VXUS

Of course. Here is a concise analysis based on the information provided.

Analysis of VXUS

VXUS is showing strong technical momentum, having significantly outperformed its benchmark over the last quarter and currently trading near its 52-week high. This indicates robust bullish sentiment, though it also suggests the possibility of a near-term pause or pullback as it tests resistance levels. The fund's risk profile is in line with the broader market, with a beta of 1 and a manageable maximum drawdown, making it a typical choice for exposure to international equities.

Buy Recommendation

Based on this analysis, a buy recommendation is supported for investors seeking international diversification. The fund's demonstrated strong relative strength and momentum are positive indicators. However, investors should be aware that its position near a yearly high could lead to short-term volatility. It is best considered as a long-term core holding within a diversified portfolio to capture growth from markets outside the United States.

*This is not investment advice, and you should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.*

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Of course. Here is a 12-month outlook for VXUS (Vanguard Total International Stock ETF).

12-Month Outlook for VXUS

The outlook for VXUS is cautiously optimistic, driven by a weakening US dollar and attractive relative valuations compared to US equities. Key catalysts include potential interest rate cuts by major central banks outside the US, which could stimulate economic growth and equity performance in developed international markets. Risks primarily involve a stronger-than-expected US dollar, which would diminish returns for US investors, alongside geopolitical tensions and slower-than-anticipated economic recoveries in key regions like Europe and China. Given its nature as a broad index fund, a specific target price is less applicable; instead, investors should focus on its role as a strategic, long-term diversifier with an expected total return that could align with or modestly exceed its historical average if global economic conditions stabilize.

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about VXUS's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $78.47, indicating expected upside potential.

Overall, VXUS has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

Of Counsel: VXUS has demonstrated strong positive momentum with solid gains across both short-term and medium-term timeframes, significantly outperforming the broader market over the last quarter. The fund's upward trajectory is supported by a 5.75% gain over three months, indicating sustained buying pressure.

In the near term, VXUS has posted a respectable 2.63% gain over the past month, but its more impressive 3-month performance of 5.75% stands out. More importantly, the fund has outperformed its market benchmark by 2.38% over this period, suggesting strong relative strength independent of broader market movements. This consistent upward trend across both timeframes indicates healthy momentum.

Currently trading at $78.13, VXUS is pressing against its 52-week high of $78.57, placing it in the upper 99th percentile of its yearly range. While this proximity to the peak suggests strong bullish sentiment, it also indicates the potential for resistance and a technically overbought condition in the immediate term. Investors should monitor for any signs of consolidation or profit-taking near these elevated levels.

Based on the absence of available data, a fundamental analysis cannot be conducted at this time.

Without financial reports, I am unable to assess revenue, profitability trends, or profit margins. The lack of data also prevents any evaluation of the company's financial health, including its debt structure or cash flow situation.

Furthermore, no commentary can be provided on operational efficiency metrics such as Return on Equity (ROE) or asset turnover. A fundamental analysis requires the underlying financial statements which are currently unavailable.

VXUS Valuation Analysis

Valuation Level: VXUS's valuation metrics are limited, but the trailing PE ratio of 17.7 can be assessed independently. A PE ratio near 18 suggests the market prices expected earnings growth, but without forward PE or growth rate (PEG), it is impossible to determine if this multiple is justified. The absence of price-to-book (PB) and price-to-sales (PS) ratios prevents a holistic view of valuation relative to assets or revenue, making a definitive overvalued or undervalued call speculative based on available data.

Peer Comparison: A comparison with industry averages is not feasible as no industry data was provided. Typically, a fund like VXUS, which holds a broad international equity portfolio, would be benchmarked against global or regional indices. Without these benchmarks, the 17.7 PE ratio lacks context; it could be reasonable for a diversified international fund but cannot be conclusively assessed against peers.

VXUS exhibits moderate volatility risk with a Beta of 1, indicating its price movements are expected to be in line with the broader market. The 1-year maximum drawdown of -13.84% demonstrates a significant but not extreme potential for loss from a recent peak, which is typical for a diversified international equity ETF. This suggests that while investors can expect market-average volatility, they should be prepared for periods of substantial decline.

Regarding other risks, liquidity is generally strong for a major ETF like VXUS, minimizing execution risk. The absence of notable short interest suggests a lack of prevalent bearish sentiment targeting the fund itself. However, primary risks for this international fund remain concentrated in foreign currency fluctuations, geopolitical events, and the economic health of its constituent countries, which are not captured by these specific metrics.