Vanguard Russell 1000 Growth ETF

Technical Analysis

VONG has experienced notable weakness, declining over 4% in three months and significantly underperforming the broader market. Its high beta of 1.15 confirms its sensitivity to market swings, though recent declines may be pushing it toward oversold levels relative to its historical volatility. Currently trading in the upper-mid range of its 52-week price band, it reflects the volatile nature of its growth-oriented holdings.

Fundamentals & Valuation

A thorough fundamental analysis is not possible due to insufficient financial data. Without revenue, profit margins, or cash flow information, VONG's operational health cannot be assessed. The trailing P/E ratio of 34.95 appears elevated, but without industry or forward-looking comparisons, it is difficult to determine whether the ETF is fairly valued.

Risk Assessment

VONG carries elevated volatility risk, with a beta of 1.15 and a maximum drawdown of -22.6% over the past year. While short-interest risk is minimal, the fund remains vulnerable to shifts in market sentiment away from growth stocks, which could trigger further downside.

Investment Recommendation

VONG may appeal to investors with a higher risk tolerance and a long-term belief in growth stocks, particularly if market conditions stabilize. However, the lack of fundamental transparency and recent underperformance suggest caution. Investors should consider dollar-cost averaging or waiting for clearer financial data before initiating a position. This is not investment advice, for reference only.

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Based on the analysis provided, here is a 12-month outlook for VONG:

The primary catalyst for VONG over the next year will be a potential rebound in growth stock sentiment, as the ETF's significant recent underperformance could present a buying opportunity if broader market conditions stabilize. Key risks are pronounced, centered on its high volatility (beta of 1.15) and sensitivity to any further market shifts away from growth-oriented investments, which could exacerbate losses beyond the -22.6% drawdown already experienced. Given the lack of a specific analyst target price and insufficient fundamental data, a precise target range is unavailable; performance will largely hinge on the market's appetite for risk, making it suitable only for investors with a long-term horizon and high risk tolerance.

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about Vanguard Russell 1000 Growth ETF's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $115.97, indicating expected upside potential.

Overall, VONG has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

VONG has demonstrated significant volatility with negative momentum across key timeframes while maintaining elevated risk characteristics. The ETF remains substantially above its 52-week low despite recent declines, reflecting its high-beta growth stock composition.

Short-term performance shows consistent weakness, with VONG declining 1.75% over one month and 4.09% over three months, noticeably underperforming the broader market by 5.94% during the quarterly period. This underperformance aligns with the fund's 1.15 beta, indicating amplified sensitivity to market movements during this downturn phase.

Currently trading at $115.97, VONG sits approximately 46% above its 52-week low but remains 8.6% below its peak, positioning it in the upper-mid range of its yearly price band. With a maximum drawdown of -22.6% over the past year and recent underperformance, the ETF appears to be approaching oversold territory relative to its typical volatility pattern.

Based on the lack of available data in both the recent quarterly report and financial ratios, a comprehensive fundamental analysis of VONG cannot be conducted at this time. Revenue growth, profitability margins, and their trends are impossible to assess without the underlying financial statements. This absence of data prevents any meaningful evaluation of the company's operational performance.

Similarly, an analysis of financial health is not feasible, as critical metrics like the debt ratio and details of the cash flow situation are unavailable. Without this information, it is impossible to determine the company's leverage, liquidity, or overall financial stability. The cash flow position remains entirely unknown.

Finally, key indicators of operational efficiency, such as Return on Equity (ROE) and asset turnover, cannot be calculated or analyzed. The absence of financial ratio data fundamentally prevents any assessment of how effectively management is utilizing shareholder equity and company assets to generate profits.

Based on the available data, VONG's valuation analysis is challenging due to limited metrics. The TTM PE ratio of 34.95 represents an earnings multiple that some might consider elevated, particularly for value-oriented investors seeking lower-risk opportunities. However, without forward-looking indicators or specific industry benchmarks, this PE ratio cannot be conclusively categorized as either overvalued or undervalued.

Peer comparison is unfortunately not feasible as no industry average data is available for benchmarking. The lack of competitors' valuation metrics prevents any meaningful relative assessment of VONG's pricing multiples. Without this comparative context, the analysis remains incomplete and should be interpreted with caution until more comprehensive data becomes available.

Volatility Risk: VONG exhibits above-market volatility with a beta of 1.15, indicating it is expected to be 15% more volatile than the broader market. This is further evidenced by a significant 1-year maximum drawdown of -22.6%, highlighting its susceptibility to substantial price declines during market downturns.

Other Risks: With negligible short interest, the stock does not face a near-term risk from a short squeeze. However, as a growth-oriented ETF, its primary risk remains a shift in investor sentiment away from its underlying holdings, which could impact liquidity and amplify volatility despite the current lack of direct downside pressure from short sellers.