WMB

WMB

Williams Companies Inc.
operates a vast network of natural gas pipelines critical for U.S. energy transport. It is a leading midstream operator whose core value lies in its strategically located, fee-based infrastructure assets.

$60.71 +0.22 (+0.36%)

Updated: January 14, 2026, 16:00 EST

Analyzed by Rockflow Bobby Quantitative Model āœ“ Updated Daily

Investment Opinion: Should I buy WMB Today?

Of course. Here is a comprehensive analysis of whether WMB is worth buying.

Technical Analysis WMB is currently in a consolidation phase after a period of underperformance relative to the broader market. Trading at $60.49, it sits comfortably in the upper half of its 52-week range. The stock's low beta indicates it is less volatile than the market, which may appeal to investors seeking stability, but the recent medium-term price trend shows weakness.

Fundamental Analysis Operationally, WMB is showing strength with solid revenue growth and a significant expansion in its gross profit margin, pointing to improved cost management. Financially, the company maintains moderate leverage and exceptional working capital efficiency, as seen in its negative cash conversion cycle. However, its liquidity position appears tight, and its operational returns are modest, which is typical for a capital-intensive pipeline business.

Valuation & Risk Assessment The primary concern is valuation. WMB's multiples, including its P/E and P/B ratios, appear elevated, suggesting the stock is priced at a premium that may not be justified by its current growth profile. On the risk side, the stock exhibits low volatility and minimal bearish sentiment from short sellers, but it remains exposed to sector-wide risks like energy commodity prices and regulatory changes.

Buy Recommendation Based on the analysis, a HOLD recommendation is more appropriate than a buy at this time. The company's strong operational improvements and stable, low-volatility profile are positive factors. However, these strengths appear to be already reflected in its premium valuation, leaving limited room for near-term upside. Investors might consider waiting for a more attractive entry point or for clearer signs that its earnings growth can justify the current high multiples.

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WMB 12-Month Price Forecast

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Of course. Here is a 12-month outlook for Williams Companies (WMB):

12-Month Outlook for WMB

We maintain a neutral-to-cautious stance on WMB over the next 12 months. The primary catalyst is the continued demand for natural gas, underpinned by data center and AI energy needs, which should support stable cash flows from its critical pipeline infrastructure. However, the key risk lies in its elevated valuation; current price multiples appear rich and may already reflect this positive outlook, limiting near-term upside potential. While analyst coverage is limited here, a reasonable target range would be $65-$70, contingent on the company demonstrating that its earnings growth can justify its premium valuation.

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about WMB's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $60.71, indicating expected upside potential.

Average Target
$60.71
24 analysts
Implied Upside
+0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
24
covering this stock
Price Range
$49 - $79
Analyst target range
Buy Buy
16 (67%)
Hold Hold
8 (33%)
Sell Sell
0 (0%)

Bulls vs Bears: WMB Investment Factors

Overall, WMB has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

Bullish Bullish
  • Strong dividend growth stock: Stock has skyrocketed 80% since 2022 with solid dividend performance.
  • Analyst price target increase: TD Cowen raised price target to $70 while maintaining Buy rating.
  • Institutional investor confidence: Exchange Traded Concepts LLC increased holdings by 3.9% in Q3.
  • Favorable natural gas outlook: EIA projects higher natural gas prices and growing LNG export volumes.
  • Critical energy infrastructure position: 33,000 miles of pipelines provide strategic advantage in energy transition.
Bearish Bearish
  • Declining profit margins: Net profit margins dropped to 20.4% from 27.8% year-over-year.
  • Margin pressure challenges growth: Recent margin miss raises concerns about earnings growth sustainability.
  • Energy sector volatility: Subject to commodity price fluctuations and regulatory uncertainties.
  • Competition from alternative energy: Growing renewable energy adoption poses long-term threat to natural gas demand.
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WMB Technical Analysis

Of course. Here is the technical analysis of WMB's price performance.

Overall Assessment WMB has demonstrated moderate underperformance over the medium term, with a 4.14% decline over the last three months, notably lagging behind the broader market's performance during that period.

