RTX

RTX

$172.55

-0.98%
Jun 3, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
RTX Corporation is a premier aerospace and defense manufacturer formed from the merger of United Technologies and Raytheon, operating across three core segments: Collins Aerospace (diversified aerospace supplier), Pratt & Whitney (commercial and military aircraft engines), and Raytheon (defense prime contractor for missiles, sensors, and communications). The company is a market leader and a critical supplier to both commercial aerospace and global defense markets, leveraging its scale and technological breadth. The current investor narrative is dominated by robust defense demand driven by geopolitical tensions, as evidenced by recent multi-billion dollar contract wins, juxtaposed with concerns over supply chain vulnerabilities, particularly the reliance on Chinese rare earth materials, and the escalating costs of major programs like the Golden Dome missile defense system.

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RTX 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $172.55
Average Target $172.55
High Target $198.4325
Low Target $146.66750000000002

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on RTX's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $224.32 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$224.32

8 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

8

covering this stock

Price Range

$138 - $224

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (25%)
Hold
4 (50%)
Sell
2 (25%)

Analyst coverage for RTX appears limited in the provided dataset, with only 8 analysts cited for EPS estimates, and no explicit consensus rating, average price target, or target range is available in the 'analyst_data' field. The estimated EPS range for the forward period is $9.14 to $9.50, with an average of $9.32, indicating tight clustering and high conviction on near-term earnings. However, the absence of published price targets suggests insufficient data to calculate a clear consensus upside or downside. The institutional ratings data shows recent actions from major firms including Citigroup (Buy), UBS (Neutral), RBC Capital (Outperform), and JP Morgan (Overweight), indicating a generally bullish tilt among covering institutions. The wide dispersion in target prices typically seen in analyst research is not quantifiable here, but the pattern of reiterated bullish ratings in early 2026, alongside a downgrade from UBS from Buy to Neutral in January, points to ongoing debate about the stock's near-term prospects following its strong run-up and recent pullback.

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RTX Technical Analysis

The stock is in a sustained long-term uptrend, evidenced by a 1-year price change of +33.28%, but is currently experiencing a significant correction from its recent highs. As of the latest close at $179.66, the price is positioned at approximately 59% of its 52-week range ($134.37 to $214.5), indicating a retreat from peak levels and suggesting a potential consolidation or value zone after a strong run. Recent momentum has turned sharply negative, with the stock down -11.33% over the past 3 months and underperforming the SPY by -21.61% on a relative basis, signaling a clear deceleration and loss of leadership. The 1-month performance of +3.98% offers a slight reprieve but remains weak relative to the market's +6.31% gain, indicating the stock is struggling to regain its footing amidst broader sector rotation or company-specific concerns. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $134.37, while immediate overhead resistance resides near the 52-week high of $214.5. A decisive break below the recent April lows around $172 could signal a deeper correction toward the $134 support, whereas a recovery above $200 would be needed to re-establish bullish momentum. The stock's beta of 0.30 indicates it is significantly less volatile than the broader market, which historically provided downside protection but has not prevented the recent sharp underperformance.

Beta

0.30

0.30x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-19.3%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$135-$215

Price range past year

Annual Return

+25.5%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodRTX ReturnS&P 500
1m-0.2%+5.0%
3m-15.4%+10.7%
6m+0.8%+10.0%
1y+25.5%+26.5%
ytd-7.9%+10.6%

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RTX Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth remains robust, with Q4 2025 revenue of $24.24 billion representing a 12.1% year-over-year increase, continuing a multi-quarter acceleration from the 8.5% YoY growth in Q3. The growth is broadly based across segments, with Pratt & Whitney ($17.13B), Collins Aerospace ($15.36B), and Raytheon Intelligence & Space ($14.66B) all contributing significant revenue. This trajectory underscores strong end-market demand in both commercial aerospace recovery and defense spending. Profitability is solid but showed some pressure in the latest quarter; Q4 2025 net income was $1.62 billion with a net margin of 6.7%, compared to a higher net margin of 8.5% in Q3. The gross margin for Q4 was 19.5%, slightly down from 20.4% in Q3, indicating potential cost inflation or mix shifts, while the operating margin held steady at 9.4%. The company is firmly profitable, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $7.94 billion supporting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is manageable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.61, indicating moderate leverage. Financial health is further supported by a current ratio of 1.03 and a return on equity of 10.3%. The substantial free cash flow generation, yielding a FCF/Share of approximately $5.91 based on the TTM figure, provides ample internal funding for growth, dividends (payout ratio of 53%), and debt reduction.

Quarterly Revenue

$24.2B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.12%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.19%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$7.9B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Collins Aerospace Systems
Raytheon Intelligence & Space
Pratt and Whitney

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Valuation Analysis: Is RTX Overvalued?

Given a positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is elevated at 36.5x, while the forward P/E is significantly lower at 23.8x, based on estimated EPS of $9.32. This large gap implies the market is pricing in a substantial earnings recovery and growth acceleration over the next twelve months, expecting net income to increase by over 50% from the trailing EPS base. Compared to the Industrials sector, RTX's forward P/E of 23.8x trades at a premium; while a precise industry average is not provided in the data, a typical aerospace & defense forward P/E often ranges in the high teens to low 20s, suggesting RTX's valuation is at the upper end of its peer group. This premium may be justified by its market-leading position, diversified portfolio, and visibility from a strong defense backlog, but it also raises the bar for execution. Historically, the stock's own trailing P/E of 36.5x is near the top of its recent range, having expanded from around 19x in early 2024. This indicates the market has priced in very optimistic expectations, leaving limited room for multiple expansion and increasing vulnerability to any earnings disappointment or guidance reduction.

PE

36.5x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -26x~299x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

21.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple