EA

Electronic Arts

$206.56

+0.82%
Jul 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Electronic Arts (EA) is a leading global developer and publisher of video games, best known for its annual sports franchises like Madden NFL and FC soccer, as well as major titles such as Apex Legends, Battlefield, and The Sims. As one of the largest players in the interactive entertainment industry, EA commands a dominant position in sports gaming and has built a massive recurring revenue base through in-game spending, which accounts for roughly three-quarters of its sales. The current investor narrative centers on EA's ability to sustain growth amid a maturing console cycle, with attention on the successful relaunch of its college football franchise and the ongoing expansion of live services, though concerns linger about the pace of player engagement and the competitive landscape.

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EA 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $206.56
Average Target $206.56
High Target $237.54
Low Target $175.58

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Electronic Arts's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $268.53 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$268.53

2 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

2

covering this stock

Price Range

$165 - $269

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (50%)
Sell
1 (50%)

Insufficient analyst coverage available. Only 2 analysts provide estimates, which is minimal for a large-cap stock like EA. The limited coverage implies that the stock may have lower institutional interest or that analysts are hesitant to issue ratings due to uncertainty. The consensus EPS estimate is $14.38, with a low of $13.16 and high of $15.78, while revenue estimates average $10.49 billion. Without a consensus rating or price targets, investors should rely on fundamental analysis and technical trends. The lack of broad analyst coverage can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery, as fewer voices are shaping market expectations.

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EA Technical Analysis

EA's stock is in a sustained uptrend, with a 1-year price change of +30.68%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 19.1% gain. The current price of $205.21 sits near the top of its 52-week range, at 99.6% of the 52-week high of $206.00, indicating strong momentum and bullish sentiment. This positioning near highs suggests the stock is in favor, though it also raises the risk of a pullback if catalysts fail to materialize. Short-term momentum shows a 1-month gain of 1.58% and a 3-month gain of 0.79%, both positive but decelerating relative to the 1-year trend. The 1-month relative strength versus the S&P 500 is +2.83%, confirming near-term outperformance, while the 3-month relative strength is -12.77%, hinting at a divergence where the stock has lagged the broader market recently. This could signal a consolidation phase or a temporary pause before the next leg higher. The 52-week low of $146.97 provides a clear support level, while the 52-week high of $206.00 acts as resistance. A breakout above $206 would likely trigger further upside, while a breakdown below $147 would be a bearish signal. With a beta of 0.64, EA is less volatile than the market, making it a relatively defensive holding in the communication services sector.

Beta

0.64

0.64x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-7.5%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$147-$207

Price range past year

Annual Return

+35.3%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodEA ReturnS&P 500
1m+2.0%+2.0%
3m+1.9%+10.6%
6m+1.2%+8.3%
1y+35.3%+20.4%
ytd+1.1%+10.2%

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EA Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been modest but positive. In the most recent quarter (Q3 FY2026, ended December 31, 2025), EA reported revenue of $1.916 billion, up 1.75% year-over-year from $1.883 billion in the prior-year quarter. However, this growth rate has decelerated from the 7.5% YoY growth seen in Q2 FY2026 and the 12.6% growth in Q1 FY2026, indicating a slowing top-line trajectory. The revenue mix is heavily weighted toward live services, which contributed $1.269 billion (66.2% of total), while full game downloads added $546 million and packaged goods only $86 million. The reliance on live services provides recurring revenue but also exposes EA to player engagement trends. Profitability remains solid, with gross margin of 73.2% in Q3 FY2026, though down from 75.8% in Q2 and 83.3% in Q1, reflecting higher cost of revenue. Net income was $88 million, yielding a net margin of 4.6%, a sharp decline from 12.0% in Q1 and 7.4% in Q2, driven by higher operating expenses. Operating margin fell to 7.4% from 16.2% in Q1, indicating margin compression. EA's balance sheet is healthy, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23 and a current ratio of 1.05. Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months is $2.299 billion, providing ample liquidity for dividends and buybacks. ROE stands at 13.1%, reflecting efficient capital use, though the payout ratio of 21.5% suggests room for increased shareholder returns.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.9B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+1.75%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

73.23%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$2.3B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Full game downloads, net revenue
Live services and other, net revenue
Packaged goods, net revenue

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Valuation Analysis: Is EA Overvalued?

Since EA has positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 57.4x, while the forward P/E is 21.2x, implying the market expects significant earnings growth in the coming year. This wide gap suggests that current earnings are depressed (likely due to higher expenses) and that analysts anticipate a sharp rebound. Compared to the industry average (not provided, but typically around 20-25x for gaming), EA's forward P/E of 21.2x appears reasonable, though the trailing multiple is elevated. The P/S ratio of 6.8x is above the sector median, reflecting a premium for its live services model. Historically, EA's trailing P/E has ranged from 20x to 145x over the past few years. The current 57.4x is near the higher end of that range, indicating that the market is pricing in optimistic future earnings. However, the forward P/E of 21.2x is closer to historical norms, suggesting that if earnings materialize as expected, the stock is fairly valued. The PEG ratio is negative (-3.37) due to negative earnings growth expectations, which warrants caution.

PE

57.4x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -688x~145x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

39.8x

Enterprise Value Multiple