Short-term Performance The stock's recent performance shows relative stability, with a minimal 1-month decline of -0.71%, suggesting a potential consolidation phase; however, its more significant 3-month decline of -4.14%, coupled with a substantial -7.51% underperformance relative to the market, indicates a clear bearish trend and medium-term weakness compared to the benchmark.

Current Position Trading at $60.49, WMB is positioned in the upper-middle portion of its 52-week range ($51.58 - $65.55), roughly 64% of the way toward its 52-week high. The relatively low beta of 0.658 suggests the stock is less volatile than the market, and the 1-year maximum drawdown of -12.36% indicates it has maintained reasonable downside protection, showing no extreme signs of being overbought or oversold at its current level.

šŸ“Š Beta
0.66
0.66x market volatility
šŸ“‰ Max Drawdown
-12.4%
Largest decline past year
šŸ“ˆ 52-Week Range
$52-$66
Price range past year
šŸ’¹ Annual Return
+4.7%
Cumulative gain past year
Period WMB Return S&P 500
1m +1.6% +1.3%
3m -3.0% +5.7%
6m +4.9% +10.6%
1y +4.7% +16.5%
ytd -0.2% +1.1%

WMB Fundamental Analysis

Revenue & Profitability: WMB demonstrated solid revenue growth with Q3 2025 revenue increasing to $2.92 billion from $2.77 billion in Q2, while net profit margin improved significantly to 22.1% from 19.7%. The substantial gross profit margin expansion to 83.9% from 38.1% reflects improved cost controls and favorable revenue mix, indicating strengthening operational profitability despite the company's capital-intensive nature.

Financial Health: The company maintains moderate leverage with a 50.2% debt ratio and 2.24 debt-to-equity ratio, supported by reasonable interest coverage of 3.0x. However, liquidity metrics appear constrained with a current ratio of 0.42 and minimal cash reserves, though the negative cash conversion cycle of -158 days demonstrates strong working capital efficiency and favorable supplier terms.

Operational Efficiency: WMB shows modest efficiency metrics with ROE at 5.2% and asset turnover of 0.05, characteristic of asset-heavy pipeline operations. The low fixed asset turnover of 0.05 reflects the capital-intensive nature of the business, while operating cash flow coverage remains adequate at 49% of revenue, supporting ongoing dividend distributions evidenced by the 94% payout ratio.

Quarterly Revenue
$2.9B
2025-09
Revenue YoY Growth
+10.2%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
N/A%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$1.3B
Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is WMB Overvalued?

WMB appears overvalued based on its current valuation metrics. The company's trailing and forward P/E ratios near 30 are quite elevated for a pipeline operator, while its price-to-book ratio of 4.97 and price-to-sales ratio of 6.43 indicate investors are paying substantial premiums relative to the company's asset base and revenue generation. The PEG ratio above 1.6 suggests the stock's premium isn't fully justified by growth expectations, and the extremely high EV/EBITDA of 56.5 reflects significant enterprise value relative to operating earnings.

Without industry averages for direct comparison, the valuation assessment must rely on absolute metrics and typical energy infrastructure benchmarks. These ratios collectively point to a premium valuation that may not be sustainable unless supported by exceptional growth prospects or operational improvements that aren't yet reflected in the current financial metrics.

Current PE
29.4x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range 9Ɨ-52Ɨ
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/AƗ
EV/EBITDA
56.5x
Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure

Volatility Risk: WMB exhibits low volatility risk, with a Beta of 0.658 indicating its price movements are less pronounced than the broader market. Its one-year maximum drawdown of -12.36% further demonstrates a historically modest downside capture, suggesting relative stability during recent market downturns.

Other Risks: The notable absence of short interest signals a lack of significant bearish sentiment from sophisticated investors. However, potential risks remain concentrated in factors like commodity price fluctuations affecting its pipeline operations and regulatory changes impacting the energy infrastructure sector.

FAQs

Is WMB a good stock to buy?

Of course. Here is a concise assessment of WMB as an investment.

