TSCO

Tractor Supply Co

$43.82

-1.59%
Apr 2, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Tractor Supply Co is the largest operator of retail farm and ranch stores in the United States, operating within the Specialty Retail industry. It is defined by its dominant market position targeting recreational farmers and ranchers, with a core advantage rooted in its extensive rural store network and diversified product mix.

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TSCO 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $43.82
Average Target $43.82
High Target $50.392999999999994
Low Target $37.247

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Tractor Supply Co's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $56.97 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$56.97

11 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

11

covering this stock

Price Range

$35 - $57

Analyst target range

Buy
3 (27%)
Hold
5 (46%)
Sell
3 (27%)

Wall Street analyst coverage for TSCO is robust, with 11 analysts providing estimates. The consensus points to an estimated average EPS of $3.15 for the upcoming period, with a range between $3.08 and $3.19. Recent institutional ratings from firms like Goldman Sachs, Jefferies, and Telsey Advisory Group are predominantly positive, with actions including 'Buy' and 'Outperform', though some firms maintain 'Neutral' or 'Hold' stances.

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TSCO Technical Analysis

The stock has been in a pronounced downtrend over the observed period, with the price falling from $56.23 in early October 2025 to $45.30 by March 31, 2026. This represents a significant decline, culminating in a 1-month drop of 12.62% and a 3-month decline of 9.42%, both underperforming the broader market as indicated by negative relative strength figures. Short-term performance has been weak, with the stock down 12.62% over the past month and 9.42% over the past three months. This contrasts with the S&P 500's declines of 5.25% and 4.63% over the same periods, highlighting TSCO's significant underperformance with relative strength readings of -7.37 and -4.79, respectively. The current price of $45.30 is near the lower end of its 52-week range of $44.44 to $63.99, sitting just 1.9% above the 52-week low. This positioning indicates the stock is in a technically oversold zone, though no RSI data was provided to confirm this condition.

Beta

0.70

0.70x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-30.1%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$43-$64

Price range past year

Annual Return

-21.2%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodTSCO ReturnS&P 500
1m-15.1%-3.6%
3m-13.8%-4.0%
6m-21.5%-2.0%
1y-21.2%+16.2%
ytd-13.8%-3.8%

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TSCO Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been modest but positive, with the most recent quarterly revenue of $3.90 billion showing a year-over-year growth of 3.31%. Profitability has been stable, with the quarterly net margin reported at 5.83%, though this represents a sequential decline from the higher margins seen in Q2 and Q3 of 2025. The company's financial health shows a high degree of leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.30. However, it maintains adequate liquidity with a current ratio of 1.34. Cash flow generation is solid, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $740.5 million. Operational efficiency remains a key strength, as evidenced by a high return on equity of 42.46% and a return on assets of 8.84%. These metrics indicate effective use of shareholder capital and company assets to generate profits.

Quarterly Revenue

$3.9B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.03%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.25%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$740488000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is TSCO Overvalued?

Given the company's positive net income, the primary valuation metric used is the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 24.85, while the forward P/E is lower at 18.85, based on estimated future earnings. Peer comparison data is not available in the provided inputs, so a direct industry average comparison cannot be made. The valuation based on the forward P/E of 18.85 suggests the market is pricing in future earnings growth, which is supported by analyst estimates.

PE

24.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range 14x~40x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

16.8x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure