USB

U.S. Bancorp

$62.05

+0.44%
Aug 21, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
U.S. Bancorp is a diversified financial services company and one of the largest regional banks in the United States, offering a comprehensive suite of products including retail and commercial banking, credit cards, mortgages, payment services, trust, wealth management, and capital market services. With approximately $700 billion in assets and a branch network spanning 26 states, primarily in the Midwest and West, it holds a strong competitive position as a top-tier super-regional bank known for its stable deposit base and fee-based revenue streams. The current investor narrative centers on the bank's ability to sustain growth amid a shifting interest rate environment, with recent attention on valuation concerns as bank stocks face downgrades ahead of Q2 earnings, while the stock has demonstrated robust price appreciation over the past year, reflecting optimism about its earnings power and capital position.

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USB 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $62.05
Average Target $62.05
High Target $71.36
Low Target $52.74

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on U.S. Bancorp's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $70.32 and implied upside of +13.3% versus the current price.

Average Target

$70.32

0 analysts

Implied Upside

+13.3%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

covering this stock

Price Range

$65 - $77

Analyst target range

Analyst coverage is robust, with 22 analysts covering U.S. Bancorp, and the consensus recommendation is 'Buy' with a mean rating of 1.87 (where 1 is Strong Buy and 5 is Sell). The average target price is $70.32, implying an upside of 7.5% from the current price of $65.42. The distribution of ratings is not explicitly provided, but the mean rating and recommendation suggest a bullish tilt, with a mix of Buy and Hold ratings. The target price range spans from $65.00 to $77.00, with the low end near the current price, indicating some analysts see limited upside, while the high end suggests potential for significant appreciation. The high target of $77.00 implies a 17.7% upside, likely assuming continued revenue growth and margin expansion, while the low target of $65.00 reflects concerns about valuation and potential headwinds. Recent institutional ratings show a mix of actions, including a downgrade from Jefferies from Hold to Buy, while JP Morgan maintains an Underweight, indicating some divergence in sentiment. The wide range between low and high targets suggests moderate uncertainty, but the overall consensus remains positive, with the average target above the current price.

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USB Technical Analysis

U.S. Bancorp is in a sustained uptrend, with the stock price at $65.42 as of August 14, 2026, representing a 39.7% increase over the past year. The current price is near the top of its 52-week range, sitting at 99.7% of the range (between $45.02 low and $65.61 high), indicating strong momentum and bullish sentiment. This positioning near the highs suggests the market is rewarding the bank's performance, though it also raises the risk of overextension, especially given the stock's beta of 0.977, which implies volatility roughly in line with the broader market.

Beta

0.98

0.98x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-16.2%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$45-$66

Price range past year

Annual Return

+34.4%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodUSB ReturnS&P 500
1m-3.8%+2.5%
3m+13.2%+2.7%
6m+5.8%+11.1%
1y+34.4%+20.5%
ytd+15.1%+12.3%

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USB Fundamental Analysis

U.S. Bancorp's revenue trajectory is positive, with the most recent quarter (Q1 2026) reporting revenue of $10.835 billion, up 4.7% year-over-year. This growth is supported by a multi-quarter trend of increasing revenue, from $10.528 billion in Q2 2025 to $10.835 billion in Q1 2026, indicating steady expansion. The growth is driven by strong performance in payment services and wealth management, which reported revenues of $2.4 billion and $3.482 billion, respectively, while consumer banking contributed $2.325 billion. The company's profitability is solid, with net income of $1.945 billion in Q1 2026 and a net margin of 17.65%, reflecting efficient cost management and a favorable interest rate environment. Gross margin stands at 61.69%, which is typical for the banking industry, and operating margin is 22.2%, demonstrating operational efficiency. The balance sheet is robust, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.195, indicating moderate leverage, and a return on equity of 11.62%, which is healthy for a regional bank. Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months is $9.595 billion, providing ample liquidity to support dividends and growth initiatives, with a payout ratio of 46.2% and a dividend yield of 4.22%.

Quarterly Revenue

$10.8B

2026-03

Revenue YoY Growth

+4.7%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

61.7%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$9.6B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Payment Services
Consumer And Small Business Banking
Wealth Management And Investment Services

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Valuation Analysis: Is USB Overvalued?

For U.S. Bancorp, the primary valuation metric is the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio, as the company is profitable with a trailing net income of $1.945 billion. The trailing PE is 11.55x, while the forward PE is 11.30x, indicating a slight discount to future earnings, which suggests the market expects stable or slightly improving earnings. The gap between trailing and forward PE is minimal, implying limited growth expectations, which is typical for a mature bank. Compared to the industry average, U.S. Bancorp's PE of 11.55x is at a discount to the broader banking sector, which often trades at higher multiples, making it an attractive value proposition. The price-to-book ratio of 1.27x is also reasonable, reflecting the bank's solid asset base. Historically, the stock's PE has ranged from around 8.7x to 22.1x over the past few years, with the current level near the lower end of that range, suggesting the stock is undervalued relative to its own history. The PEG ratio of 0.53x indicates that the stock is trading at a discount to its growth rate, further supporting the value thesis.

PE

11.5x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range 9x~14x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

11.1x

Enterprise Value Multiple