Z

Zillow

$32.19

-3.74%
Jul 10, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Zillow Group is a real estate technology company that operates a digital marketplace connecting buyers, sellers, renters, and real estate professionals, with brands including Zillow, Trulia, and StreetEasy. As a dominant platform in the U.S. residential real estate ecosystem, it differentiates itself through an integrated suite of tools spanning home shopping, financing, and closing services. The current investor narrative centers on the company's transition to profitability after years of losses, with recent quarters showing positive net income, though the stock has faced severe headwinds from rising mortgage rates and a cooling housing market in 2026.

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Z 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $32.19
Average Target $32.19
High Target $37.02
Low Target $27.36

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Zillow's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $41.85 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$41.85

9 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

9

covering this stock

Price Range

$26 - $42

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (22%)
Hold
4 (44%)
Sell
3 (33%)

Nine analysts cover Zillow, with a consensus leaning bullish: recent ratings include Overweight from JP Morgan and Market Perform from Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, while Needham holds at Hold. The average EPS estimate for the next fiscal year is $6.095, with a low of $5.89 and high of $6.38, implying a forward P/E of about 5.3x based on the current price of $32.19. Revenue estimates average $4.658 billion, suggesting 10-15% growth. The implied upside to the average target is substantial, though specific target prices are not provided. The range of EPS estimates is relatively narrow (5.89 to 6.38), indicating reasonable consensus on earnings trajectory. The high estimate of $6.38 assumes continued margin expansion and revenue acceleration, while the low estimate of $5.89 may factor in housing market headwinds. Recent analyst actions have been stable, with no downgrades in the past six months, suggesting confidence in the turnaround story. The wide spread between trailing and forward P/E underscores the market's expectation of a sharp earnings inflection, which carries execution risk.

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Z Technical Analysis

Zillow is in a deep downtrend, with the stock price falling 59.2% over the past year and currently trading at $32.19, just 10.1% above its 52-week low of $29.23 and 65.7% below the 52-week high of $93.88. This positioning near the low end of the range suggests persistent bearish sentiment and potential value trap dynamics, as the stock has not shown signs of basing. Over the last three months, the stock has declined 19.3%, while the one-month change is -5.1%, indicating that selling pressure continues but may be decelerating slightly. The relative strength versus the S&P 500 is deeply negative, with a one-year relative strength of -79.8%, confirming that Zillow is underperforming the broad market by a wide margin. The stock's beta of 1.95 implies it is nearly twice as volatile as the market, amplifying both downside and potential upside moves. Key support lies at the 52-week low of $29.23; a break below that level could signal further downside toward $25. Resistance is at the 52-week high of $93.88, but nearer-term resistance is around $40, a level that capped rallies in early 2026. A breakout above $40 would be a first sign of trend reversal, while a breakdown below $29.23 would likely accelerate selling.

Beta

1.95

1.95x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-67.4%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$29-$94

Price range past year

Annual Return

-59.2%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodZ ReturnS&P 500
1m-5.1%+1.8%
3m-19.3%+10.0%
6m-53.2%+8.8%
1y-59.2%+21.1%
ytd-51.2%+10.7%

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Z Fundamental Analysis

Zillow's revenue has grown steadily, with Q4 2025 revenue of $654 million representing 18.1% year-over-year growth, accelerating from the 5.5% growth in Q4 2024. The residential and rental segments are the primary drivers, with residential revenue of $853 million and rental revenue of $342 million (likely annual figures). The company has achieved positive net income in each quarter of 2025, with Q4 net income of $3 million and EPS of $0.0124, a significant turnaround from the -$52 million loss in Q4 2024. Gross margins remain strong at 72.8% in Q4 2025, though slightly down from 75.8% in Q1 2025, while operating margins are still negative at -1.7% in Q4 2025, indicating that operating expenses continue to outpace gross profit. The balance sheet is healthy, with a current ratio of 3.13 and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11, providing ample liquidity. Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months is $227 million, and the company generated $72 million in operating cash flow in Q4 2025, though capital expenditures were $28 million. ROE is a modest 0.47%, reflecting the early stage of profitability, but the absence of debt overhang reduces financial risk.

Quarterly Revenue

$654000000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+18.05%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

72.78%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$227000000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Rental Revenue
Residential Revenue
Sales Revenue

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Valuation Analysis: Is Z Overvalued?

Since net income is positive, the trailing P/E ratio is the primary valuation metric, currently at 717.5x, which is extremely elevated due to minimal earnings. The forward P/E of 10.7x is much lower, implying that analysts expect significant earnings growth in the coming year. This wide gap suggests the market is pricing in a dramatic earnings recovery. Compared to the industry average (not provided), Zillow's P/S ratio of 6.4x is high for a company with a net margin of only 0.9%, indicating a premium that may be justified by its dominant market position and growth trajectory. Historically, Zillow's trailing P/E has ranged from negative (during loss years) to over 2,000x in recent quarters; the current 717.5x is lower than the 1,376x seen in Q4 2025, reflecting improved earnings. The P/B ratio of 3.38 is near the lower end of its historical range (2.3 to 5.8 over the past few years), suggesting the stock is relatively cheap on a book value basis compared to its own history.

PE

717.5x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range -180x~2064x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

48.4x

Enterprise Value Multiple