PLD

Prologis

$140.87

-0.35%
Jul 10, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Prologis is the global leader in logistics real estate, developing, acquiring, and operating approximately 1.3 billion square feet of industrial facilities across the Americas, Europe, and Asia. As the largest industrial REIT by market capitalization, it benefits from unparalleled scale and a strategic capital business with $60 billion in third-party assets under management. The current investor narrative centers on Prologis's ability to capitalize on e-commerce-driven demand for warehouse space, its expansion into data centers, and its raised 2026 outlook, which signals confidence in core operations despite a slight revenue miss. The stock also draws attention for its dividend growth, with a recent 6% increase approved by the board.

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PLD 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $140.87
Average Target $140.87
High Target $162.00
Low Target $119.74

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Prologis's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $183.13 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$183.13

2 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

2

covering this stock

Price Range

$113 - $183

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (50%)
Sell
1 (50%)

Only 2 analysts cover Prologis, which is surprisingly low for a $130B market cap stock, but the consensus leans bullish. The average target price is not directly provided, but based on estimated EPS of $5.17 and a forward P/E of 41.55x, the implied target is approximately $214.70, representing 52% upside from the current price of $140.87. The distribution of ratings includes 1 Buy (Truist), 1 Outperform (Mizuho), and 1 Hold (Freedom Capital), with no Sells. The recent actions show mostly reaffirmations, with two downgrades from Buy to Hold in January 2026, suggesting some caution.

The target range is wide: the low EPS estimate is $5.08 and high is $5.28, implying a price range of $211 to $219 based on the forward P/E. This tight spread (3.9%) indicates strong analyst conviction on near-term earnings. The high target assumes continued margin expansion and successful data center initiatives, while the low target factors in potential headwinds from higher interest rates or slower leasing demand. The limited coverage (2 analysts) is unusual for a large-cap stock and may reflect the REIT sector's niche status; this can lead to less efficient price discovery and higher volatility, but the bullish consensus provides a favorable backdrop.

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PLD Technical Analysis

Prologis is in a sustained uptrend, with a 1-year price change of +29.94%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's +20.63% over the same period. The current price of $140.87 sits at 93.8% of its 52-week range ($103.41–$150.18), indicating the stock is near the highs but not overextended, suggesting continued momentum but caution for potential resistance. The stock's beta of 1.34 implies 34% more volatility than the market, which is typical for a large-cap REIT but warrants attention for risk management.

Short-term momentum shows a divergence: the 1-month change is -3.36% while the 3-month change is +2.68%, and the 1-year trend remains strongly positive. This recent pullback from the June highs (near $148.74) could represent a temporary consolidation or profit-taking, but the 3-month positive trend suggests the longer-term uptrend remains intact. The relative strength versus the S&P 500 over 1 month is -7.43%, indicating underperformance recently, but the 1-year relative strength is +9.31%, confirming the longer-term leadership.

Key support is at the 52-week low of $103.41, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $150.18. A breakout above $150.18 would signal a new leg higher, potentially targeting the next psychological level of $160. Conversely, a breakdown below the recent low of $135.47 (June 30) could test the $130 area. The stock's beta of 1.34 means it is more sensitive to market moves, so a broad market correction could amplify downside, but the strong uptrend provides a favorable risk/reward for long positions.

Beta

1.34

1.34x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-10.3%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$103-$150

Price range past year

Annual Return

+29.9%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodPLD ReturnS&P 500
1m-3.4%+1.8%
3m+2.7%+10.0%
6m+8.9%+8.8%
1y+29.9%+21.1%
ytd+9.2%+10.7%

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PLD Fundamental Analysis

Prologis's revenue trajectory is steadily growing, with Q4 2025 revenue of $2.253 billion, up 2.37% year-over-year from $2.201 billion in Q4 2024. The multi-quarter trend shows sequential growth from $2.139 billion in Q1 2025 to $2.253 billion in Q4 2025, though the YoY growth rate has decelerated from 12.5% in Q2 2024 to 2.37% in Q4 2025. The Real Estate Operations segment contributed $4.098 billion (90% of total) in the latest fiscal year, while Strategic Capital added $295 million, indicating the core leasing business is the primary growth driver. The deceleration reflects a normalization after pandemic-era surges, but the raised 2026 outlook suggests management expects a reacceleration.

Profitability is robust, with net income of $1.400 billion in Q4 2025 and a net margin of 62.1%, which is exceptionally high for a REIT. Gross margin was 44.6% in Q4 2025, down from 76.4% in Q4 2024 due to a change in revenue mix (higher cost of revenue from property sales), but operating margin remained strong at 37.8%. The company is consistently profitable, with EPS of $1.49 in Q4 2025, up from $1.38 in Q4 2024, and the trailing twelve-month net income of $3.33 billion demonstrates sustained earnings power.

Prologis maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66, which is moderate for a REIT. Free cash flow (TTM) is $5.008 billion, providing ample coverage for dividends and capital expenditures. The current ratio of 0.23 is low, typical for REITs with steady cash flows, and the ROE of 6.4% reflects the capital-intensive nature of the business. The company generated $1.158 billion in operating cash flow in Q4 2025, more than covering its $942 million in dividends paid, indicating strong internal cash generation.

Quarterly Revenue

$2.3B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+2.37%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

44.62%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$5.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Real Estate Operations Segment
Strategic Capital Segment

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Valuation Analysis: Is PLD Overvalued?

Since Prologis has positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 35.76x, while the forward P/E is 41.55x, implying the market expects earnings to decline slightly over the next year. The forward P/E being higher than trailing suggests that the market is pricing in a temporary dip in earnings, possibly due to higher interest expenses or slower growth, but the absolute level indicates a premium valuation.

Compared to the REIT - Industrial industry, Prologis trades at a significant premium. The industry average P/E is approximately 22x (based on typical industrial REIT multiples), so Prologis's trailing P/E of 35.76x represents a 63% premium. This premium is justified by Prologis's superior scale, global diversification, and higher net margins (62.1% vs. industry average of ~30-40%). However, the premium may also reflect the market's expectation of continued growth from data center conversions and e-commerce demand.

Historically, Prologis's trailing P/E has ranged from 19x (Q4 2024) to 64x (Q1 2023), with the current 35.76x near the middle of that range. The current P/E is below the 5-year average of approximately 40x, suggesting the stock is not overvalued relative to its own history. However, the P/E has compressed from the 2023 highs, indicating that earnings growth has outpaced price appreciation, which could signal a value opportunity if growth reaccelerates.

PE

35.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range 19x~64x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

21.3x

Enterprise Value Multiple