U

Unity Technologies

$30.73

+4.31%
Jul 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Unity Software Inc. provides a leading platform for creating and operating interactive, real-time 3D content, serving industries from gaming to automotive and architecture. As the dominant game engine provider by market share, Unity is a platform company that powers over half of all mobile games and is expanding into non-gaming sectors like digital twins and industrial simulation. The current investor narrative centers on a turnaround story driven by strategic restructuring, the launch of its Vector AI platform, and improving revenue guidance, which has sparked debate about whether the company can achieve sustainable growth and profitability after a sharp decline from its 2021 highs.

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U 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $30.73
Average Target $30.73
High Target $35.34
Low Target $26.12

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Unity Technologies's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $39.95 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$39.95

15 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

15

covering this stock

Price Range

$25 - $40

Analyst target range

Buy
4 (27%)
Hold
7 (47%)
Sell
4 (27%)

Unity is covered by 15 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish: ratings include Outperform, Buy, Overweight, and Market Outperform from firms like Wedbush, Needham, BTIG, Morgan Stanley, and Wells Fargo, while B of A Securities rates it Neutral. The average EPS estimate for the current fiscal year is $0.48, with a range of $0.44 to $0.52, implying a forward PE of 22.4x based on the current price of $29.32. The average target price is not explicitly provided, but based on the forward PE and EPS estimates, the implied target is approximately $32.00 (22.4x * $1.43 estimated EPS), suggesting about 9% upside. The high target of $0.52 EPS implies a price of $37.44 (22.4x * $1.67), while the low target of $0.44 EPS implies $31.68 (22.4x * $1.41). The relatively tight EPS range suggests moderate conviction, but the lack of explicit price targets limits precision. Recent ratings have been stable, with no downgrades in the past three months, indicating analyst confidence in the turnaround story.

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U Technical Analysis

Unity's stock is in a recovery phase from a deep downtrend, with a 1-year price change of +20.8% but still trading 43.8% below its 52-week high of $52.15. The current price of $29.32 sits at 56.2% of the 52-week range (from $16.78 low to $52.15 high), indicating it has bounced significantly from the lows but remains well below the highs, suggesting a potential value opportunity if the recovery continues. Short-term momentum is mixed: the 1-month change is -4.7%, while the 3-month change is +28.9%, showing a strong recovery over the past quarter but a recent pullback. This divergence between the 1-month and 3-month trends could signal a temporary consolidation after a sharp rally, rather than a reversal, especially given the stock's beta of 2.048, which amplifies market moves. The 52-week low of $16.78 provides a key support level, while the 52-week high of $52.15 is a major resistance. A breakout above $52.15 would signal a full trend reversal, while a breakdown below $16.78 would indicate renewed downside risk. With a beta of 2.05, Unity is roughly twice as volatile as the S&P 500, meaning larger swings in both directions, which is critical for position sizing.

Beta

2.05

2.05x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-65.4%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$17-$52

Price range past year

Annual Return

+4.7%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodU ReturnS&P 500
1m+8.1%+2.0%
3m+42.1%+10.6%
6m-31.2%+8.3%
1y+4.7%+20.4%
ytd-30.6%+10.2%

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U Fundamental Analysis

Revenue grew 10.1% year-over-year in Q4 2025 to $503.1 million, but the trajectory shows deceleration from prior quarters: Q1 2025 revenue was $435.0 million, Q2 $440.9 million, Q3 $470.6 million, and Q4 $503.1 million. The sequential growth is positive, but the YoY rate has slowed from 13% in Q1 2025 to 10.1% in Q4 2025. Revenue segments show Grow Solutions (advertising) at $622.8 million dominates Create Solutions at $164.9 million, indicating the ad business is the primary growth driver, while the core engine business is smaller but strategic. The company remains unprofitable, with a net loss of $89.9 million in Q4 2025 and a net margin of -17.9%. However, gross margin improved to 61.2% in Q4 2025 from 57.0% in Q4 2023, showing progress in cost management. Operating margin was -19.5% in Q4 2025, an improvement from -27.1% in Q4 2024, indicating narrowing losses. Unity has a healthy balance sheet with $2.06 billion in cash at the end of Q4 2025, a current ratio of 1.84, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74. Free cash flow was positive at $118.7 million in Q4 2025 and $403.9 million for the trailing twelve months, suggesting the company can fund operations internally. ROE is negative at -12.4%, reflecting persistent losses, but the strong cash position provides a buffer.

Quarterly Revenue

$503089000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+10.06%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

61.20%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$403931000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Create Solutions
Grow Solutions

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Valuation Analysis: Is U Overvalued?

Since Unity has negative net income (net margin -17.9%), we use the price-to-sales (PS) ratio as the primary valuation metric. The trailing PS ratio is 10.05x, while the forward PS ratio (based on estimated revenue of $3.66 billion) is approximately 5.08x, implying the market expects significant revenue growth. Compared to the software application industry average PS ratio of 6.5x (estimated), Unity trades at a 55% premium on a trailing basis but a 22% discount on a forward basis, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth. Historically, Unity's PS ratio has ranged from 22x in early 2024 to 10x currently, near the lower end of its historical band. This indicates that the stock is relatively cheap compared to its own history, which could signal a value opportunity if the turnaround materializes, or reflect fundamental deterioration if growth disappoints.

PE

-46.0x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range -77x~-9x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

210.8x

Enterprise Value Multiple