VT

VT

Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT) is a globally diversified equity fund that invests in thousands of companies across developed and emerging markets.
It offers investors a simple, low-cost way to own a stake in nearly the entire global stock market in a single investment.

$144.60 -0.10 (-0.07%)

Updated: January 14, 2026, 16:00 EST

Analyzed by Rockflow Bobby Quantitative Model āœ“ Updated Daily

Investment Opinion: Should I buy VT Today?

Of course. Here is a professional analysis of the Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT).

Overall Assessment VT provides unparalleled diversification in a single ticker, capturing the entire global equity market. Its performance is a direct reflection of worldwide economic growth. For investors seeking a simple, comprehensive, and passive equity holding, VT is an exceptional foundational building block.

Technical & Price Action VT shows positive momentum, trading near its 52-week high. This indicates strong market sentiment and an established uptrend. With a beta of 1.02, its volatility is in line with the global market, making it a stable core holding, though its 16.79% maximum drawdown reminds investors of inherent equity risk.

Fundamentals & Investment Thesis As an index fund, VT's fundamental strength lies in its breadth, holding over 9,000 stocks across developed and emerging markets. This diversification eliminates single-stock or single-country risk. The fund's low expense ratio of 0.07% ensures that investors keep nearly all of the returns generated by global corporations.

Valuation & Risk VT's valuation is a composite of all its underlying holdings, trading at a reasonable trailing P/E of around 23. The primary risk is systemic, tied to global economic health rather than company-specific issues. It is an efficient, low-cost tool for achieving market-equivalent returns.

Buy/Hold/Sell Recommendation BUY. VT is a premier choice for building a diversified, long-term portfolio. It simplifies global investing and serves as an ideal "set-and-forget" core position. For investors who believe in the long-term growth of the global economy, VT offers a straightforward and cost-effective way to participate. (Note: This is not investment advice.)

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VT 12-Month Price Forecast

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Of course. Here is a 12-month outlook for the Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT).

12-Month Outlook for VT

Catalysts & Upside: VT's performance will be driven by the global economic cycle. Key positive catalysts include potential interest rate cuts by major central banks, which could boost equity valuations, and resilient corporate earnings growth, particularly in the U.S. and emerging markets. As a market-cap-weighted fund, its fate is tied to the largest global companies, which stand to benefit from continued adoption of AI and technological efficiency.

Potential Risks: The primary risk is a slowdown in global economic growth or a recession, which would impact earnings across its 9,000+ holdings. Geopolitical tensions and persistent inflation leading to "higher-for-longer" interest rates are significant headwinds that could pressure valuations. As a highly diversified fund, VT offers no shelter from broad market downturns.

Target Price & Outlook: Given its nature as a broad market index, VT is expected to deliver returns in line with global equity markets. Analysts do not typically set a single target price for such an ETF. The outlook is cautiously optimistic, contingent on a "soft landing" scenario. Investors should expect market-level returns with the inherent volatility of global equities, making it a core long-term holding rather than a short-term trade.

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about VT's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $144.60, indicating expected upside potential.

Average Target
$144.60
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
0
covering this stock
Price Range
$116 - $188
Analyst target range
Buy Buy
0 (0%)
Hold Hold
0 (0%)
Sell Sell
0 (0%)

Bulls vs Bears: VT Investment Factors

Overall, VT has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

Bullish Bullish
  • Strong expert recommendations: Multiple sources list Vanguard ETFs as top long-term holdings.
  • Broad diversification benefit: VT provides exposure to global stocks in a single fund.
  • Low-cost focus: Vanguard is known for its low-fee structure, enhancing returns.
Bearish Bearish
  • Geopolitical policy uncertainty: Trump administration policies may target green programs, creating headwinds.
  • Sector concentration risk: News focuses heavily on single, volatile sectors like EVs.
  • Market cyclicality exposure: As a global stock ETF, VT is exposed to broad economic cycles.
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VT Technical Analysis

Of the three requested paragraphs, I can provide two, but cannot generate the first paragraph ("Overall Assessment") as the specific instruction for that section is to summarize performance in one sentence. Generating a single sentence does not constitute a full paragraph, which you've specified should be 2-3 sentences. I can, however, analyze the short-term performance and current position as requested.

Short-term Performance: VT has demonstrated positive momentum over recent periods, with a 1.5% gain over one month and a more robust 4.3% gain over three months. Critically, the 3-month relative strength of 0.93% indicates that VT is slightly outperforming its market benchmark during this period. This combination of absolute gains and relative outperformance suggests a favorable short-term trend.

Current Position: The stock is currently trading near the top of its 52-week range, with the current price of $144.7 sitting just 0.4% below the 52-week high of $145.315. This proximity to the high, combined with a beta of 1.02 indicating market-average volatility, suggests the stock is in an extended uptrend and is not in an oversold condition. However, investors should be mindful of the 1-year maximum drawdown of -16.79%, which highlights the potential for significant pullbacks even within a strong upward trend.

šŸ“Š Beta
1.02
1.02x market volatility
šŸ“‰ Max Drawdown
-16.8%
Largest decline past year
šŸ“ˆ 52-Week Range
$101-$145
Price range past year
šŸ’¹ Annual Return
+22.1%
Cumulative gain past year
Period VT Return S&P 500
1m +2.4% +1.3%
3m +7.0% +5.7%
6m +11.5% +10.6%
1y +22.1% +16.5%
ytd +1.8% +1.1%

VT Fundamental Analysis

Of course. Since no specific financial data is available for analysis, I will provide a template based on standard analytical frameworks. An actual analysis would require the concrete data points mentioned.

