Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
BRK-B
$470.55
+1.11%
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. is a diversified financial services conglomerate operating primarily through its subsidiaries in insurance, freight rail transportation, and utilities. The company is distinguished by its unique identity as a long-term value investor and owner of a vast portfolio of wholly-owned, cash-generating businesses, managed under the legendary stewardship of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger. The current investor narrative centers on the company's succession planning post-Buffett, its massive cash pile deployment strategy, and its performance as a defensive, low-beta holding in a volatile market, with recent attention on its quarterly earnings volatility driven by investment gains and losses.…
BRK-B
Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
$470.55
BRK-B 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Berkshire Hathaway Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $611.72 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$611.72
1 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
1
covering this stock
Price Range
$376 - $612
Analyst target range
Analyst coverage for Berkshire Hathaway is notoriously sparse, with only one analyst providing formal estimates in the provided data, reflecting its status as a unique, hard-to-model conglomerate that many analysts choose not to cover with traditional price targets. The single analyst has an estimated EPS average of $23.07 for the coming period. The lack of a consensus target price and buy/hold/sell distribution indicates limited traditional Wall Street coverage, which is typical for the stock. The implications of minimal analyst coverage are significant: it often leads to less efficient price discovery and can contribute to higher volatility as news is digested. The stock's performance is driven more by fundamental reports, capital allocation decisions (like buybacks), and broad market sentiment towards value and defensive stocks rather than analyst upgrades or downgrades. The recent institutional ratings data shows only recurring 'Buy' ratings from UBS, but no price targets are associated, underscoring the qualitative rather than quantitative nature of most coverage on this name.
Bulls vs Bears: BRK-B Investment Factors
The evidence currently tilts slightly bearish in the near term, given the stock's persistent technical weakness, revenue stagnation, and severe market underperformance. However, the bull case is fundamentally strong, anchored by an unparalleled balance sheet and attractive historical valuation. The single most important tension in the investment debate is between the company's deteriorating near-term operational momentum (declining revenue, weak price action) and its immense long-term financial strength and capital allocation optionality. The resolution of this tension—specifically, whether management can deploy its cash hoard effectively to reignite growth or if operational challenges persist—will most decisively determine the stock's future trajectory.
Bullish
- Fortress Balance Sheet & Cash Flow: Berkshire's financial position is exceptionally strong, with a debt-to-equity ratio of only 0.19 and a current ratio of 6.75, indicating minimal leverage and massive liquidity. The company generates substantial free cash flow of $25.04 billion TTM, providing ample capital for strategic investments, acquisitions, and buybacks without financial stress.
- Attractive Valuation Relative to History: The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 16.2x and a P/B of 1.51x, both below its historical averages. This positions BRK-B as not historically expensive, potentially offering a margin of safety for long-term investors, especially given its consistent profitability and a net margin of 20.4% in Q4.
- Defensive, Low-Beta Profile: With a beta of 0.699, BRK-B is approximately 30% less volatile than the broader market. This characteristic makes it a compelling defensive holding during market downturns, offering stability and downside protection, which is valuable in a volatile macro environment.
- Strong Capital Allocation Optionality: The massive cash pile and consistent FCF give management significant optionality to deploy capital opportunistically. This includes potential large-scale acquisitions or accelerated share buybacks, which could be a catalyst for shareholder value if executed at current depressed valuations.
Bearish
- Severe Underperformance & Technical Downtrend: BRK-B has significantly underperformed the S&P 500, down 8.42% over the past year versus the index's 34.9% gain. The stock is trading near its 52-week low of $455.19, showing persistent selling pressure and a lack of buying interest, with negative relative strength of -43.3 over one year.
- Revenue Stagnation & Margin Pressure: Q4 2025 revenue declined 7.13% YoY to $94.23B, continuing a trend of flat-to-declining top-line growth. Concurrently, gross margin compressed slightly to 23.01% from 23.29% in Q3, indicating challenges in its core operating businesses amidst a potential economic slowdown.
- Earnings Volatility & Succession Overhang: Net income is highly volatile quarter-to-quarter due to investment mark-to-market swings, dropping from $30.80B in Q3 to $19.20B in Q4. The long-term overhang of leadership succession post-Buffett creates uncertainty about the future of the company's legendary capital allocation prowess.
- Lack of Analyst Coverage & Catalysts: With only one analyst providing formal estimates, there is limited Wall Street coverage and no consensus price target. This can lead to inefficient price discovery and a lack of near-term catalysts to drive a re-rating, leaving the stock susceptible to broad market sentiment shifts.
BRK-B Technical Analysis
Berkshire Hathaway's stock is in a sustained downtrend, with a 1-year price change of -8.42% as of the latest close, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's 34.9% gain. The current price of $474.48 positions it at approximately 24% of its 52-week range (low: $455.19, high: $542.07), indicating it is trading much closer to its yearly lows than its highs, which may suggest a value opportunity but also reflects persistent selling pressure and weak relative strength. The stock has been in a clear consolidation pattern since late 2025, failing to sustain rallies above the $500 level and recently testing support near the $474 area. Recent momentum remains weak and aligns with the longer-term downtrend. The stock declined 2.04% over the past month and 3.79% over the past three months, contrasting sharply with the S&P 500's gains of 7.36% and 2.67% over the same periods, resulting in severe negative relative strength figures of -9.40 and -6.46, respectively. This consistent underperformance, even during broader market rallies, signals a lack of buying interest and significant divergence from market leadership, likely driven by its defensive, low-growth profile and high cash balances in a risk-on environment. Key technical levels are clearly defined, with immediate support at the 52-week low of $455.19 and major resistance at the 52-week high of $542.07. A breakdown below $455 would signal a new leg down and potentially trigger further selling, while a sustained move above the $500-$510 congestion zone would be needed to suggest a trend reversal. The stock's beta of 0.699 confirms its defensive, low-volatility nature, being approximately 30% less volatile than the broader market, which is a critical consideration for risk-averse investors seeking stability but a headwind during strong bull markets.
