DE

Deere & Company

$585.64

-0.21%
Jul 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Deere & Company is the world's leading manufacturer of agricultural equipment and a major producer of construction machinery, operating through segments including Production & Precision Agriculture, Small Agriculture & Turf, Construction & Forestry, and Financial Services. As the dominant player in agricultural machinery with a vast dealer network spanning over 2,000 locations in North America and a presence in over 100 countries, Deere holds a formidable competitive position. The current investor narrative centers on the potential bottoming of the agricultural equipment cycle, with recent earnings beats and raised guidance fueling optimism, though concerns persist about rising input costs and geopolitical tensions impacting farmer demand.

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DE 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $585.64
Average Target $585.64
High Target $673.49
Low Target $497.79

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Deere & Company's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $761.33 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$761.33

8 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

8

covering this stock

Price Range

$469 - $761

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (25%)
Hold
4 (50%)
Sell
2 (25%)

Deere is covered by 8 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish: ratings include 3 Buys, 3 Holds/Neutral, and 1 Underperform (from Jefferies). The average target price is not directly provided, but using the estimated EPS average of $27.18 and a forward P/E of 25.71, the implied target is approximately $699 (27.18 * 25.71), representing about 19% upside from the current price of $586.86. The consensus recommendation is a cautious Buy, reflecting optimism about the cycle bottoming but tempered by near-term risks. The target range spans from a low of $21.10 EPS (implied price ~$542) to a high of $35.42 EPS (implied price ~$911), indicating significant uncertainty. The high target assumes a strong cyclical recovery and margin expansion, while the low target prices in continued weakness in large agriculture and cost pressures. Recent ratings show stability, with no major downgrades or upgrades in the last few months, suggesting analysts are waiting for clearer signals. The wide spread between high and low targets underscores the cyclical nature of Deere's business and the divergent views on the timing and magnitude of the next upturn.

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DE Technical Analysis

Deere is in a recovery uptrend from its 52-week low of $433.00, with the stock currently trading at $586.86, representing 87% of its 52-week range ($433.00–$674.19). The 1-year price change of +13.03% indicates a sustained upward trajectory, though the stock remains below its 52-week high, suggesting room for further upside if momentum continues. The current price near the midpoint of the range reflects a balanced market, not yet overextended nor deeply undervalued. Short-term momentum shows a mixed picture: the 1-month change of +4.79% is positive and accelerating, while the 3-month change of -3.00% indicates a recent pullback. This divergence suggests the stock may be experiencing a short-term recovery after a multi-month decline, potentially signaling a trend reversal if the 1-month strength persists. The 6-month change of +20.24% confirms the longer-term uptrend, and the stock's beta of 0.90 implies slightly lower volatility than the market, which may appeal to risk-averse investors. Key support lies at the 52-week low of $433.00, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $674.19. A breakout above $674.19 would signal a resumption of the uptrend and could target new highs, while a breakdown below $433.00 would indicate a bearish reversal. With a beta of 0.90, Deere is less volatile than the S&P 500, meaning it may offer relative stability in turbulent markets, but also less upside during strong rallies.

Beta

0.90

0.90x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-20.1%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$433-$674

Price range past year

Annual Return

+14.3%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodDE ReturnS&P 500
1m+1.4%+1.0%
3m-1.7%+7.9%
6m+14.4%+8.5%
1y+14.3%+20.1%
ytd+25.5%+9.9%

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DE Fundamental Analysis

Deere's revenue trajectory shows a mixed trend: the most recent quarter (Q1 2026) reported revenue of $9.611 billion, up 16.33% year-over-year from $8.262 billion in Q1 2025, indicating strong growth. However, this follows a pattern of deceleration from earlier quarters—Q2 2025 revenue was $12.525 billion, Q3 2025 was $11.783 billion, and Q4 2025 was $12.094 billion—suggesting a seasonal or cyclical slowdown. The Production & Precision Agriculture segment, the largest at $3.093 billion, drives growth, while segments like Forestry ($269 million) and Turf ($576 million) are smaller contributors. The growth trend implies that Deere is benefiting from a recovery in agricultural demand, but investors should monitor for sustainability given cyclical headwinds. Deere is profitable, with net income of $656 million in Q1 2026 and a gross margin of 34.66%, which is slightly compressed from 39.03% in Q1 2025. The net margin of 6.83% is lower than the 10.52% in Q1 2025, indicating margin pressure from rising costs. Operating margin of 16.18% is also down from 17.89% a year ago, reflecting higher operating expenses. Despite this, Deere's margins remain healthy compared to industry averages, though the compression warrants attention as it could signal intensifying competition or input cost inflation. Deere's balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.46, indicating moderate leverage, and a current ratio of 2.31, suggesting ample liquidity. Free cash flow (TTM) is $3.576 billion, but Q1 2026 free cash flow was negative $1.578 billion due to working capital outflows. ROE is 19.37%, demonstrating strong returns on equity. The company generates sufficient cash to fund operations, but the negative free cash flow in the latest quarter highlights the cyclical nature of its working capital needs. Overall, Deere's financial health is solid, though leverage and cash flow volatility are key risks.

Quarterly Revenue

$9.6B

2026-02

Revenue YoY Growth

+16.33%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

34.66%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$3.6B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Financial Products
Compact Construction Equipment
Forestry
Production & Precision Ag (PPA)
Roadbuilding
Small Agriculture
Turf
Material Reconciling Items

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Valuation Analysis: Is DE Overvalued?

Since Deere has positive net income, the trailing P/E ratio of 24.89 is the primary valuation metric. The forward P/E of 25.71 is slightly higher, implying the market expects earnings to remain stable or grow modestly. The gap between trailing and forward P/E is minimal, suggesting limited growth expectations priced in. Compared to the industry average (not provided), Deere's P/E of 24.89x is likely at a premium given its market leadership, but without sector data, we note the P/E is above the S&P 500 average, reflecting its quality status. Deere's current P/E of 24.89x is near the lower end of its historical range over the past two years, which has fluctuated between roughly 11x and 55x. The current multiple is well below the peak of 54.83x seen in Q1 2026, indicating a significant de-rating from earlier highs. This suggests the market is pricing in more conservative expectations, potentially offering a value opportunity if earnings stabilize. However, the historical low of 9.86x in Q2 2023 shows that multiples can compress further in a downturn, so investors should weigh the cyclical risk.

PE

24.9x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range 10x~55x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

15.5x

Enterprise Value Multiple