MCK

McKesson Corporation

$871.18

+1.70%
Apr 8, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
McKesson Corporation is a leading healthcare services and information technology company, primarily operating as one of the three dominant pharmaceutical wholesalers in the United States, sourcing and distributing branded, generic, and specialty drugs to pharmacies, hospitals, and healthcare providers. The company holds a critical position as a market leader within a highly consolidated industry, alongside Cencora and Cardinal Health, collectively controlling over 90% of the US pharmaceutical wholesale market, and it further diversifies its operations through medical-surgical product distribution and technology solutions for pharmacies. The current investor narrative is focused on the company's ability to deliver consistent growth and margin expansion despite the low-margin nature of its core distribution business, with recent financial performance demonstrating robust revenue increases and a significant jump in profitability, which is driving debate about the sustainability of this earnings momentum and the valuation of this essential but often overlooked healthcare infrastructure player.

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MCK 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $871.18
Average Target $871.18
High Target $1001.8569999999999
Low Target $740.5029999999999

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on McKesson Corporation's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $1132.53 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$1132.53

1 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

1

covering this stock

Price Range

$697 - $1133

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
0 (0%)
Sell
1 (100%)

Analyst coverage appears limited in the provided dataset, with only one analyst's estimates shown, indicating potentially insufficient broad consensus data for a definitive sentiment reading. The single analyst provides an estimated EPS average of $67.19 for the period, with a range from $65.45 to $68.97, and an estimated revenue average of $550.69 billion; however, without a consensus price target or recommendation distribution, calculating implied upside or downside is not possible. The institutional ratings data shows a pattern of reiterated bullish stances from major firms, with recent actions from Barclays, JP Morgan, TD Cowen, UBS, and Morgan Stanley all maintaining 'Overweight' or 'Buy' ratings, while Mizuho and Wells Fargo maintain 'Neutral' and 'Equal Weight' stances respectively, suggesting a generally positive but not unanimous institutional view; the lack of downgrades amidst the recent price pullback could be interpreted as a supportive signal.

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MCK Technical Analysis

The stock is in a sustained uptrend over the past year, evidenced by a 27.5% price increase, but is currently experiencing a significant pullback from recent highs. As of the latest close at $884.28, the price is trading approximately 88.5% of its 52-week range ($637 to $999), indicating it has retreated meaningfully from its peak but remains well above its yearly low, suggesting the longer-term bullish structure is intact but near-term momentum has weakened. Recent momentum has turned sharply negative, with the stock down 11.19% over the past month, which starkly contrasts with its positive 7.39% return over the past three months; this divergence signals a potential consolidation or correction phase following the powerful rally that peaked in late February and early March. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $637, while immediate overhead resistance is at the recent high of $999; a decisive break below the recent March low near $860 could signal a deeper correction towards the $800 area, whereas a recovery above the $950 level would suggest the uptrend is resuming. With a beta of 0.423, the stock has demonstrated significantly lower volatility than the broader market (SPY), which fell 3.74% over the past month, meaning MCK's recent underperformance of -7.45% on a relative strength basis is particularly notable and may indicate stock-specific profit-taking after its strong run.

Beta

0.42

0.42x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-14.0%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$637-$999

Price range past year

Annual Return

+33.4%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodMCK ReturnS&P 500
1m-7.5%-0.3%
3m+6.9%-2.0%
6m+14.1%+3.5%
1y+33.4%+36.2%
ytd+5.8%-0.9%

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MCK Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth remains robust, with the most recent quarterly revenue reaching $106.16 billion, representing an 11.4% year-over-year increase, and this acceleration is evident as revenue has grown sequentially from $90.82 billion in Q4 FY2025 to the current level, driven primarily by the massive North American Pharmaceutical Segment which contributed $88.32 billion. Profitability has improved dramatically, with net income for the quarter surging to $1.19 billion, resulting in a net margin of 1.12%, and gross margin expanded to 3.47% from 3.43% in the prior quarter, indicating effective cost management in a notoriously thin-margin business. The balance sheet and cash flow position is strong, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $10.10 billion, a current ratio of 0.90 indicating sufficient short-term liquidity, and a return on assets of 4.33%, though the negative debt-to-equity ratio of -3.56 and negative return on equity of -158.87% are accounting artifacts likely due to significant shareholder equity deficits from large share buybacks, which the substantial free cash flow generation supports.

Quarterly Revenue

$106.2B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.11%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.03%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$10.1B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is MCK Overvalued?

Given the company's positive net income of $1.19 billion, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E stands at 26.02x, while the forward P/E is notably lower at 19.99x, indicating the market expects significant earnings growth in the coming year. Compared to sector averages, McKesson trades at a premium on a sales basis with a P/S ratio of 0.24 and an EV/Sales of 0.29, though direct industry average comparisons are not provided in the data, the low multiples reflect the wafer-thin margins typical of the distribution business. Historically, the stock's own trailing P/E of 26.02x is above its recent quarterly range observed in the historical ratios data, which has fluctuated between approximately 11.6x and 29.2x over the past several years, suggesting the current valuation is at the higher end of its historical band, pricing in optimistic expectations for sustained earnings growth.

PE

26.0x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -1346x~66x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

16.7x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure