TSLS

TSLS

Direxion Daily TSLA Bear 1X Shares is an exchange-traded fund designed for trading.
It operates in the financial sector, specifically within the leveraged and inverse products segment. This ETF aims to deliver the daily inverse performance of Tesla, Inc. stock, providing a tool for investors seeking a simple way to profit from or hedge against a decline in Tesla's share price.

$5.19 +0.09 (+1.76%)

Updated: January 14, 2026, 16:00 EST

Analyzed by Rockflow Bobby Quantitative Model āœ“ Updated Daily

Investment Opinion: Should I buy TSLS Today?

Based on the provided analysis, TSLS exhibits an exceptionally high-risk profile that makes it unsuitable for most investors. Key findings indicate a severe lack of fundamental data, preventing any assessment of the company's financial health or intrinsic value, while technical and risk analyses paint a picture of extreme volatility and persistent negative momentum characteristic of a leveraged inverse product.

The stock's deeply negative beta and catastrophic maximum drawdown of -65.52% signal an instrument designed for aggressive, short-term tactical positions against the market, not a long-term investment. Its proximity to 52-week lows, while technically oversold, is driven by structural product characteristics rather than temporary market pessimism, offering no reliable signal for a sustainable recovery.

Recommendation: Strong Sell / Avoid. TSLS appears to be a highly specialized, leveraged inverse ETF, not a traditional stock for investment. The complete absence of fundamental data, combined with extreme volatility and a clear long-term downtrend, makes it an extraordinarily speculative and dangerous holding. It should only be considered by sophisticated traders fully understanding the risks of daily rebalancing and decay in such instruments, and even then, strictly for very short-term hedging purposes.

*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence.*

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TSLS 12-Month Price Forecast

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Based on the comprehensive analysis, the 12-month outlook for TSLS is exceptionally bearish. The primary catalyst for any positive movement would be a significant, sustained market downturn, as this leveraged inverse ETF is designed to profit from declining markets. The overwhelming risks include the structural decay inherent in daily-reset leveraged products, extreme volatility, and the strong likelihood of continued erosion of value in a neutral or rising market environment. Given its characteristic long-term downtrend and lack of fundamental value, a target price cannot be established, and the instrument is expected to remain highly speculative and unsuitable for a 12-month holding period.

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about TSLS's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $5.19, indicating expected upside potential.

Average Target
$5.19
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
0
covering this stock
Price Range
$4 - $7
Analyst target range
Buy Buy
0 (0%)
Hold Hold
0 (0%)
Sell Sell
0 (0%)

Bulls vs Bears: TSLS Investment Factors

Overall, TSLS has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

Bullish Bullish
  • Declining Tesla Sales Boost Bear Fund: Tesla's weak Q4 2025 deliveries and second straight annual sales decline directly benefit TSLS.
  • Increased Competitive Pressure: Tesla losing its title as world's top EV maker creates bearish pressure.
  • Customer Sentiment Concerns: Revolt over Elon Musk's politics cited as a negative factor for Tesla demand.
  • Execution Risk on Promises: Looming deadlines for robotaxi and FSD progress pose significant execution risk.
Bearish Bearish
  • AI and Robotaxi Optimism: Positive sentiment around Tesla's AI and robotaxi progress could hurt TSLS.
  • Strong Executive Retention: Major stock option grant to key exec Tom Zhu signals stability and confidence.
  • Stock Ended 2025 Strong: Tesla stock finished 2025 near highs, indicating underlying bullish momentum.
  • 2026 Viewed as Pivotal Year: 2026 being a 'defining year' introduces potential for positive Tesla surprises.
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TSLS Technical Analysis

Of course. Here is the technical analysis of TSLS's price performance.

Overall Assessment: TSLS has exhibited severe negative momentum and extreme volatility over the past year, significantly underperforming the broader market.

Short-term Performance: The stock's trajectory remains under pressure, declining 1.54% over the past month and 6.42% over the past three months. While its 3-month relative strength figure suggests a slight recent outperformance compared to the market, this is misleading; the stock's own beta of -1.62 indicates it is moving perversely and with high volatility against market trends, making traditional benchmarks less reliable for this instrument. The primary takeaway is a clear and persistent downtrend on both short-term horizons.

Current Position: Trading at $5.10, TSLS is positioned much closer to its 52-week low of $4.62 than its high of $13.88, sitting near the bottom of its annual range. Given the dramatic -65.52% maximum drawdown and its proximity to the yearly low, the stock appears deeply oversold; however, the extreme negative momentum and volatility cautioned by its beta suggest this oversold condition may persist, indicating significant ongoing pessimism rather than a clear reversal signal.

