WFC

Wells Fargo

$87.67

+0.59%
Jul 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Wells Fargo is a premier North American-focused banking titan that commands a $2.2 trillion balance sheet and the third-highest deposit market share in the United States, operating through a dense network of 4,093 branches serving retail consumers and middle-market businesses. The bank is a market leader in U.S. retail and commercial banking, with a particularly strong reputation in middle-market lending and a diversified business spanning consumer & business lending, commercial banking, corporate & investment banking, and wealth & investment management. Following the removal of its federal asset cap in 2025, the firm is now positioned to deploy its legacy excess liquidity to expand across all segments, driving the current investor narrative around growth acceleration and capital return. Recent attention has focused on the bank's ability to navigate a higher-for-longer interest rate environment, with stress test success enabling dividend increases and buybacks, while debates persist about its relative growth trajectory compared to peers like Citigroup.

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WFC 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $87.67
Average Target $87.67
High Target $100.82
Low Target $74.52

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Wells Fargo's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $113.97 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$113.97

2 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

2

covering this stock

Price Range

$70 - $114

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (50%)
Sell
1 (50%)

Analyst coverage is limited, with only 1 analyst providing estimates, which is insufficient for a consensus view. The single analyst estimates EPS of $9.94 for the current fiscal year, with a range of $9.72 to $10.17, and revenue of $129.24 billion, ranging from $127.03 billion to $131.51 billion. Given the lack of a target price or recommendation distribution, we cannot calculate implied upside/downside. The limited coverage likely reflects Wells Fargo's status as a large-cap bank that is well-followed by the sell-side, but the data provided may be incomplete. Institutional ratings from major firms (Goldman Sachs, Truist, JP Morgan, etc.) show a mix of Buy and Neutral ratings, with recent actions including upgrades and reiterations, suggesting a generally positive but cautious sentiment. The most recent rating from Goldman Sachs (March 2026) is a Buy, while JP Morgan (February 2026) is Neutral. The absence of a consensus target price and recommendation distribution means investors should rely on broader market sentiment and fundamental analysis. The wide range of EPS estimates ($9.72–$10.17) indicates some uncertainty, but the narrow spread relative to the mean suggests reasonable confidence in the near-term outlook. For a more comprehensive view, investors should consult additional analyst reports beyond the limited data provided.

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WFC Technical Analysis

Wells Fargo's stock is in a recovery phase after a significant pullback, with the current price of $87.16 representing a 5.8% gain over the past year but still trading at 89% of its 52-week range ($72.78–$97.76). The stock has rebounded from its 52-week low of $72.78 in May 2026, but remains well below the 52-week high of $97.76, suggesting the recovery is still in its early stages and has not yet reclaimed prior highs. The 1-year price change of +5.8% significantly underperforms the S&P 500's +20.6% gain, indicating relative weakness in the broader market context. Short-term momentum is positive but mixed: the 1-month price change of +6.3% shows accelerating momentum, while the 3-month change of +2.1% is more modest, and the 6-month change of -9.2% highlights the earlier downturn. The 1-month relative strength of +2.3% versus the S&P 500 suggests recent outperformance, but the 1-year relative strength of -14.8% underscores persistent underperformance. This divergence between short-term recovery and long-term weakness could signal a potential trend reversal if momentum continues, but caution is warranted given the stock's beta of 0.92, which indicates slightly lower volatility than the market. Key support lies at the 52-week low of $72.78, a break below which would signal a bearish continuation, while resistance at the 52-week high of $97.76 represents a critical level; a breakout above would confirm a strong recovery and potentially attract momentum buyers. The stock's beta of 0.92 implies it is 8% less volatile than the S&P 500, making it a relatively defensive holding within the financial sector.