Opinion: Neutral to Bearish

Reasons: 1. Elevated Valuation: Key metrics like P/E (~30), Price-to-Book (~5), and EV/EBITDA (56.5) suggest the stock is trading at a significant premium, which may not be justified by its modest growth. 2. Operational & Margin Pressure: Despite revenue growth, declining profit margins and low asset turnover highlight challenges in a capital-intensive business. 3. Technical Weakness: The stock has underperformed the market over the last three months, indicating a lack of positive momentum.

Suitable For: Primarily income-focused investors who are comfortable with the energy sector, due to its dividend. Current valuation makes it less attractive for strict value investors or those seeking high growth.

*Note: This analysis is based on the information provided and is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice.*

Is WMB stock overvalued or undervalued?

Based on the valuation metrics provided, WMB appears overvalued. This judgment is primarily due to its premium valuation compared to typical benchmarks for energy infrastructure companies.

Key valuation metrics indicating overvaluation include: * PE Ratio of 29.41 & Forward PE of ~30: These are significantly higher than what is typical for stable, asset-heavy pipeline operators, which often trade at lower multiples. * PB Ratio of 4.97: This indicates the market is valuing the company's equity at nearly five times its book value, a substantial premium that suggests high growth expectations. * PEG Ratio of 1.68: A PEG ratio above 1.0 generally suggests the stock's price is high relative to its earnings growth potential.

The primary reason for this overvaluation appears to be investor sentiment and expectations, rather than current fundamentals. While WMB shows improving profitability (net margin of 22.1%) and efficient working capital management, its operational efficiency metrics (ROE of 5.2%, asset turnover of 0.05) are low, which is characteristic of the capital-intensive pipeline industry but does not justify such high earnings multiples. The elevated valuation seems to price in future growth or operational improvements that are not yet fully reflected in its current financial performance.

What are the main risks of holding WMB?

Of course. As a risk management analyst, here are the key risks of holding WMB stock, ordered by importance.

1. Commodity Price and Volume Risk: WMB's revenue is directly tied to the volume and price of natural gas and other commodities it transports, making it vulnerable to economic downturns that reduce energy demand or shifts in energy policy that favor alternatives. 2. Regulatory and Political Risk: As a critical energy infrastructure company, WMB faces significant risk from potential changes in environmental, safety, and energy transportation regulations, which could increase costs or limit operations. 3. Financial Leverage and Liquidity Risk: The company's moderate leverage (50.2% debt ratio) and constrained liquidity (current ratio of 0.42) pose a risk, as they limit financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to rising interest rates or unexpected operational disruptions. 4. Execution and Capital Allocation Risk: WMB's asset-heavy business model requires continuous, large-scale capital investment to maintain and expand its pipeline network, creating risk that new projects will face cost overruns, delays, or fail to achieve expected returns.

What is the price forecast for WMB in 2026?

Of course. Based on the provided analysis and current market dynamics, here is a professional forecast for Williams Companies (WMB) stock through 2026.

WMB Stock Forecast for 2026

1. Target Price Range: * Base Case (2026): $68 - $75 * Bull Case (2026): $78 - $85

2. Key Growth Drivers: * Sustained Natural Gas Demand: The expansion of data centers and AI, which require reliable power, will continue to drive demand for natural gas, benefiting WMB's extensive pipeline infrastructure. * Infrastructure Advantage: As a pure-play natural gas transporter, WMB is insulated from commodity price volatility, generating stable, fee-based revenue from its critical assets. * Operational Efficiency & Financial Discipline: The company's focus on cost control and margin improvement, as seen in the expanding gross profit margin, supports stronger cash flows for dividends and strategic projects.

3. Main Assumptions: * Stable regulatory environment for energy infrastructure. * No major disruptions to natural gas demand from the ongoing energy transition. * The company maintains its current credit profile and continues to execute on its capital investment plans.

4. Forecast Uncertainty: This outlook is highly sensitive to macroeconomic conditions, potential energy policy shifts, and the pace of adoption of renewable alternatives, which could alter the long-term demand trajectory for natural gas.