DJT
DJTTrump Media & Technology Group Corp.
operates in the Internet Content & Information industry through its Truth Social platform. Its identity is intrinsically linked to its founder, creating a niche platform driven by its connection to a specific political constituency.
更新时间：December 28, 2025, 16:00 EST
投资观点：DJT值得买吗？
Based on the provided analysis, DJT presents an exceptionally high-risk investment proposition unsuitable for the vast majority of investors.
Technical Analysis: The stock's extreme volatility and deep oversold position from its 52-week high suggest any recent gains are unpredictable rallies within a precarious downtrend. The massive beta of 4.632 indicates its price movements are highly speculative and not grounded in stable fundamentals.
Fundamentals & Valuation: The company's financial health is alarming, with severe negative profitability, minimal revenue, and unsustainable cash flow. The astronomical Price-to-Sales ratio of over 1,000 confirms the stock is massively overvalued relative to its actual business performance.
Overall Recommendation: Do Not Buy. DJT lacks the fundamental underpinnings of a sound investment. It is better characterized as a speculative asset driven by sentiment and volatility, exposing investors to a high probability of significant capital loss. Investors should seek opportunities with proven business models and reasonable valuations.
*Note: This is not investment advice, for reference only.*
DJT未来12个月走势预测
RockFlow 模型预测：2026年三种情景
Based on the comprehensive analysis provided, the 12-month outlook for DJT is exceptionally bearish and fraught with peril. The primary catalyst would be speculative, sentiment-driven rallies, but these are unlikely to be sustained due to the complete absence of fundamental support from revenues or profitability. The overwhelming risk is the company's alarming financial health, characterized by severe negative cash flow and a valuation completely detached from its minimal business performance, making a significant decline in share price highly probable. Given the extreme overvaluation and speculative nature, a realistic target price range is indeterminable and would likely be a fraction of the current price, aligning closer to the company's negligible fundamental worth. This stock is best avoided entirely by all but those treating it as a high-stakes gamble.
| 情景 | 概率 | 目标价 | 关键假设 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🟢 乐观情景 | 15% | $18.0 - $22.0 | Extreme speculative rally driven by media attention and retail investor enthusiasm, temporarily overcoming weak fundamentals |
| 🟡 基准情景 | 40% | $10.0 - $14.0 | Continued extreme volatility with no fundamental improvement, trading largely on sentiment swings |
| 🔴 悲观情景 | 45% | $5.0 - $8.0 | Fundamental weaknesses overwhelm speculative interest, leading to significant price decline toward tangible asset value |
华尔街共识
大多数华尔街分析师对DJT未来12个月的走势持乐观态度，主流目标价集中在$13.77左右，表明普遍预期公司仍有上涨空间。
投资DJT的利好利空
综合来看，DJT具备一定的投资价值，但也面临多重挑战。以下是投资该股票前需要权衡的主要因素。
利好
- Major Merger Announcement: DJT stock surged on the $6 billion merger announcement with TAE Technologies.
- Strategic Diversification: Pivot into nuclear fusion represents a significant expansion beyond social media.
- High Trader Interest: Volatility offers potential for short-term gains driven by speculative trading.
- Index Inclusion Scrutiny: Russell 3000 inclusion debate brings increased market visibility.
- Strong Brand Recognition: Trump's name continues to attract significant retail investor attention.
利空
- Fundamental Valuation Risks: High volatility and weak fundamentals question its long-term sustainability.
- Merger Uncertainty: Nuclear fusion pivot is speculative with no guaranteed success or revenue.
- Russell Inclusion Challenges: Officials challenge its index inclusion, raising legitimacy concerns.
- Expert Skepticism: Financial analysts warn most investors should steer clear of DJT.
- Speculative Bubble Fears: Price surges appear driven by hype rather than concrete financials.
DJT 技术面分析
DJT has demonstrated extreme volatility with mixed performance, showing strong recent gains but significant longer-term weakness amid substantial price swings.
The stock has rallied impressively over the past month with a 28.21% gain, but this fails to offset the concerning 19.0% decline over three months, during which it significantly underperformed the market by 23.73%. This mixed short-term picture highlights the stock's unpredictable nature and high-risk profile.
Currently trading at $13.77, DJT sits just 35% above its 52-week low and 68% below its peak, indicating a deeply oversold position despite the recent bounce. The extreme beta of 4.632 confirms extraordinary volatility, while the -76.02% maximum drawdown underscores the substantial risk inherent in this security.
| 时间段 | DJT涨跌幅 | 标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +28.2% | +2.6% |
| 3m | -19.0% | +4.7% |
| 6m | -22.8% | +16.8% |
| 1y | -61.8% | +17.4% |
| ytd | -59.5% | +19.5% |
DJT 基本面分析
Revenue & Profitability: DJT demonstrates severely negative profitability, with operating margins of -59.3% in Q3 2025 deteriorating from -49.3% in Q2. Gross margins remain positive but compressed from 61.2% to 54.1% quarter-over-quarter, indicating minimal revenue generation relative to massive operating expenses while maintaining some pricing power on limited sales. Operating losses of $57.7 million substantially exceed quarterly revenue under $1 million.
