McKesson Corporation
MCK
$754.76
+1.49%
McKesson Corporation is a dominant player in the healthcare supply chain, primarily operating as one of the three leading pharmaceutical wholesalers in the United States, sourcing and distributing branded, generic, and specialty pharmaceutical products to pharmacies, hospital networks, and healthcare providers. The company holds a critical market position as part of an oligopoly, alongside Cencora and Cardinal Health, collectively accounting for over 90% of the US pharmaceutical wholesale industry, and also engages in medical-surgical distribution and technology solutions. The current investor narrative centers on the company's ability to navigate the low-margin, high-volume wholesale model while demonstrating consistent profitability and cash flow generation, with recent attention likely focused on its quarterly earnings performance and the stability of its core distribution business amidst broader healthcare sector dynamics.…
MCK
McKesson Corporation
$754.76
MCK 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on McKesson Corporation's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $981.19 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$981.19
3 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
3
covering this stock
Price Range
$604 - $981
Analyst target range
Insufficient analyst coverage data is available to form a robust consensus view, as the provided data indicates coverage from only one analyst. This limited coverage is atypical for a large-cap company like McKesson and may indicate data sourcing limitations in the provided set. The single analyst provides an estimated EPS average of $66.15 for the period, with a range from $64.37 to $67.85, and an estimated revenue average of $551.31 billion. Without a consensus price target or recommendation distribution, it is difficult to gauge overall sentiment. The implication of minimal visible coverage is that investors must rely more heavily on independent fundamental and technical analysis, as the stock may experience periods of less efficient price discovery compared to heavily covered peers, though its large market cap and liquidity typically attract significant institutional interest.
MCK Technical Analysis
The stock is in a sustained uptrend over the past year, evidenced by a 1-year price change of +15.17%, but is currently experiencing a significant pullback from its highs. As of the latest close at $814.02, the stock is trading at approximately 81% of its 52-week range, positioned between the 52-week low of $637 and the high of $999, indicating it has retreated meaningfully from its peak but remains well above its annual low. This positioning suggests the momentum from the prior uptrend has stalled, and the stock is now testing key support levels after a notable decline from its February highs near $990. Recent momentum has turned sharply negative, with the stock down -6.68% over the past month and -2.07% over the past three months, a stark reversal from the positive 1-year trend. This divergence signals a potential consolidation or correction phase, with the stock showing significant relative weakness compared to the broader market, as indicated by a -16.66 relative strength figure over one month. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $637, while immediate resistance lies at the recent highs around $990. A breakdown below the current level could target lower support zones, while a recovery above the $950-$990 resistance band would be needed to reinstate the bullish trend. The stock's beta of 0.423 indicates it is significantly less volatile than the broader market, which has implications for risk-adjusted positioning, though the recent drawdown of -18.25% highlights that even low-beta stocks can experience pronounced corrections.
Beta
0.35
0.35x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-25.3%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$637-$999
Price range past year
Annual Return
+4.5%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | MCK Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -11.9% | +11.0% |
| 3m | -20.4% | +5.9% |
| 6m | -11.4% | +9.0% |
| 1y | +4.5% | +30.4% |
| ytd | -8.3% | +7.3% |
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MCK Fundamental Analysis
McKesson's revenue trajectory shows consistent growth, with the most recent quarterly revenue reaching $106.16 billion, representing a solid 11.4% year-over-year increase. This growth has been accelerating from prior quarters, as evidenced by sequential revenue increases from $97.83 billion in Q1 to $106.16 billion in Q3 of the current fiscal year, driven primarily by its massive North American Pharmaceutical Segment, which contributed $88.32 billion. The company is profitable, reporting net income of $1.19 billion for the latest quarter, translating to a net margin of 1.12%. However, gross margins remain characteristically thin for a distribution business at 3.47%, though operating margins have shown stability around 1.5%, indicating effective cost control within its low-margin model. The balance sheet and cash flow position is strong, with the company generating robust free cash flow, evidenced by a trailing twelve-month FCF of $10.10 billion. The current ratio of 0.90 suggests adequate short-term liquidity, though the negative debt-to-equity ratio of -3.56 is an accounting artifact typically seen in companies with significant retained earnings or share buybacks reducing equity, and the Return on Equity of -158.87% is similarly distorted by this equity structure, while Return on Assets of 4.33% is a more meaningful measure of operational efficiency.
Quarterly Revenue
$106.2B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.11%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.03%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$10.1B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is MCK Overvalued?
Given McKesson's positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The stock trades at a trailing PE of 26.02x and a forward PE of 18.46x based on analyst estimates. The meaningful discount of the forward PE implies the market anticipates earnings growth, with the forward multiple pricing in expected bottom-line expansion. Compared to sector averages, data is not available in the provided dataset for a direct industry PE comparison, so a peer-based premium/discount assessment cannot be quantified. Historically, the stock's own valuation provides context: the current trailing PE of 26.02x is above its recent historical range observed in the data, which has fluctuated between approximately 11.6x and 29.2x over the past several quarters. Trading near the higher end of its own historical band suggests the market is currently pricing in relatively optimistic expectations for future earnings, potentially leaving less room for multiple expansion unless growth accelerates further.
PE
22.5x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
High-End
5-Year PE Range -1346x~66x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
0.0x
Enterprise Value Multiple