šŸ“Š Beta
-1.62
-1.62x market volatility
šŸ“‰ Max Drawdown
-65.5%
Largest decline past year
šŸ“ˆ 52-Week Range
$5-$14
Price range past year
šŸ’¹ Annual Return
-30.4%
Cumulative gain past year
Period TSLS Return S&P 500
1m +2.8% +1.3%
3m -9.6% +5.7%
6m -37.8% +10.6%
1y -30.4% +16.5%
ytd -0.6% +1.1%

TSLS Fundamental Analysis

Based on the provided information, a fundamental analysis of TSLS cannot be conducted. The recent quarterly report and all financial ratios are unavailable, which are essential for any meaningful evaluation.

Without financial statements, it is impossible to assess the company's financial health, including its leverage, liquidity, or cash flow stability. Similarly, operational efficiency metrics like return on equity and asset turnover cannot be calculated or analyzed.

A comprehensive analysis requires access to audited financial reports detailing revenue, expenses, assets, liabilities, and cash flows. Until such data is provided, no conclusions can be drawn regarding TSLS's fundamentals.

Quarterly Revenue
N/A
Latest Quarter
Revenue YoY Growth
N/A
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
N/A%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is TSLS Overvalued?

Based on the provided metrics, TSLS's valuation cannot be assessed through conventional ratio analysis as all key indicators (PE, PB, PS, EV/EBITDA) are unavailable. This lack of fundamental data prevents a determination of whether the stock is overvalued or undervalued using standard valuation models.

Similarly, a peer comparison cannot be conducted as industry average data is not available. Without comparative benchmarks, it is impossible to contextualize TSLS's valuation relative to its industry sector or competitors. This absence of data significantly limits the scope of the valuation analysis.

Current PE
N/Ax
TTM
vs. Historical
N/A
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/AƗ
EV/EBITDA
N/Ax
Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure

**TSLS Risk Analysis**

Volatility Risk: TSLS carries extremely high market-volatility exposure, as evidenced by its deeply negative Beta of -1.62 and a severe 1-year maximum drawdown of -65.52%. The Beta indicates the fund is designed to move inversely to the market but with significantly amplified force (i.e., a market drop of 1% would be expected to cause TSLS to rise by approximately 1.62%). The massive drawdown highlights the substantial capital loss an investor could have experienced, underscoring the fund's inherent aggressiveness and risk of extreme performance swings during market stress.

Other Risks: While short interest appears to be negligible, the profound negative Beta suggests this is likely a leveraged inverse ETF. These instruments face compounding risk, tracking error, and sensitivity to high borrowing costs (especially in a high-interest-rate environment). Furthermore, the extreme volatility implied by the drawdown could translate to liquidity challenges or wide bid-ask spreads during periods of market turbulence, exacerbating losses or making efficient entry/exit difficult.

FAQs

Is TSLS a good stock to buy?

Bearish. TSLS exhibits extreme risk as a leveraged inverse ETF tied to Tesla, with core negatives being its severe -65.52% drawdown and persistent negative momentum. It is also hampered by high volatility (beta of -1.62) and significant execution risk if Tesla delivers on its AI/robotaxi promises in 2026. This instrument is suitable only for highly experienced, tactical traders seeking a short-term, high-risk bearish bet on Tesla, not for long-term or conservative investors.

Is TSLS stock overvalued or undervalued?

Based on the information provided, a valuation judgment for TSLS stock is impossible.

The key valuation metrics (PE, PB, PS, Forward PE, and PEG) are all listed as "N/A." This lack of fundamental data prevents any comparison to industry averages or historical levels. Without these metrics, it is not feasible to determine if the stock is overvalued, undervalued, or fairly valued.

The primary reason a valuation cannot be made is the complete absence of the necessary financial data. Any analysis would require at least basic metrics like the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio or Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio to begin an assessment.

What are the main risks of holding TSLS?

Based on the provided analysis, here are the key risks of holding TSLS, ordered by importance:

1. Extreme Volatility and Drawdown Risk: The fund is designed to produce amplified inverse returns to the market, leading to severe price swings and a documented maximum loss of -65.52% over the past year. 2. Compounding and Product Structural Risk: As a leveraged inverse ETF, TSLS faces daily reset risks where compounding effects can cause long-term performance to deviate significantly from the underlying index, especially in volatile markets. 3. Market Direction Risk: The fund's objective to profit from market declines means it will consistently lose value during bull markets, making its performance highly dependent on correct and timely bearish bets. 4. Liquidity and Execution Risk: The extreme volatility inherent to the fund can lead to wide bid-ask spreads and trading challenges, potentially exacerbating losses when entering or exiting a position.

What is the price forecast for TSLS in 2026?

Based on the available information, TSLS (a leveraged inverse ETF) is fundamentally unsuitable for a traditional multi-year price forecast. Its value is not tied to company performance but to daily market movements, specifically designed to fall in rising markets. Therefore, a target price for 2026 cannot be established. The instrument is expected to continue its long-term structural decay, making it highly speculative and almost certain to lose value if held over such a long horizon, barring a severe and prolonged market crash. Investors should be aware that attempting to forecast this product is fraught with extreme uncertainty and high risk of total loss.