TPG Telecom
TPG
$53.03
-3.95%
TPG Inc. is a global alternative asset management firm that invests across five multi-product platforms—Capital, Growth, Impact, Real Estate, Market Solutions, and TPG Angelo Gordon—offering strategies including private equity, credit, real estate, and impact investing. As a prominent player in the alternative asset management industry, TPG differentiates itself through its diversified platform and focus on innovation and inclusion, competing with firms like KKR and Blackstone. The current investor narrative centers on TPG's strategic moves, such as the $18 billion acquisition of Hologic alongside Blackstone, and its ability to generate strong fee-related earnings amid market volatility. Recent attention also focuses on the stock's significant price decline over the past year, raising questions about growth sustainability and the impact of higher interest rates on private equity valuations.…
TPG
TPG Telecom
$53.03
Related headlines
TPG 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on TPG Telecom's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $60.50 and implied upside of +14.1% versus the current price.
Average Target
$60.50
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+14.1%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
—
covering this stock
Price Range
$46 - $68
Analyst target range
TPG is covered by 16 analysts, with a consensus recommendation of 'Buy' and a mean rating of 1.875 (where 1 is Strong Buy and 5 is Sell). The average price target is $55.13, implying an upside of 13.6% from the current price of $48.51. The distribution shows a bullish tilt, with no Sell ratings and a majority of Buy or Outperform ratings, including recent reaffirmations from BMO Capital, Citizens, and Barclays. The target price range spans from $43.00 (low) to $68.00 (high), indicating a wide dispersion of 58% from low to high, reflecting uncertainty about the pace of earnings recovery. The high target of $68 assumes a successful rebound in fee-related earnings and continued asset growth, while the low target of $43 prices in prolonged market headwinds and potential further declines in asset values. Recent ratings actions have been predominantly positive, with no downgrades in the past six months, suggesting analysts remain confident in TPG's long-term prospects despite near-term challenges.
TPG Technical Analysis
TPG's stock has been in a pronounced downtrend over the past year, with a 1-year price change of -19.4%, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's +21.5% gain. The current price of $48.51 sits at 68.9% of its 52-week range (between $36.95 low and $70.38 high), indicating the stock is closer to the lower end of its range, reflecting persistent selling pressure. This positioning suggests the market is pricing in cautious expectations, though the stock has shown signs of stabilization recently.
Beta
1.42
1.42x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-45.5%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$37-$70
Price range past year
Annual Return
-17.4%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | TPG Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +19.2% | +2.9% |
| 3m | +26.9% | +5.0% |
| 6m | +7.1% | +13.9% |
| 1y | -17.4% | +20.4% |
| ytd | -19.3% | +13.8% |
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TPG Fundamental Analysis
TPG's revenue trajectory has been volatile, with the most recent quarter (Q1 2026) reporting revenue of $496.2 million, a 33.3% decline year-over-year, following a strong Q4 2025 where revenue surged to $1.49 billion. This sharp fluctuation is typical of asset managers, where performance fees and carried interest can cause lumpy revenue. The multi-quarter trend shows a deceleration from the Q4 2025 peak, with Q1 2026 revenue down 66.7% sequentially, indicating a slowdown in fee-related earnings and transaction activity. The revenue mix is dominated by management fees ($479.4 million), which provide a stable base, but the decline in incentive fees ($8.2 million) and transaction fees ($64.9 million) highlights the cyclicality of performance-based income.
Quarterly Revenue
$496151000.0B
2026-03
Revenue YoY Growth
-33.3%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
83.2%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$972036000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is TPG Overvalued?
Given TPG's trailing net income is negative (Q1 2026 net income of -$1.45 million), the price-to-earnings ratio is not meaningful, so I selected the price-to-sales (PS) ratio as the primary valuation metric. The trailing PS ratio is 1.90x, while the forward PS ratio (based on estimated revenue of $3.33 billion) is approximately 6.6x, implying the market expects significant revenue growth. The gap between trailing and forward PS suggests optimism about a recovery in fee income and asset appreciation. Compared to the industry average PS ratio of 2.5x (from valuation data), TPG trades at a 24% discount, which may reflect its recent underperformance and higher risk profile. Historically, TPG's PS ratio has ranged from 1.12x to 19.37x over the past five years, with the current 1.90x near the lower end, indicating the stock is trading at a valuation not seen since early 2022, potentially offering value if the company can stabilize earnings.
PE
48.0x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Low-End
5-Year PE Range 0x~148x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
27.5x
Enterprise Value Multiple