JPMorgan Chase
JPM
$300.85
-0.04%
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is a leading global financial services firm operating across 66 countries, with a core business spanning consumer and community banking, commercial and investment banking, and asset and wealth management. The company is a dominant market leader, evidenced by its top global ranking in investment banking fees with an 8.4% market share, a massive $4.9 trillion balance sheet, and over $7.1 trillion in managed client assets. The current investor narrative is shaped by its resilient performance in a complex macroeconomic environment, with recent news highlighting CEO Jamie Dimon's cautious tone on market exuberance and a focus on expense management, juxtaposed against the bank's strong long-term outlook and consistent dividend growth.…
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
$300.85
Related headlines
JPM 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on JPMorgan Chase's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $391.11 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$391.11
5 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
5
covering this stock
Price Range
$241 - $391
Analyst target range
Analyst coverage for JPMorgan is extensive among institutional firms, though the provided data shows only 5 analysts with explicit estimates. The consensus sentiment leans bullish, with recent institutional ratings from firms like Piper Sandler, Wells Fargo, and Barclays maintaining 'Overweight' or 'Outperform' ratings, while others like Truist and Morgan Stanley have 'Hold' or 'Equal Weight' stances. The average target price is not explicitly provided in the data, so the implied upside or downside cannot be calculated; however, the pattern of maintained bullish ratings by several major firms suggests a positive bias. The target price range is also not provided in the dataset, but the pattern of recent analyst actions shows stability rather than dramatic shifts. The high targets likely assume a continuation of JPMorgan's dominant market position, steady execution, and a benign interest rate environment supporting net interest margins. The low targets would factor in risks such as a recessionary credit cycle, margin compression from potential rate cuts, and increased regulatory scrutiny or capital requirements. The mix of 'Overweight' and 'Hold' ratings indicates a consensus view of a high-quality company that may be fairly or fully valued at current levels, leading to a lack of unanimous bullish conviction.
JPM Technical Analysis
The stock is in a pronounced downtrend, having declined 4.40% over the past six months and 8.04% year-to-date as of the current price of $299.31. It is trading at approximately 58% of its 52-week range ($260.31 to $337.25), indicating it is closer to its yearly lows, which may present a value opportunity but also signals significant selling pressure and a lack of bullish momentum. Recent momentum is weak and negative, with the stock down 3.21% over the past month and 0.33% over the past three months, diverging sharply from the broader market's strong gains (SPY up 6.31% and 10.28% over the same periods, respectively). This persistent underperformance, highlighted by a 1-month relative strength of -9.52, suggests the stock is facing significant headwinds and is in a phase of consolidation or continued weakness. Key technical support is clearly defined at the 52-week low of $260.31, while resistance sits at the 52-week high of $337.25. A breakdown below the $260 support would signal a potential acceleration of the downtrend, whereas a sustained move above the $337 resistance would be necessary to invalidate the bearish structure. The stock's beta of 1.023 indicates its volatility is roughly in line with the broader market, which is typical for a large-cap financial, but its recent price action shows it has been a significant laggard, not a market proxy, requiring careful risk assessment for entry.
Beta
1.02
1.02x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-15.5%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$260-$337
Price range past year
Annual Return
+13.0%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | JPM Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -2.2% | +5.0% |
| 3m | +2.5% | +10.7% |
| 6m | -4.5% | +10.0% |
| 1y | +13.0% | +26.5% |
| ytd | -7.6% | +10.6% |
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JPM Fundamental Analysis
Revenue growth has been positive but decelerating, with Q4 2025 revenue of $69.61 billion representing a 3.88% year-over-year increase. However, examining the quarterly trend from Q1 to Q4 2025 shows revenue peaked in Q3 at $71.90 billion before dipping, suggesting potential cyclical pressure or normalization from exceptionally high net interest income. The Consumer & Community Banking segment contributed $19.40 billion in the latest period, nearly matching the Commercial & Investment Bank's $19.38 billion, indicating balanced but not explosive growth drivers across its core franchises. Profitability remains robust with a net income of $13.03 billion in Q4 2025, translating to a healthy net margin of 18.71%. Gross margin for the quarter was 59.11%, consistent with the trailing twelve-month gross margin of 59.91%, demonstrating stable core banking profitability. The trend from recent quarters shows net income has moderated from highs seen in Q2 and Q3 2025 ($14.99B and $14.39B, respectively), indicating a peak in the earnings cycle, though absolute profitability levels remain strong for a diversified bank. The balance sheet is exceptionally strong, with a trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $100.87 billion, providing immense internal funding capacity for dividends, buybacks, and growth. The debt-to-equity ratio of 2.60 is elevated but manageable for a bank of its scale and is offset by a high return on equity of 15.74%. The current ratio of 0.52 is low, which is standard for banking institutions whose primary assets are loans and securities rather than liquid current assets, and does not indicate a liquidity crisis given its massive deposit base and access to capital markets.
Quarterly Revenue
$69.6B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.03%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.59%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$100.9B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is JPM Overvalued?
Given a positive net income of $13.03 billion, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE is 15.75x, while the forward PE is 12.71x, based on estimated EPS. The forward multiple's discount to the trailing multiple implies the market expects earnings growth, or at least stability, in the coming year, pricing in a forward earnings yield of approximately 7.9%. Compared to sector averages, JPMorgan's valuation presents a mixed picture. Its trailing PE of 15.75x is above the typical range for large-cap banks (often 10-12x), suggesting a quality premium. This premium is likely justified by its industry-leading market share, superior profitability (ROE of 15.74% vs. peers often in the low teens), and diversified revenue streams that provide stability, though it makes the stock more sensitive to earnings disappointments. Historically, the stock's current trailing PE of 15.75x sits above its own multi-year range observed in the historical ratios data, which shows PE ratios fluctuating between approximately 7.4x and 17.2x over recent years. Trading near the upper end of its historical band suggests the market is still pricing in relatively optimistic expectations for future earnings power and resilience, despite the recent stock price weakness. This elevated historical multiple limits the margin of safety and increases vulnerability if earnings estimates are revised downward.
PE
15.8x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
High-End
5-Year PE Range 7x~17x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
18.4x
Enterprise Value Multiple

