USB

U.S. Bancorp

$61.90

+1.48%
Jul 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
U.S. Bancorp is a diversified financial services company and one of the largest regional banks in the United States, offering retail and commercial banking, credit cards, mortgages, payment services, trust, wealth, and capital market services. With approximately $700 billion in assets and a branch network spanning 26 states, primarily in the Midwest and West, it is a well-established player in the diversified banking industry. The current investor narrative centers on the bank's steady revenue growth and improving profitability, driven by higher net interest income and strong fee-based revenue, while analysts debate the sustainability of its margin expansion amid a shifting interest rate environment.

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USB 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $61.90
Average Target $61.90
High Target $71.18
Low Target $52.61

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on U.S. Bancorp's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $80.47 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$80.47

3 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

3

covering this stock

Price Range

$50 - $80

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (33%)
Sell
2 (67%)

Based on limited analyst data (3 analysts), the consensus recommendation leans bullish, with an average EPS estimate of $6.31 for the next fiscal year. The average target price is not directly provided, but using the forward P/E of 10.90x and estimated EPS of $6.31, the implied target price is approximately $68.78, representing about 11.4% upside from the current price of $61.73. The consensus appears positive, supported by recent upgrades from Truist Securities (Buy from Hold) and maintained Buy ratings from Argus Research and TD Cowen. The target range, implied by EPS estimates, spans from $6.01 (low) to $6.67 (high), corresponding to price targets of roughly $65.50 to $72.70 using the forward P/E. The high target assumes continued margin expansion and revenue growth, while the low target may price in potential headwinds from loan loss provisions or rate cuts. The spread is moderate, indicating reasonable conviction. Recent institutional ratings show a mix: Oppenheimer and RBC Capital maintain Outperform, while JP Morgan remains Underweight, suggesting some divergence in views. Overall, the limited coverage implies the stock is well-followed but not overly crowded, with a generally positive outlook.

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USB Technical Analysis

U.S. Bancorp is in a sustained uptrend, with the stock price up 29.99% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 19.1% gain. The current price of $61.73 sits at 98.96% of its 52-week range (high of $62.38, low of $43.46), indicating the stock is near its highs and reflecting strong momentum. This positioning suggests bullish sentiment but also potential overextension, as the stock is trading just 1.04% below its 52-week high. Short-term momentum is accelerating, with the stock gaining 13.06% over the past month and 16.58% over the past three months, both outpacing the S&P 500's respective returns of -1.25% and 13.56%. The 1-month relative strength of 14.31% versus the S&P 500 confirms strong near-term outperformance. This acceleration aligns with the longer-term uptrend, reinforcing positive momentum rather than signaling a divergence. The 52-week low of $43.46 provides a key support level, while the 52-week high of $62.38 acts as immediate resistance. A breakout above $62.38 could signal further upside, while a breakdown below $43.46 would indicate a trend reversal. With a beta of 0.979, the stock's volatility is nearly in line with the market, implying average risk relative to the S&P 500.

Beta

0.98

0.98x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-16.2%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$43-$63

Price range past year

Annual Return

+30.9%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodUSB ReturnS&P 500
1m+10.5%+2.0%
3m+11.2%+10.6%
6m+12.1%+8.3%
1y+30.9%+20.4%
ytd+14.8%+10.2%

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USB Fundamental Analysis

Revenue has been on a steady growth trajectory, with the most recent quarterly revenue (Q4 2025) of $10.976 billion, up 2.93% year-over-year from $10.664 billion in Q4 2024. Over the past four quarters, revenue has grown from $10.352 billion (Q1 2025) to $10.976 billion, indicating a gradual acceleration. Key revenue drivers include Payment Services ($2.5 billion), Consumer and Small Business Banking ($2.173 billion), and Wealth Management and Investment Services ($3.094 billion), with the latter two showing consistent growth. This growth trajectory supports the investment case, as the bank is expanding its top line despite a competitive banking environment. The company is profitable, with net income of $2.051 billion in Q4 2025, up from $1.663 billion in Q4 2024, representing a 23.3% increase. Gross margin improved to 66.85% from 60.19% a year ago, reflecting better cost management and higher net interest income. Operating margin expanded to 23.08% from 19.77%, indicating operational leverage. The net margin rose to 18.69% from 15.59%, showing that profitability is improving across the board. U.S. Bancorp maintains a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.20, which is reasonable for a regional bank. Free cash flow (TTM) stands at $7.97 billion, providing ample liquidity for dividends and investments. The ROE of 11.62% and ROA of 1.14% indicate efficient use of equity and assets. The current ratio of 0.26 is low, typical for banks, but the strong free cash flow generation (FCF yield of approximately 9.6%) suggests healthy financial flexibility.

Quarterly Revenue

$11.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+2.93%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

66.85%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$8.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Payment Services
Consumer And Small Business Banking
Wealth Management And Investment Services

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Valuation Analysis: Is USB Overvalued?

Since net income is positive, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 11.55x, while the forward P/E is 10.90x, implying that earnings are expected to grow, justifying a slightly lower multiple. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests the market anticipates earnings growth, which aligns with the recent earnings trajectory. Compared to the industry average (banks-diversified), U.S. Bancorp's trailing P/E of 11.55x is at a discount to the sector median of approximately 13x, based on available data. This discount may be justified by the bank's slower growth relative to some peers, but its strong profitability and dividend yield of 4.22% provide a value proposition. Historically, the stock's P/E has ranged from around 8x to 20x over the past five years. The current trailing P/E of 11.55x is near the lower end of its historical range, suggesting the stock is undervalued relative to its own history. This could indicate a value opportunity, especially given the improving earnings trend, but it may also reflect market concerns about future interest rate impacts on net interest margins.

PE

11.5x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 8x~20x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

11.1x

Enterprise Value Multiple