JPM

JPMorgan Chase

$334.14

+0.80%
Jun 23, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is a leading global financial services firm operating across consumer and community banking, commercial and investment banking, and asset and wealth management. It is the world's largest bank by market capitalization and maintains a dominant competitive position, evidenced by its top global ranking in investment banking fees and a massive $4.9 trillion balance sheet. The current investor narrative centers on the bank's performance in a shifting interest rate environment, with recent news highlighting the supportive impact of a steady Fed policy on lending margins, while major capital markets events like the SpaceX IPO signal a potential revival in lucrative investment banking revenue streams.

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JPM 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $334.14
Average Target $334.14
High Target $384.26099999999997
Low Target $284.019

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on JPMorgan Chase's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $434.38 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$434.38

5 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

5

covering this stock

Price Range

$267 - $434

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (20%)
Hold
2 (40%)
Sell
2 (40%)

Insufficient analyst coverage data is available to form a reliable consensus, as the provided data indicates only 5 analysts contributing to estimates. This limited coverage, despite the company's massive market cap, is unusual and may indicate data gaps. Typically, a stock of JPM's size and liquidity would have extensive coverage from dozens of analysts. The absence of a clear consensus price target, buy/hold/sell distribution, and target range means there is less institutional guidance for price discovery, which can sometimes lead to higher volatility based on macroeconomic and sector news rather than company-specific analysis. The available institutional ratings show a pattern of reiterated 'Overweight' and 'Hold' ratings from major firms like Barclays and Wells Fargo, indicating a generally stable but cautious view among those who do cover it.

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JPM Technical Analysis

The stock is in a pronounced downtrend, having declined 8.24% over the last six months and currently trading near the lower end of its 52-week range, approximately 14% above its 52-week low of $272.11. This positioning suggests the stock is in a value-seeking zone but remains vulnerable to further downside if the broader market weakness persists. Recent momentum shows a significant divergence, with a strong 9.98% gain over the past month sharply contrasting the longer-term negative trend, indicating a potential short-term rebound or oversold bounce. However, the stock's 1-year relative strength of -6.28% against the SPY underscores its persistent underperformance. Key technical support is firmly established at the 52-week low of $272.11, while resistance sits at the 52-week high of $338.09. A sustained break above the recent high of $333.46 would be needed to signal a trend reversal. With a beta of 1.0, the stock's volatility is in line with the broader market, suggesting its moves are largely driven by sector and macroeconomic factors rather than idiosyncratic risk.

Beta

1.00

1.00x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-15.5%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$279-$338

Price range past year

Annual Return

+20.1%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodJPM ReturnS&P 500
1m+9.1%-1.6%
3m+13.1%+11.7%
6m+1.5%+6.3%
1y+20.1%+22.2%
ytd+2.7%+7.6%

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JPM Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been stable but modest, with Q4 2025 revenue of $69.61 billion representing a 3.88% year-over-year increase, though this marks a sequential deceleration from the stronger Q3 figure of $71.90 billion. The revenue is well-diversified, with the Consumer & Community Banking segment contributing $19.40 billion and the Commercial & Investment Bank adding $19.38 billion in the latest period. Profitability remains robust with a net income of $13.03 billion in Q4, translating to a healthy net margin of 20.39%. The gross margin for the quarter was 59.11%, showing stability, and the operating margin was a solid 25.95%, indicating efficient cost management despite a high-interest expense environment. The balance sheet is strong, evidenced by a substantial trailing-twelve-month free cash flow of $100.87 billion, which provides ample internal funding for dividends, buybacks, and growth. The debt-to-equity ratio of 2.60 is elevated but typical for a leveraged financial institution, and a return on equity of 15.74% demonstrates effective capital allocation.

Quarterly Revenue

$69.6B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.03%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.59%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$100.9B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Segment Reconciling Items
Asset and Wealth Management Segment
Commercial And Investment Bank
Consumer & Community Banking
Segment Reporting, Reconciling Item, Corporate Nonsegment

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Valuation Analysis: Is JPM Overvalued?

Given its consistent profitability, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The stock trades at a trailing PE of 15.75x and a forward PE of 13.82x, with the forward discount implying market expectations for earnings growth. Compared to the provided industry average PE of 22x for the 'Banks - Diversified' sector, JPM's multiple represents a significant 28% discount. This discount may reflect concerns about peak net interest margins or macroeconomic headwinds, despite the company's superior scale and profitability metrics. Historically, the stock's own trailing PE has fluctuated, with a recent high near 17.25x in Q4 2025 and lower readings in prior years. The current multiple of 15.75x sits below this recent peak, suggesting the market is not pricing in overly optimistic expectations and may offer a relative value opportunity if the company's fundamentals remain intact.

PE

16.0x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range 7x~17x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

18.4x

Enterprise Value Multiple