships across pharma, biotech, academic, and industrial end markets make it the closest thing to a 'picks-and-shovels' platform in the life sciences ecosystem, with a recurring consumables mix that underpins unusually stable cash generation for a capital-goods-adjacent business. The current investor narrative centers on a re-acceleration of organic growth — Q2 2026 revenue rose 10.5% year-over-year to $11.99 billion — alongside raised long-term guidance, with management flagging only 'modest inflation' risk from Middle East tensions. Debate now hinges on whether the post-2023 biopharma funding reset is fully behind the company and whether the recent large-scale M&A and buyback activity can compound earnings fast enough to justify a premium multiple that has already re-rated meaningfully over the past year.…
TMO
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
$673.82
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TMO 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $750.92 and implied upside of +11.4% versus the current price.
Average Target
$750.92
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+11.4%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
—
covering this stock
Price Range
$560 - $830
Analyst target range
Coverage is deep and overwhelmingly constructive: 26 analysts cover TMO with a consensus recommendation of 'strong_buy' (mean rating of 1.46 on a 1-5 scale where 1 is a strong buy). The average price target of $688.69 is essentially at the current $690.00 price — implying roughly 0% upside — which is a notable signal that the stock has already caught up to consensus fair value after its 28.5% one-year run. The consensus leans bullish on fundamentals but neutral on near-term price appreciation, suggesting the easy money has been made and further gains require estimate revisions or multiple expansion. The target range is wide, from a low of $560.00 to a high of $800.00, a spread of 43% around the average that signals meaningful dispersion in analyst conviction. The $800 high target implies roughly 16% upside and would require either multiple expansion toward the high end of TMO's historical PE band or an acceleration in organic growth beyond the 10.5% delivered in Q2 2026 — likely predicated on a biopharma funding recovery and successful integration of recent acquisitions. The $560 low target implies about 19% downside and prices in margin compression, deal dilution, or a cyclical slowdown in pharma R&D spending. Institutional ratings show a stable-to-mixed pattern: Morgan Stanley, Barclays, Evercore ISI, Wells Fargo, Stifel, and Baird all maintain Buy/Overweight/Outperform ratings, while Piper Sandler and RBC remain Neutral/Sector Perform and HSBC downgraded from Buy to Hold in June 2026 — a mild negative signal worth monitoring. With the average target essentially at the current price and a wide $560-$800 range, the risk/reward is balanced rather than compelling at current levels.
TMO Technical Analysis
TMO is in a sustained, powerful uptrend: the stock is up 28.54% over the past year and 29.58% over three months, and at $690 it sits roughly 98% of the way through its 52-week range of $435.27 to $704.00 — just 2% below the high. That positioning signals strong momentum but also limited near-term margin of safety; the stock has already done the heavy lifting, and the 31.45% max drawdown on record shows this name can correct sharply when sentiment shifts. The 52-week low of $435.27 was set in the spring, meaning the entire move has been a V-shaped recovery that has now fully retraced. Short-term momentum is positive but decelerating relative to the medium term: the 1-month gain of 6.41% trails the 3-month gain of 29.58% and the 6-month gain of 31.03%, indicating the pace of advance has cooled even as the trend remains intact. Notably, the stock is dramatically outperforming the market — relative strength versus SPY is +26.89% over three months and +13.01% over one year — and the most recent session saw a modest -0.93% pullback from $696.49 to $690.00 after touching $696.49, a potential short-term exhaustion signal near the highs. With a beta of just 0.877, TMO is roughly 12% less volatile than the market, which supports larger position sizing for risk-parity investors but also means the recent 29% three-month surge is unusually large for this low-beta name and may warrant caution. Key resistance sits at the 52-week high of $704.00; a clean breakout would confirm the uptrend and likely open a new leg higher, while support is anchored at the $435.27 low with intermediate support around the $600-620 area where the stock consolidated in late August and early September. A breakdown below $600 would break the sequence of higher lows and signal a trend reversal, whereas holding above that zone keeps the bullish structure intact.
