US Stocks and Commodities Diversified Portfolio
Based on the Merrill Lynch clock transition from recovery to overheating phase, this strategy uses a “core stocks + commodities hedging” approach. It captures growth dividends with tech leaders and energy ETFs, while allocating gold, silver, and agricultural ETFs to hedge against inflation risks, achieving balanced diversification between stocks and commodities.
Actual Return
Backtest Return
Portfolio Details
AI Portfolio Inspiration
According to the Merrill Lynch clock currently in the transition from recovery to overheating, stocks + commodities is indeed a smooth pairing at this stage—stocks benefit from earnings elasticity, commodities hedge against inflation and geopolitical disruptions. I've generated an AI portfolio card based on this strategy for you; you can check it out in the App and decide whether to formally create it.
Here’s a brief summary of the card’s logic without repeating each holding’s allocation:
Stock portion focuses on cyclical and high-growth sectors. US stocks today are led by NVDA +2.54% and SMCI +9.55%, as AI computing power chain profits continue to materialize—this is the most capital-concentrated direction in the late recovery stage; also includes some energy and raw materials sectors benefiting from economic expansion, echoing the commodity side.
Commodity portion is the core of this diversification. Currently, inflation expectations are reigniting, and geopolitical tensions are pushing up crude oil prices; the negative correlation between commodities and stocks at this stage can provide genuine hedging. In the referenced allocation approach, inflation-resistant assets such as gold, energy, and infrastructure are repeatedly mentioned (hangseng.com - September 17, 2026).
Risks: The clock can turn quickly; if inflation rebounds strongly, recovery could shift directly to overheating or even stagflation, at which point the cost-effectiveness of stocks will significantly decline. Therefore, the stock portion in this portfolio does not fully concentrate on high-valuation tech, leaving room in commodities and cyclicals as buffers.
Your account currently holds pure cash ($100.50 USD); once this card is created, it can be directly implemented. If after viewing the card you want to adjust the proportions or swap any holdings, let me know and I’ll help you rebalance.
US Stocks and Commodities Diversified Portfolio
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