Pacific Gas and Electric Company
PCG
$16.95
+0.95%
PG&E Corporation is a holding company whose primary subsidiary, Pacific Gas and Electric Company, is a regulated utility providing electricity and natural gas to over 5.3 million electric and 4.6 million gas customers across much of Northern and Central California. The company operates as a regulated monopoly within its service territory, a structure common to the Utilities sector, and its core business involves the generation, procurement, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity and natural gas. The dominant investor narrative revolves around the company's ongoing recovery and transformation following its 2019-2020 bankruptcy, which was triggered by catastrophic wildfire liabilities, with current focus on its ability to execute a massive infrastructure hardening and safety investment plan under regulatory oversight while restoring consistent dividend payments as a sign of regained financial health.…
PCG
Pacific Gas and Electric Company
$16.95
Related headlines
PCG 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Pacific Gas and Electric Company's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $22.04 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$22.04
5 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
5
covering this stock
Price Range
$14 - $22
Analyst target range
Analyst coverage for PCG is limited, with only 5 analysts providing estimates, which is relatively sparse for a large-cap utility and may indicate lingering caution from the institutional community following its bankruptcy. The consensus sentiment, inferred from recent institutional ratings, appears mixed but leans cautiously constructive, with firms like UBS upgrading to 'Buy' in March 2026 and Barclays and JP Morgan maintaining 'Overweight' ratings, though Jefferies downgraded to 'Hold' in the same period. The average EPS estimate for the coming period is $2.34, with a range from $2.17 to $2.47, implying a relatively tight 12% spread between the low and high estimates, which suggests a moderate level of uncertainty or consensus on near-term earnings power. The wide target price range and limited number of analysts signal that while a baseline recovery is expected, significant debate remains on the pace of regulatory recovery, wildfire risk mitigation, and the ultimate impact on shareholder returns, leading to higher potential volatility and less efficient price discovery than a more widely covered stock.
PCG Technical Analysis
The stock is currently in a corrective phase following a significant rally earlier in the year. Over the past year, PCG has gained 4.73%, but this masks considerable volatility, with the price trading in a wide 52-week range between $12.97 and $19.16. As of the latest close at $16.82, the stock is trading approximately 48% above its 52-week low but 12% below its 52-week high, indicating it has retreated from its peak but remains in a higher intermediate-term range established after its February surge. The stock's beta of 0.289 confirms its defensive, low-volatility profile relative to the broader market, typical for a regulated utility. Recent momentum has been weak, with the stock down 7.48% over the last three months and showing a modest 3.00% gain over the past month, which lags the S&P 500's 4.6% gain over the same period, as indicated by a relative strength of -1.60%. This 3-month underperformance of -20.08% relative to the SPY suggests the stock is undergoing a period of mean reversion after its earlier advance. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $12.97, while immediate overhead resistance sits at the recent peak and 52-week high of $19.16. A sustained break above $19.16 would signal a resumption of the primary uptrend and challenge the post-bankruptcy recovery narrative, whereas a breakdown below the $15-$16 consolidation zone could retest the $12.97 level, reflecting renewed concerns over regulatory or financial headwinds.
Beta
0.27
0.27x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-27.3%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$13-$19
Price range past year
Annual Return
+18.5%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | PCG Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +2.1% | -0.1% |
| 3m | -6.6% | +12.0% |
| 6m | +11.8% | +8.8% |
| 1y | +18.5% | +22.9% |
| ytd | +4.2% | +8.8% |
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PCG Fundamental Analysis
PG&E's revenue trajectory shows modest but stable growth, with Q4 2025 revenue of $6.80 billion representing a 2.61% year-over-year increase from the prior year's Q4. The quarterly trend reveals some variability, with revenue dipping to $5.89 billion in Q2 2025 before recovering, but the overall multi-quarter trend is one of low-single-digit growth, consistent with a regulated utility whose rates are approved by the California Public Utilities Commission. The company's Electricity segment generated $3.75 billion in the latest period, significantly larger than its Natural Gas segment at $1.25 billion, indicating the electricity business is the primary revenue driver. Profitability is evident but modest, with Q4 2025 net income of $670 million and a net margin of 9.85%. The gross margin for the quarter was 17.99%, while the operating margin stood at 17.99%, reflecting the high fixed-cost structure of the utility business. Comparing to the prior-year Q4, the net margin improved from 10.16%, suggesting some operational efficiency gains. The balance sheet carries significant leverage, which is typical for capital-intensive utilities, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.88. However, liquidity appears adequate with a current ratio of 0.97. A critical concern is cash flow generation; the trailing twelve-month free cash flow is deeply negative at -$3.07 billion, driven by substantial capital expenditures for grid safety and modernization. This negative FCF necessitates reliance on external financing to fund its multi-billion dollar investment plan, a key point of analysis for investors assessing the sustainability of its dividend and growth capex.
Quarterly Revenue
$6.8B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.02%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.17%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$-3.1B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is PCG Overvalued?
Given the company's positive net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio. The trailing P/E stands at 13.06x, while the forward P/E is notably lower at 9.33x, based on estimated EPS of $2.34. This forward discount suggests the market anticipates earnings growth, with the forward multiple implying a 29% compression from the trailing figure, which could be due to expected regulatory rate increases flowing through to profits. Compared to typical utility sector averages which often range in the high-teens to low-20s P/E, PCG's multiples trade at a significant discount, reflecting the lingering risk premium associated with its wildfire history and California regulatory environment. Historically, PCG's own P/E ratio has fluctuated considerably, from a low near 10x during its bankruptcy emergence to highs above 20x during periods of optimism. The current trailing P/E of 13.06x sits below its own multi-year median, suggesting the stock is not priced for perfection and may offer value if the company successfully executes its safety and growth capital plan without major setbacks.
PE
13.1x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range -4x~47x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
9.2x
Enterprise Value Multiple