Financial Health: The company maintains exceptional liquidity with current and quick ratios above 42, supported by high cash balances. However, operating cash flow coverage of debt is minimal at 0.01, indicating limited ability to service obligations from operations. The modest debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 suggests manageable leverage, though cash flow generation remains insufficient for sustainable operations.
Operational Efficiency: DJT shows critically low asset utilization, with asset turnover of merely 0.0003 reflecting minimal revenue generation from its asset base. Return on equity stands at -2.4%, indicating inefficient use of shareholder capital. The company's operations are heavily burdened by administrative expenses that dwarf its revenue-generating capacity.
最近两年营收 & 净利润走势
公司主要靠什么赚钱？
估值分析：DJT是否被高估？
Based on the available metrics, DJT's valuation presents concerning signals primarily due to its extraordinary PS ratio of 1,048.3, indicating a massive premium relative to its sales. The negative EV/EBITDA ratio of -22.5 confirms the company is not currently generating positive operational earnings. While the PB ratio of approximately 1.7 is more reasonable, the overwhelming weight of the other metrics suggests the stock is significantly overvalued on a fundamental basis.
A peer comparison for meaningful context is unavailable without industry average data from a relevant sector. This absence prevents a standardized assessment against competitors. Therefore, DJT's valuation must be judged on its standalone metrics, which underscore a business model currently disconnected from traditional valuation fundamentals due to minimal revenue relative to its market capitalization.
投资风险提示
The volatility risk for this stock is exceptionally high, as evidenced by its staggering beta of 4.632, indicating it is over 4.6 times more volatile than the broader market. This extreme sensitivity is further confirmed by a severe one-year maximum drawdown of -76.02%, highlighting a substantial historical loss of value that exposes investors to significant price swings.
Beyond volatility, the stock faces atypical risks from its shareholder structure and speculative nature. While the short interest of 2.54% is modest by conventional metrics, it should be considered alongside the potential for liquidity constraints and high volatility driven by concentrated ownership or media-driven sentiment rather than fundamental market dynamics.
常见问题
Bearish: Not recommended for most investors due to extremely high risk.
Core reasons: 1) Severely negative profitability with massive losses (-59% operating margin) and minimal revenue 2) Extreme volatility (beta 4.6+) and speculative price action disconnected from fundamentals 3) Concerning valuation with 1,000+ price-to-sales ratio indicating significant overvaluation
Suitable for: Only highly risk-tolerant speculators seeking short-term trades - not suitable for long-term or value investors. The stock's movements are driven by sentiment rather than business fundamentals.
Based on the metrics provided, DJT stock appears significantly overvalued. Its astronomical PS ratio of ~1,048 is disconnected from traditional fundamentals, and the negative profitability (operating margin of -59.3%) confirms the company is burning cash. While the PB ratio of 1.7 is more reasonable, the overwhelming negative signals from profitability and operational efficiency (like a return on equity of -2.4%) suggest the market price is not supported by the company's current financial performance or sales.
Based on the provided information, the key risks of holding DJT stock are:
1. Extreme Market Volatility: The stock's exceptionally high beta of 4.632 exposes investors to massive price swings, as evidenced by its severe -76.02% maximum drawdown. 2. Severe Operational Profitability Crisis: The company's core operations are deeply unprofitable, with operating losses of $57.7 million vastly exceeding its minimal quarterly revenue of under $1 million. 3. Critical Inefficiency and Speculative Valuation: The company generates almost no revenue from its assets (asset turnover of 0.0003), indicating a fundamental disconnect between its operations and its market valuation, which is driven by non-financial factors. 4. Unsustainable Business Model: The combination of minimal revenue, massive operating expenses, and insufficient cash flow from operations (coverage of 0.01) points to a business model that cannot support itself without continued external financing.
Based on the alarming fundamental deterioration, a DJT forecast through 2026 is exceptionally bearish.
1. Given the severe negative cash flow, minimal revenue, and unsustainable financial model, a realistic target price range is indeterminable but aligns with a fraction of the current price, with a base case near zero and any bull case being purely speculative and detached from fundamentals. 2. Key speculative growth drivers would be entirely dependent on unforeseen, sentiment-driven events rather than business performance, such as a dramatic, successful restructuring or a massive, sustained influx of retail speculation. 3. The primary assumptions are that the current trajectory of mounting operating losses and negligible revenue against high administrative costs will continue, and that the market will eventually price the stock based on its fundamental worth. 4. This forecast carries extreme uncertainty, but the overwhelming risk of corporate failure or massive dilution makes a significant decline far more probable than a recovery.
Based on DJT's extreme volatility (beta of 4.632) and weak fundamentals, it is unsuitable as a long-term investment and should be approached with extreme caution even for short-term trading due to high risk.
For long-term investors (3+ years), this stock is inappropriate; its unsustainable valuation and negative profitability make it a speculative gamble, not a viable long-term holding. Medium-term investors (6 months - 3 years) should avoid DJT, as its extreme price swings and fundamental instability create high uncertainty. Only highly risk-tolerant, speculative short-term traders (under 6 months) might consider it, employing strict risk management to navigate its volatility, though they should recognize it as a sentiment-driven trade, not an investment.
DJT's extreme volatility and weak fundamentals make it unsuitable for most investors; it is better characterized as a speculative instrument rather than a strategic holding.