Beta
0.88
0.88x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-31.4%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$435-$706
Price range past year
Annual Return
+17.8%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | TMO Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +1.3% | -1.0% |
| 3m | +18.6% | +2.9% |
| 6m | +43.5% | +6.5% |
| 1y | +17.8% | +13.1% |
| ytd | +13.7% | +11.4% |
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TMO Fundamental Analysis
Revenue is re-accelerating convincingly: Q2 2026 (quarter ended June 27, 2026) revenue of $11.994 billion grew 10.5% year-over-year versus $10.854 billion in Q2 2025, and the sequential progression from $11.005 billion in Q1 2026 and $12.215 billion in Q4 2025 shows a business that has moved past the stagnation of the 2024-2025 period. The Q2 2026 split of $6.823 billion in product revenue and $5.171 billion in services revenue highlights a healthy mix, with services (including CRO) now 43% of the total and providing recurring, less cyclical revenue. Trailing four-quarter revenue of roughly $46.3 billion against consensus FY estimates of $59.2 billion implies the Street expects continued acceleration, which is the central pillar of the bull case. Profitability is solid and stable: Q2 2026 net income was $1.736 billion (14.47% net margin), gross margin was 41.21%, and operating margin was 17.40%, with gross margin holding in the 40.7%-41.2% band across the last four quarters. The company is clearly profitable with a 15.12% trailing net margin and 18.20% operating margin, though the Q2 operating margin of 17.40% was slightly below Q4 2025's 18.85%, reflecting the dilutive effect of recent acquisitions and modest inflation. EPS of $4.68 in Q2 2026 versus $4.28 in Q2 2025 represents 9.3% growth, and the consensus FY EPS estimate of $37.35 implies continued mid-teens earnings expansion. The balance sheet is investment-grade quality: debt-to-equity of 0.737, current ratio of 1.89, and trailing free cash flow of $7.318 billion against a $217.9 billion market cap (3.4% FCF yield). Q2 2026 operating cash flow of $2.125 billion funded $450 million of capex and $1.0 billion of buybacks, while Q1 2026 saw $8.872 billion of acquisitions and $3.0 billion of repurchases funded partly by $4.215 billion of debt repayment activity — an aggressive but manageable capital allocation posture. ROE of 12.61% and ROA of 5.13% are respectable for a capital-intensive instruments business, and the interest coverage ratio of roughly 5.2x leaves adequate cushion.
Quarterly Revenue
$12.0B
2026-06
Revenue YoY Growth
+10.5%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
41.2%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$7.3B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is TMO Overvalued?
Because TMO is solidly profitable (Q2 2026 net income of $1.736 billion), the PE ratio is the appropriate primary metric. The stock trades at 32.61x trailing earnings but only 25.01x forward earnings — a 23% compression that reflects the market's expectation of meaningful EPS growth (consensus FY EPS of $37.35 versus trailing EPS of roughly $21.16 implied by the 32.6x multiple on a $690 price). That forward discount to the trailing multiple is the single most important valuation signal here: investors are paying up today for earnings they expect to materialize over the next twelve months. Against the Medical-Diagnostics & Research industry, TMO's 32.6x trailing PE and 4.89x PS sit at a premium to the broader healthcare sector, though the provided valuation dataset does not include a direct industry-average PE for a precise spread calculation. On the metrics we can compare, the 6.39x EV/Sales and 21.58x EV/EBITDA are consistent with a high-quality franchise premium, and the 4.08x price-to-book is modest for a company with 12.6% ROE. The PEG ratio of 4.54 is elevated and suggests the market is paying a rich price relative to the growth rate embedded in near-term estimates — a caution flag if growth disappoints. Historically, TMO's PE has ranged from roughly 23.8x (Q2 2025) to 43.1x (Q1 2023), with the current 32.6x sitting in the upper-middle of that band and well above the 26.7x-27.8x levels seen in Q1-Q4 2025. The PS ratio of 4.89x is near the low end of its historical range (which peaked above 22x in 2024 on a different share-count basis), but the more comparable quarterly PS readings of 14-18x in 2025 suggest the current multiple reflects a meaningful re-rating. Net-net, valuation is full but not extreme: the forward PE of 25x is reasonable for a franchise grower, but the trailing premium and 4.54 PEG leave little room for execution error.
PE
32.6x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range 24x~43x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
21.6x
Enterprise Value Multiple

