ZTS

Zoetis

$111.22

-1.17%
May 6, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Zoetis Inc. is a global leader in the animal health industry, developing and manufacturing a comprehensive portfolio of medicines, vaccines, diagnostics, and other health products for both companion animals (dogs, horses, cats) and production animals (cattle, swine, poultry). As the largest market share holder in its sector, the company is distinguished by its scale, diversified product lines, and deep legacy as the former animal health unit of Pfizer. The current investor narrative centers on questions about its growth trajectory, as recent financial results and analyst commentary highlight concerns over declining growth in key segments despite strong profitability, prompting a debate on the company's ability to maintain its competitive positioning and deliver sustained top-line expansion.

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ZTS 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $111.22
Average Target $111.22
High Target $127.90299999999999
Low Target $94.53699999999999

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Zoetis's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $144.59 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$144.59

6 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

6

covering this stock

Price Range

$89 - $145

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (17%)
Hold
3 (50%)
Sell
2 (33%)

Analyst coverage for Zoetis is limited, with only 6 analysts providing estimates, which is relatively sparse for a large-cap company and may contribute to higher volatility. The consensus sentiment appears neutral to cautiously optimistic, as evidenced by recent institutional rating actions including a downgrade to 'Neutral' from 'Overweight' by Piper Sandler and maintained 'Neutral' or 'Hold' ratings from firms like B of A Securities and Stifel, alongside maintained 'Buy' or 'Overweight' ratings from others like BTIG and Morgan Stanley. The average EPS estimate is $9.27, with a range from $9.10 to $9.46, indicating tight clustering and high conviction on near-term earnings. The target price range implied by the EPS estimates and the current forward PE is not explicitly provided in the data, but the limited number of analysts and recent rating actions signal a period of reassessment. The wide dispersion in recent analyst actions—from downgrades to maintained bullish calls—signals high uncertainty and a lack of clear consensus on the stock's near-term pathway. This environment of limited coverage and mixed signals typically leads to less efficient price discovery and can result in heightened sensitivity to quarterly earnings reports and guidance updates.

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ZTS Technical Analysis

The stock is entrenched in a pronounced downtrend, with a 1-year price change of -26.656%, significantly underperforming the SPY's +29.04% gain. As of the latest close at $114.16, the price is trading near the bottom of its 52-week range, approximately 34% above the 52-week low of $112.97 but 34% below the high of $172.23; this positioning near the lower bound suggests the stock is in a deep correction phase, potentially offering a value opportunity but also reflecting significant fundamental and technical damage. Recent momentum remains weak and aligned with the longer-term downtrend, with the stock down -8.5403% over the past three months and -2.6686% over the past month, indicating persistent selling pressure without signs of a meaningful reversal. The stock's beta of 0.974 indicates its volatility is roughly in line with the broader market, but its severe relative weakness, evidenced by a -55.696 relative strength reading over one year, underscores its unique, company-specific headwinds. Key technical support is clearly defined at the 52-week low of $112.97, while resistance is established at the 52-week high of $172.23. A decisive breakdown below the $113 support level would signal a continuation of the bearish trend and potentially trigger further selling, whereas a sustained move above it could indicate a stabilization attempt. The stock's volatility, as measured by a max drawdown of -33.44% over the provided period, highlights the significant downside risk that has materialized, necessitating careful risk management for any long positions. The stock's volume of approximately 3.17 million shares and a short ratio of 3.69 suggest a notable level of short interest, which could fuel a sharp rally on any positive catalyst (a short squeeze) but also reflects deep-seated bearish sentiment. The price action shows the stock has been unable to sustain any rally, repeatedly failing to break above the $130 level in recent months, confirming the overhead supply and lack of bullish conviction.

Beta

0.86

0.86x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-34.7%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$111-$172

Price range past year

Annual Return

-25.8%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodZTS ReturnS&P 500
1m-6.0%+11.4%
3m-12.2%+8.3%
6m-7.5%+9.4%
1y-25.8%+31.3%
ytd-11.7%+7.6%

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ZTS Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has decelerated and turned negative on a sequential basis, with Q4 2025 revenue of $2.387 billion representing a modest 3.02% year-over-year increase but a decline from the $2.46 billion reported in Q2 2025. The quarterly trend shows revenue peaked in Q2 2025 and has softened in subsequent quarters ($2.4B in Q3, $2.387B in Q4), indicating potential headwinds in key markets or segments. Segment data, while not dated, suggests the companion animal business (exemplified by the $6.08 billion 'Horses' segment) is the dominant revenue driver, but recent news questions growth in key segments, aligning with the observed quarterly deceleration. The company remains highly profitable, with Q4 2025 net income of $603 million and a robust net margin of 25.26%. Gross margin for the quarter was a strong 68.87%, though it has compressed slightly from the 72.28% reported in Q2 2025. Operating income of $826 million in Q4 translates to an operating margin of 34.6%, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain premium profitability levels despite the revenue growth challenges, a hallmark of its market-leading position. Financial health is solid but leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.85, indicating significant use of debt financing. However, the company generates substantial cash, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $2.283 billion and a current ratio of 3.03, providing ample liquidity. The return on equity is exceptionally high at 80.25%, though this is amplified by the high financial leverage. The strong free cash flow supports shareholder returns, as evidenced by significant stock repurchases ($2.06 billion in Q4 2025) and dividend payments.

Quarterly Revenue

$2.4B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.03%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.68%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$2.3B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Cattle
Fish
Horses
Poultry
Swine

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Valuation Analysis: Is ZTS Overvalued?

Given the company's consistent profitability (Net Income > 0), the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. Zoetis trades at a trailing PE of 20.87x and a forward PE of 15.07x based on analyst estimates. The meaningful discount of the forward PE implies the market expects earnings growth, with analysts projecting an EPS of $9.27 for the coming period, up significantly from the most recent quarterly EPS of $1.38. Compared to sector averages, Zoetis's valuation presents a mixed picture. Its trailing PE of 20.87x is below its own historical average seen in recent quarters (e.g., 22.86x in Q4 2025, 31.58x in Q4 2024), suggesting de-rating. The price-to-sales ratio of 5.89x and EV/EBITDA of 15.48x are key metrics for a profitable healthcare company, but without explicit industry averages provided, we note the stock's premium is justified by its industry-leading margins (gross margin of 70.49%, net margin of 28.23%) and strong returns, though growth concerns are capping the multiple. Historically, the stock's valuation has compressed significantly. The current trailing PE of 20.87x is near the lower end of its multi-year range, well below highs above 40x seen in 2021-2022. This de-rating to near-historical lows suggests the market has priced in a more pessimistic outlook regarding growth and competitive pressures. Trading near the bottom of its own valuation band could indicate a value opportunity if the company can re-accelerate growth, or it may reflect a permanent downward shift in expectations due to maturing markets.

PE

20.9x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 22x~70x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

15.5x

Enterprise Value Multiple