GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Short TSLA Daily ETF

Based on the provided analysis, TSDD presents an exceptionally high-risk proposition that is unsuitable for the vast majority of investors.

Technical Analysis: The stock has experienced catastrophic performance, plummeting -90% from its 52-week high and exhibiting extreme volatility. While it is deeply oversold, its negative beta indicates it often moves violently opposite the broader market, representing a severe risk.

Fundamentals & Valuation: A fundamental or valuation assessment is impossible as there is no available financial data. Investing without this basic information is purely speculative and equivalent to gambling.

Risk: The extreme volatility, near-total capital destruction from its peak, and potential structural risks make TSDD one of the riskiest instruments available. It is suitable only for highly sophisticated traders engaging in very short-term, tactical bets, not long-term investment.

Recommendation: STRONG SELL. This stock exhibits characteristics of a distressed or highly speculative instrument with a high probability of permanent capital loss. The absence of fundamentals and extreme risk profile make it unequivocally not worth buying for prudent investors. The potential for minor, short-term bounces does not outweigh the overwhelming downside risk.

*This is not investment advice, for reference only.*

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Based on the analysis provided, the 12-month outlook for TSDD is exceptionally bleak. The primary catalyst for any price movement would be unpredictable, short-squeeze style bounces from its deeply oversold condition, but these are not sustainable. The overwhelming risks are extreme volatility, a complete lack of fundamental financial data, and the high potential for permanent capital loss, making any price prediction futile. Without an analyst target price and given its distressed nature, establishing a credible target range is impossible; the stock is more likely to trend toward zero or face delisting than experience a genuine recovery. This instrument is suitable only for highly speculative, short-term trading, not a 12-month investment horizon.

*This is not investment advice, for reference only.*

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Short TSLA Daily ETF's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $8.83, indicating expected upside potential.

Overall, TSDD has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

Overall Assessment: TSDD has experienced catastrophic performance over the past year, characterized by extreme volatility and dramatic price erosion from its previous highs.

Short-term Performance: The stock shows a marginal 0.91% gain over one month but has plummeted -20.23% over three months, significantly underperforming the market by -22.08%. This recent stabilization near current lows follows a period of severe decline, with its negative beta of -2.34 indicating it often moves inversely and more violently than the broader market.

Current Position: Trading at $8.83, TSDD sits just 29% above its 52-week low of $6.87 but a staggering 90% below its 52-week high of $91.68, reflecting its extreme risk profile. The massive -91.92% maximum drawdown confirms the stock is deeply oversold and has experienced near-total capital destruction from its peak.

Based on the limited information provided, a comprehensive fundamental analysis cannot be conducted for TSDD. No revenue, profitability, or cash flow data is available from the recent quarterly report or financial ratios.

The absence of essential financial metrics prevents any meaningful assessment of the company's financial health, including its debt levels, liquidity, or solvency position. Credible analysis requires access to audited financial statements.

Similarly, without financial data, analyzing key indicators of operational efficiency such as return on equity or asset turnover is not feasible. For any substantive evaluation, the company's complete financial filings would be necessary.

Based on the provided data, TSDD lacks any standard valuation metrics (PE, PB, PEG, EV/EBITDA), as all figures are listed as not available or N/A. This absence of fundamental pricing data prevents a quantitative determination of whether the stock is overvalued or undervalued. A meaningful valuation-level analysis cannot be conducted without these core metrics.

A peer comparison is also impossible to perform, as no industry average data has been provided. Without benchmark figures for valuation multiples specific to TSDD's sector, there is no basis for a contextual assessment against industry peers. Therefore, no comparative conclusions regarding relative valuation can be drawn.

Volatility Risk: TSDD exhibits extreme volatility risk, with a remarkably negative beta of -2.34 indicating it tends to move dramatically in the opposite direction of the broader market. This inverse leveraged behavior is further evidenced by a catastrophic maximum one-year drawdown of -91.92%, suggesting the potential for near-total loss of capital during adverse conditions. Such metrics point to a security suitable only for highly speculative, short-term tactical positions with a clear understanding of its inherent instability.

Other Risks: While the absence of reported short interest eliminates concerns regarding a potential short squeeze, this unusual characteristic warrants investigation into trading volume discrepancies or data reporting issues. The extreme price movements implied by its volatility metrics inherently suggest potential liquidity risks, where large orders could significantly impact the bid-ask spread. Investors should scrutinize the fund's structure, as such an extreme profile may also carry counterparty or derivative-related risks not fully captured in basic metrics.