OKLO

Oklo

$73.47

+9.84%
Jun 2, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Oklo Inc. is a pre-revenue nuclear energy company developing compact, liquid metal fast reactor power plants, known as the Aurora powerhouse, designed to provide clean, reliable, and affordable energy at scale. The company operates as a disruptive technology developer within the regulated electric utility sector, aiming to commercialize advanced fission technology and used nuclear fuel recycling services. The current investor narrative is intensely focused on the company's progress through the complex regulatory gauntlet, with recent news highlighting key approvals from the Department of Energy and the White House's space nuclear power initiative, juxtaposed against the ongoing challenge of securing final Nuclear Regulatory Commission approval and the long, capital-intensive path to generating its first commercial revenue.

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OKLO 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $73.47
Average Target $73.47
High Target $84.4905
Low Target $62.4495

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Oklo's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $95.51 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$95.51

6 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

6

covering this stock

Price Range

$59 - $96

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (17%)
Hold
3 (50%)
Sell
2 (33%)

Analyst coverage for Oklo is limited but growing, with 6 analysts providing estimates, and the institutional ratings show a bullish skew with 6 Buy/Overweight ratings, 2 Neutral ratings, and no Sell ratings as of the latest updates in March 2026. The consensus average revenue estimate for the next period is $299.78 million, which represents the market's first concrete expectation for revenue generation, though no average price target is provided in the data, implying the primary analyst focus is on modeling the path to initial sales rather than near-term price movements. The target price range is not available in the provided dataset, but the recent pattern of institutional actions includes an upgrade from B of A Securities to Buy in January 2026, while others have maintained their ratings, signaling cautious but generally supportive analyst sentiment that acknowledges both the high potential and high execution risk inherent in the company's long-dated business plan.

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OKLO Technical Analysis

The prevailing price trend is a volatile downtrend within a broader consolidation, with the stock down 26.81% over the last six months but up 26.36% over the past year, indicating significant price swings and a lack of clear directional momentum. Currently trading at $66.88, the stock sits at approximately 34.5% of its 52-week range ($44.88 to $193.84), positioning it much closer to its 52-week low, which suggests either a deep value opportunity for believers in the long-term thesis or a reflection of persistent fundamental and execution risks. Recent short-term momentum shows a modest 2.92% gain over the past month, which contrasts with a stronger 6.24% gain over three months, yet both periods underperform the broader market significantly, as evidenced by relative strength readings of -3.39 and -4.04, respectively, indicating persistent weakness and a lack of sustained buying interest. Key technical support is clearly defined at the 52-week low of $44.88, while resistance looms far above near the 52-week high of $193.84; a breakdown below $44.88 would signal a failure of the current consolidation and likely trigger a new leg down, whereas a sustained move above the recent highs near $80 would be a first step toward challenging higher resistance levels. The stock's beta of 1.181 indicates it is approximately 18% more volatile than the broader market, which is significant for a utility-sector stock and underscores its high-risk, high-potential-reward profile as a pre-revenue technology developer.

Beta

1.18

1.18x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-73.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$45-$194

Price range past year

Annual Return

+40.1%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodOKLO ReturnS&P 500
1m+4.4%+5.4%
3m+11.9%+10.9%
6m-34.2%+11.0%
1y+40.1%+28.1%
ytd-5.6%+11.4%

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OKLO Fundamental Analysis

Oklo's revenue trajectory is non-existent, with reported revenue of $0 for the most recent quarter ending December 31, 2025, and for every quarter in the provided data history, highlighting the company's pre-commercial, development-stage status where growth is measured by technological and regulatory milestones rather than sales. The company's profitability is deeply negative, with a net loss of $41.45 million in Q4 2025 and an EPS of -$0.27, while gross margin was also negative at -$149k due to initial costs; losses have been widening sequentially from -$9.81 million in Q1 2025 to -$41.45 million in Q4 2025 as the company ramps up its operating expenses, including a significant $24.59 million in R&D for the latest quarter, which is typical for a capital-intensive technology developer. The balance sheet shows a fortress-like liquidity position with a current ratio of 49.08 and minimal debt, evidenced by a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00098, but cash flow tells the story of a cash-burning enterprise, with operating cash flow of -$33.43 million and free cash flow of -$60.38 million for Q4 2025, and a trailing-twelve-month free cash flow of -$115.38 million, indicating the company is entirely dependent on external financing, primarily equity issuance, to fund its multi-year path to commercialization.

Quarterly Revenue

$0.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

N/A

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

N/A

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$-115379000.0B

Last 12 Months

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Valuation Analysis: Is OKLO Overvalued?

Given Oklo's net income is deeply negative and its EBITDA is also negative at -$57.1 million for Q4 2025, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio, which is reported as 0 due to the absence of revenue, making traditional multiples inapplicable and highlighting the speculative, future-cash-flow-based nature of the current valuation. Peer comparison is not meaningful on a PS or PE basis as the company has no revenue or earnings; however, its market capitalization of approximately $10.5 billion reflects a massive premium for future potential compared to traditional utility companies, with valuation entirely contingent on successful technology deployment and market penetration years into the future. Historical context is limited as the company only began trading in May 2024, but the current trailing PE ratio of -99.39 is less negative than the -141.19 seen in Q3 2025, though this 'improvement' is a function of a lower share price rather than improved earnings, and the stock trading near its 52-week lows suggests the market's once highly optimistic expectations have been significantly tempered by the realities of the regulatory timeline and capital needs.

PE

-99.4x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -455x~0x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

-70.0x

Enterprise Value Multiple