Beta

0.92

0.92x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-23.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$73-$98

Price range past year

Annual Return

+6.2%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodWFC ReturnS&P 500
1m+4.7%+1.0%
3m+7.3%+7.9%
6m-1.8%+8.5%
1y+6.2%+20.1%
ytd-7.9%+9.9%

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WFC Fundamental Analysis

Wells Fargo's revenue trajectory is modestly growing, with Q4 2025 revenue of $31.82 billion representing a 4.0% year-over-year increase from $30.60 billion in Q4 2024. However, the growth rate has decelerated from the 3.0% sequential decline seen in Q3 2025 ($31.91 billion) and the 2.0% decline in Q2 2025 ($30.18 billion), indicating a flattening trend. Revenue segments show Community Banking as the largest contributor at $9.23 billion, followed by Corporate and Investment Banking at $4.67 billion, Wealth and Investment Management at $3.90 billion, and Wholesale Banking at $2.93 billion. The modest growth is driven by higher interest income ($22.60 billion in Q4 2025 vs. $22.06 billion in Q4 2024), reflecting the benefit of higher interest rates, but net interest income faces pressure from rising deposit costs. The investment case hinges on whether the bank can accelerate revenue growth post-asset cap removal, but current trends suggest a gradual rather than explosive expansion. Profitability is solid, with net income of $5.36 billion in Q4 2025 and a net margin of 16.9%, up from 16.6% in Q4 2024. Gross margin stands at 64.5%, while operating margin is 20.5%, both relatively stable over recent quarters. The bank's ROE of 11.8% is healthy for a large bank, though below some peers, and the net margin has improved from 14.7% in Q1 2024, indicating gradual margin expansion. However, operating expenses remain high at $13.98 billion, and the efficiency ratio (non-interest expenses/revenue) is elevated, suggesting room for cost optimization. Balance sheet strength is evident with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.35, which is moderate for a bank, and a current ratio of 0.29, typical for banks due to their business model. Free cash flow was negative $19.0 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis, but this is largely due to working capital changes and investment activities rather than operational weakness; operating cash flow was $4.12 billion in Q4 2025. The bank holds substantial cash of $172.6 billion, providing ample liquidity. ROE of 11.8% is decent, and the payout ratio of 30.4% supports a sustainable dividend yield of 2.2%. Overall, the balance sheet is well-capitalized, and the bank generates sufficient earnings to cover dividends and share buybacks, though free cash flow volatility warrants monitoring.

Quarterly Revenue

$31.8B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+4.0%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

64.5%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$-19.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Wholesale Banking
Community Banking
Corporate and Investment Banking
Wealth And Investment Management

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Valuation Analysis: Is WFC Overvalued?

Given Wells Fargo's positive net income of $5.36 billion, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 14.6x, while the forward P/E is 11.0x, based on estimated EPS of $9.94. The significant discount of the forward P/E to the trailing P/E implies the market expects earnings growth, which is consistent with the estimated EPS growth from $6.39 (trailing) to $9.94 (forward). Compared to the industry average P/E for diversified banks (approximately 12-15x), Wells Fargo's trailing P/E of 14.6x is near the upper end, suggesting a slight premium. However, the forward P/E of 11.0x is at a discount to the industry average, indicating that the market may be pricing in below-average growth or risks. The P/B ratio of 1.64x is above the industry average of around 1.2x, reflecting a premium for the bank's brand and deposit franchise. The PEG ratio of 0.82x suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate, as a PEG below 1.0 typically indicates undervaluation. Historically, Wells Fargo's trailing P/E has ranged from 6.5x (in Q3 2023) to 14.6x (current), placing the current multiple near the top of its 5-year range. The P/B ratio has ranged from 0.78x (Q1 2023) to 1.64x (current), also near the high end. This suggests the market is pricing in optimistic expectations for the post-asset cap era, including potential revenue acceleration and margin expansion. However, the stock is not at extreme valuation levels, and the forward P/E discount to the industry average provides a margin of safety if growth materializes.

PE

14.6x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range 6x~14x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

18.7x

Enterprise Value Multiple