CI

The Cigna Group

$283.08

+0.35%
Jun 23, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
The Cigna Group is a leading healthcare services company operating primarily in the United States, providing pharmacy benefit management (PBM) and health insurance services. It is a major integrated player, distinct for its powerful combination of the Evernorth PBM and specialty pharmacy platform with its Cigna Healthcare insurance operations, serving employers through self-funding arrangements. The current investor narrative is focused on the company's strategic pivot, as highlighted by its recent quarterly earnings where it raised guidance while simultaneously announcing an exit from the individual exchange market and a strategic review of its eviCore business, signaling a focus on core, profitable segments amidst a dynamic regulatory and competitive healthcare landscape.

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CI 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $283.08
Average Target $283.08
High Target $325.542
Low Target $240.61799999999997

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on The Cigna Group's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $368.00 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$368.00

5 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

5

covering this stock

Price Range

$226 - $368

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (20%)
Hold
2 (40%)
Sell
2 (40%)

Analyst coverage for Cigna appears limited in the provided data, with only 5 analysts cited for EPS estimates, which is low for a large-cap company and may indicate consolidated coverage or incomplete data capture. The consensus sentiment leans bullish, as evidenced by recent institutional ratings from firms like Bernstein (upgraded to Outperform), Barclays (Overweight), and Truist Securities (Buy). A precise average price target and implied upside cannot be calculated from the provided data, which lacks explicit target prices, focusing instead on earnings estimates. The estimated EPS range for analysts is from a low of $44.02 to a high of $46.83, with an average of $45.46, indicating a relatively tight spread of about 6.4%, which suggests stronger conviction in the earnings outlook despite strategic uncertainties. The pattern of recent analyst actions shows no downgrades, with several reiterations of Buy or Overweight ratings following earnings, signaling that the professional investment community is largely supportive of the company's raised guidance and strategic direction.

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CI Technical Analysis

The stock is in a sustained downtrend over the past year, with a 1-year price change of -11.17%, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's 24.99% gain. As of the latest close of $279.27, the price is trading approximately 17.6% below its 52-week high of $338.89 and 16.6% above its 52-week low of $239.51, positioning it in the lower-mid range of its annual band, suggesting potential value opportunity but also reflecting persistent negative momentum. Recent short-term momentum shows a mixed picture, with a 3-month gain of 6.25% indicating a potential recovery attempt, yet a 1-month decline of -4.12% suggests this rebound is fragile and facing resistance, creating a divergence from the longer-term downtrend that may signal a temporary pullback within a broader bearish structure. Key technical levels are clearly defined by the 52-week high at $338.89 as major resistance and the 52-week low at $239.51 as critical support; a breakout above resistance would signal a major trend reversal, while a breakdown below support could accelerate selling pressure. The stock's beta of 0.302 indicates it is approximately 70% less volatile than the broader market, which is unusually low for a healthcare stock and suggests it has acted as a defensive holding, though its recent underperformance relative to the market (evidenced by a -36.16% 1-year relative strength) points to significant idiosyncratic risk.

Beta

0.30

0.30x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-26.9%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$240-$339

Price range past year

Annual Return

-10.7%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodCI ReturnS&P 500
1m-1.1%-1.6%
3m+4.7%+11.7%
6m+3.0%+6.3%
1y-10.7%+22.2%
ytd+1.4%+7.6%

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CI Fundamental Analysis

Cigna's revenue trajectory is solidly growing, with Q4 2025 revenue of $72.47 billion representing a 10.39% year-over-year increase, and sequential quarterly revenue has climbed from $65.50 billion in Q1 to the Q4 peak, indicating consistent top-line expansion. The growth is heavily driven by the Evernorth PBM segment, which contributed $64.74 billion in a recent period versus $12.51 billion from Cigna Healthcare, underscoring the PBM business as the primary engine. The company is profitable, posting Q4 2025 net income of $1.23 billion and a net margin of 1.70%, though profitability has been variable with net income declining from $1.87 billion in Q3; gross margin for the quarter was 7.66%, which is low but typical for a high-volume PBM and insurance model where revenue is largely pass-through drug costs. Margins have compressed from prior quarters, as Q3's gross margin was 8.52% and net margin was 2.68%, indicating recent pressure on profitability despite revenue growth. The balance sheet is healthy with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.75, and the company generates substantial cash flow, evidenced by trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $8.39 billion. With a current ratio of 0.85, liquidity is adequate though not excessive for the capital-intensive healthcare industry, and a Return on Equity of 14.28% demonstrates efficient use of shareholder capital, supporting the company's ability to fund share repurchases and dividends internally.

Quarterly Revenue

$72.5B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.10%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.07%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$8.4B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Cigna Healthcare
Evernorth

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Valuation Analysis: Is CI Overvalued?

Given Cigna's positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The stock trades at a trailing PE of 12.29x and a forward PE of 8.35x based on estimated EPS. The significant discount of the forward multiple implies the market expects substantial earnings growth, likely factoring in the raised guidance and strategic business exits. Compared to sector averages (data not available in the provided set for a direct industry PE), the trailing PE appears low, potentially indicating a discount, but this must be contextualized with the company's low net margin profile and the specific dynamics of the managed care and PBM industry. Historically, Cigna's own valuation has compressed; its current trailing PE of 12.29x is near the bottom of its recent historical range, as it traded at multiples like 14.83x at the end of 2025 and over 17x in early 2025. Trading near historical valuation lows suggests the market may be pricing in pessimistic expectations regarding growth, regulatory headwinds, or strategic execution risk, presenting a potential value opportunity if the company's fundamentals stabilize or improve.

PE

12.3x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -94x~33x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

8.4x

Enterprise Value Multiple