American International Group
AIG
$79.90
+0.92%
American International Group (AIG) is a global insurance and financial services firm providing property, casualty, and life insurance products through a broad network of subsidiaries. As one of the largest insurers worldwide, AIG distinguishes itself through its extensive global footprint and diversified risk portfolio, though it recently streamlined its focus by spinning off its life insurance operations into Corebridge Financial. The current investor narrative centers on AIG's transformation into a pure-play property and casualty insurer, with attention on margin improvement, capital return through buybacks, and the potential for underwriting profitability to drive earnings growth.…
AIG
American International Group
$79.90
AIG 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on American International Group's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $103.87 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$103.87
3 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
3
covering this stock
Price Range
$64 - $104
Analyst target range
Based on limited analyst data (3 analysts), the consensus is not explicitly provided, but the average estimated EPS of $9.52 for the current fiscal year implies a forward P/E of 8.3x, which is attractive. The estimated revenue average of $33.23 billion suggests a modest recovery from the trailing twelve-month revenue of approximately $26.77 billion (annualized from recent quarters). The implied upside/downside cannot be calculated without a target price, but the low estimated EPS of $9.28 and high of $9.77 indicate a narrow range, suggesting analyst confidence in earnings stability. Institutional ratings show a mix of Neutral/Equal Weight and Buy/Outperform ratings from firms like Mizuho, UBS, Cantor Fitzgerald, Wells Fargo, Piper Sandler, and Keefe, Bruyette & Woods. The most recent actions (February 2026) include no changes, indicating a stable outlook. The lack of a consensus target price and limited analyst coverage (only 3 EPS estimates) suggests AIG may have reduced coverage following the Corebridge spin-off, which can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery. The wide range of ratings from Neutral to Overweight reflects uncertainty about the company's transformation and growth prospects.
AIG Technical Analysis
AIG's 1-year price change of -3.99% contrasts with the S&P 500's +20.63% gain, indicating significant underperformance. The stock currently trades at $79.17, which is 90.7% of its 52-week range ($71.25–$87.29), positioning it closer to the high end but below the peak. This suggests the stock has recovered from its lows but lacks the momentum to challenge resistance, reflecting a cautious recovery within a broader downtrend relative to the market. Short-term momentum is improving, with a 1-month change of +5.64% and a 3-month change of +2.99%, both positive but lagging the S&P 500's 1-month gain of 4.07%. The 1-month relative strength of 1.57 indicates slight outperformance versus the market recently, but the 1-year relative strength of -24.62 underscores persistent weakness. The divergence between improving short-term momentum and a negative long-term trend could signal a potential trend reversal if buying pressure sustains, but the stock remains in a consolidation phase. The 52-week low of $71.25 provides key support, while the 52-week high of $87.29 acts as resistance. A breakout above $87.29 would signal a bullish reversal and potential trend change, while a breakdown below $71.25 could accelerate selling. AIG's beta of 0.54 indicates it is significantly less volatile than the market, meaning it tends to move less than the S&P 500, which may appeal to risk-averse investors but also limits upside participation in strong markets.
Beta
0.54
0.54x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$71-$87
Price range past year
Annual Return
-2.3%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | AIG Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +5.5% | +1.0% |
| 3m | +3.7% | +7.9% |
| 6m | +9.4% | +8.5% |
| 1y | -2.3% | +20.1% |
| ytd | -5.2% | +9.9% |
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AIG Fundamental Analysis
AIG's revenue trajectory shows a deceleration, with Q4 2025 revenue of $6.557 billion down 8.59% year-over-year from $7.173 billion in Q4 2024. The multi-quarter trend reveals declining revenue from $7.041 billion in Q2 2025 to $6.557 billion in Q4 2025, indicating a contraction. The General Insurance segment contributed $6.72 billion in Q4 2025, while corporate and reconciling items were minimal, suggesting the core P&C business is stable but facing headwinds. This revenue decline raises concerns about top-line growth, though the spin-off of life insurance may distort comparisons. Profitability remains solid, with Q4 2025 net income of $735 million and a net margin of 11.21%, though this is down from 12.52% in Q4 2024. Gross margin of 33.92% in Q4 2025 is relatively stable compared to 34.53% a year earlier, but operating margin compressed to 10.08% from 21.50% in Q4 2024, reflecting higher expenses or lower investment income. The company is profitable with positive EPS of $1.36 in Q4 2025, though the trailing twelve-month net margin of 11.56% suggests moderate profitability in the insurance industry context. AIG maintains a conservative balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22 and generated $3.314 billion in trailing free cash flow. The current ratio of 0.85 indicates adequate short-term liquidity, though it is below 1.0, typical for insurers. Return on equity (ROE) of 7.53% is modest but positive, and the company's strong free cash flow yield (FCF yield of approximately 6.9% based on market cap) supports its ability to fund dividends and share buybacks, with $584 million in repurchases in Q4 2025 alone.
Quarterly Revenue
$6.6B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
-8.59%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
33.92%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$3.3B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is AIG Overvalued?
Since AIG has positive net income, the trailing P/E ratio of 15.61x is the primary valuation metric. The forward P/E of 8.94x implies significant earnings growth expected by the market, as the forward multiple is 43% lower than the trailing multiple. This gap suggests the market anticipates a sharp earnings recovery, likely driven by improved underwriting results and cost savings from the Corebridge spin-off. Compared to the industry average P/E (not provided explicitly, but insurance diversified typically trades around 12-15x), AIG's trailing P/E of 15.61x appears roughly in line, but the forward P/E of 8.94x suggests a discount to expected earnings. The PEG ratio of 0.25 indicates the stock is cheap relative to its growth rate, though this depends on the accuracy of growth estimates. Historically, AIG's trailing P/E has ranged from as low as 2.6x (Q1 2021) to over 300x (Q1 2023), with the current 15.61x near the middle of its five-year band. The current P/E is below the 22x level seen in Q3 2024 and above the 10.9x in Q2 2025, suggesting the stock is not at extreme valuation levels. The price-to-book ratio of 1.18x is near the lower end of its historical range (0.62x to 1.25x over the past five years), indicating the stock may be undervalued relative to book value, though insurance companies often trade below book due to liability risks.
PE
15.6x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Low-End
5-Year PE Range -3x~310x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
7.3x
Enterprise Value Multiple