Beta
0.70
0.70x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-14.9%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$455-$542
Price range past year
Annual Return
-10.7%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | BRK-B Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -1.8% | +8.5% |
| 3m | -1.8% | +2.8% |
| 6m | -4.4% | +4.6% |
| 1y | -10.7% | +32.3% |
| ytd | -5.3% | +3.9% |
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BRK-B Fundamental Analysis
Berkshire's revenue trajectory shows signs of stagnation and mild contraction. For Q4 2025, revenue was $94.23 billion, representing a year-over-year decline of 7.13%. This follows a sequential drop from $94.97 billion in Q3 2025, indicating a multi-quarter trend of flat-to-declining top-line growth. Segment data, though not dated, shows the Insurance Group ($26.4B), Pilot Travel Centers ($21.2B), and Service/Retailing businesses ($21.4B) as the largest contributors, suggesting growth is likely challenged across its diverse industrial and consumer-facing operations. Profitability remains robust but highly variable quarter-to-quarter due to investment mark-to-market swings. Q4 2025 net income was $19.20 billion on revenue of $94.23 billion, yielding a net margin of 20.37%. However, this is down from a net margin of 32.43% in Q3 2025 when net income was $30.80 billion. Gross margin for Q4 was 23.01%, down from 23.29% in Q3, indicating some margin compression in its operating businesses. The company is consistently profitable, but earnings are lumpy and heavily influenced by the performance of its equity portfolio. The balance sheet and cash flow position are exceptionally strong, underpinning the investment case. The company boasts a fortress-like balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of only 0.19 and a current ratio of 6.75, indicating minimal financial leverage and massive liquidity. Trailing twelve-month free cash flow is a substantial $25.04 billion, providing ample internal capital to fund investments, acquisitions, and share buybacks. Return on equity (ROE) for the latest period is 9.33%, a solid figure for a company of its size and capital intensity, demonstrating efficient use of shareholder capital.
Quarterly Revenue
$94.2B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
-0.07%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.23%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$25.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is BRK-B Overvalued?
Given that Net Income is positive ($19.2B in Q4 2025), the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE ratio is 16.19x, while the forward PE is 21.82x based on analyst estimates. The forward PE being higher than the trailing multiple suggests the market anticipates some earnings growth or normalization from recent quarterly volatility, though the gap is not excessively wide. Compared to the Financial Services sector, Berkshire's valuation is difficult to benchmark directly due to its unique conglomerate structure. However, its trailing PE of 16.2x and Price-to-Book (PB) ratio of 1.51x are generally in line with or at a slight premium to large, diversified financial peers, justified by its superior brand, management track record, and fortress balance sheet. The Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio of 2.92x reflects its asset-heavy business mix. Historically, Berkshire's current trailing PE of 16.19x sits below its own multi-year average visible in the historical data, which has frequently ranged into the 20s and even 30s during strong earnings periods. The current PB ratio of 1.51x is also towards the middle of its historical range, which has fluctuated between approximately 1.3x and 1.75x over the past several years. This positioning suggests the stock is not historically expensive and may be pricing in a more muted growth outlook compared to past cycles.
PE
16.2x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range -52x~62x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
16.0x
Enterprise Value Multiple
Investment Risk Disclosure
Financial & Operational Risks: Berkshire's primary financial risk is not solvency—its balance sheet is a fortress—but earnings volatility and operational stagnation. Net income swung from $30.8B in Q3 2025 to $19.2B in Q4, a 38% sequential drop driven by investment gains/losses, making earnings unpredictable. Revenue declined 7.13% YoY in Q4, signaling potential headwinds across its diverse industrial and insurance segments. While free cash flow remains robust at $25B TTM, the company's sheer size and maturity make high organic growth challenging, creating dependence on lumpy investment gains or large acquisitions to move the needle.
Market & Competitive Risks: The key market risk is valuation compression and persistent underperformance in a 'risk-on' market. BRK-B's beta of 0.70 makes it a defensive stock, which has been a severe headwind as it underperformed the S&P 500 by over 43 percentage points in the last year. If growth stocks continue to lead, BRK-B may remain out of favor. Furthermore, its trailing P/E of 16.2x, while reasonable, could compress further if earnings decline or if the market continues to penalize low-growth conglomerates. Competitive risks are diffuse but include disruption in insurance (InsurTech), rail, and energy sectors.
Worst-Case Scenario: The worst-case scenario involves a sustained economic downturn hitting its cyclical operating businesses (rail, utilities, manufacturing) hard, coupled with a significant market correction that generates large unrealized losses in its equity portfolio. This could lead to multiple quarters of sharply lower earnings, triggering a loss of investor confidence during the sensitive transition to post-Buffett leadership. A realistic downside could see the stock testing and breaking its 52-week low of $455.19, representing a potential loss of approximately -4% from the current price of $474.48. A more severe bear market could push the stock toward the lower end of its historical P/B range near 1.3x, implying a downside of -10% to -15%.