Revenue & Profitability Without recent quarterly reports, an analysis of revenue growth and profit margin trends cannot be conducted. To assess this, data on quarterly and annual revenue figures, cost of goods sold, and operating expenses would be required to determine if the company is experiencing growth, stability, or contraction, and whether its profitability is improving.

Financial Health In the absence of financial ratios or cash flow statements, the company's financial health cannot be evaluated. A proper assessment would need its balance sheet to calculate key metrics like the debt-to-equity ratio and its cash flow statement to analyze the sustainability of its operations and its ability to meet financial obligations.

Operational Efficiency Without data on key performance indicators such as Return on Equity (ROE) or asset turnover ratios, it is impossible to gauge operational efficiency. These metrics are essential for understanding how effectively management is utilizing shareholder equity and company assets to generate profits.

Quarterly Revenue
N/A
Latest Quarter
Revenue YoY Growth
N/A
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
N/A%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is VT Overvalued?

Valuation Level

VT's current PE ratio of 23.23 suggests a moderate valuation level. Without corresponding forward PE, PB, or PS ratios for VT, the analysis is limited, but this trailing PE indicates investors are paying a premium for its past earnings. The inability to compare against growth (PEG) or enterprise value (EV/EBITDA) metrics makes a definitive conclusion on whether it is overvalued or undervalued challenging, though the standalone PE does not signal extreme overvaluation.

Peer Comparison

A comparative analysis cannot be performed as specific industry average data was not provided. To determine if VT's valuation is attractive relative to its peers, metrics such as the industry's average PE, PB, and PS ratios are essential. Therefore, no conclusion can be drawn about its relative valuation without this benchmark data.

Current PE
23.2x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
N/A
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/AƗ
EV/EBITDA
N/Ax
Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure

Of course. Here is a risk analysis for VT.

1. Volatility Risk VT's risk profile is tightly aligned with the global equity market. With a beta of 1.02, the fund is expected to exhibit volatility nearly identical to its benchmark, the global market portfolio. This means investors should anticipate performance that closely tracks worldwide economic and market fluctuations. The 1-year maximum drawdown of -16.79% underscores this, demonstrating a significant but not extreme downside capture during recent market stress, consistent with a broadly diversified global equity holding.

2. Other Risks The absence of a significant short interest suggests the market consensus views VT as a core, long-term holding rather than a target for speculation on a price decline. The primary risks here are systemic and macroeconomic, stemming from its extreme diversification across thousands of global stocks. Consequently, investors are exposed to geopolitical events, global recessions, and currency fluctuations, while being shielded from single-company or single-country risk. The fund's immense scale ensures high liquidity, minimizing transaction cost risk for most investors.

FAQs

Is VT a good stock to buy?

Opinion: Bullish for long-term, passive investors.

Reasons: 1. VT provides ultimate diversification across thousands of global stocks in a single, low-cost ETF. 2. Its market-average volatility (beta 1.02) makes it a stable core holding that mirrors global economic growth. 3. Trading near 52-week highs with positive momentum confirms strong investor confidence.

Suitable For: Long-term buy-and-hold investors, retirement accounts, and those seeking broad global equity exposure without stock-picking risk. Not ideal for traders seeking short-term alpha.

Is VT stock overvalued or undervalued?

Based on the limited data available, VT appears fairly valued. Its trailing P/E of 23.23 is a moderate level that suggests neither extreme overvaluation nor bargain pricing. The primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio, though a definitive judgment is challenging without standard industry comparisons or forward-looking metrics like the forward P/E or PEG ratio. The valuation reflects a market expectation for stable, but not explosive, future earnings growth.

What are the main risks of holding VT?

Based on the provided analysis of VT (Vanguard Total World Stock ETF), the key risks are:

1. Global Market Volatility Risk: As a fund that tracks the entire global equity market, VT is highly susceptible to worldwide economic downturns, geopolitical crises, and broad market corrections, as evidenced by its 1.02 beta and a maximum drawdown of -16.79%. 2. Currency Fluctuation Risk: The fund's extreme international diversification exposes investors to the risk that adverse movements in foreign currency exchange rates relative to the U.S. dollar will diminish returns. 3. Concentration Risk at the Peak: VT is currently trading near its 52-week high, suggesting a potential for a significant price pullback from an extended uptrend, despite its positive recent momentum.

What is the price forecast for VT in 2026?

Based on the fundamental nature of VT as a passively managed global equity ETF, a forecast to 2026 is less about individual stock analysis and more about projecting global market performance.

Here is a forecast for VT through 2026:

My base-case forecast for VT by 2026 assumes a continuation of modest global economic growth, with a target price range of $165 to $180, driven by long-term corporate earnings growth and the potential for lower interest rates. Key growth drivers will be the global adoption of AI improving productivity and resilient earnings from large-cap U.S. and international companies. The primary assumptions are a avoidance of a global recession and a gradual easing of inflationary pressures, though the forecast carries high uncertainty due to geopolitical risks and unpredictable central bank policies. Ultimately, VT is expected to deliver returns in line with its historical average, reflecting the collective performance of the global equity market.