D-Wave Quantum
QBTS
$19.51
+20.36%
D-Wave Quantum Inc. develops and delivers quantum computing systems, software, and services, and is the only company building both annealing and gate-model quantum computers. As the first commercial supplier of quantum computers, it occupies a unique position in the nascent quantum computing industry, targeting applications in logistics, AI, drug discovery, and financial modeling. The current investor narrative centers on a $100 million federal government funding catalyst announced in June 2026, which has sparked a speculative rally but also raised concerns about extreme valuations, insider selling, and the distant timeline to commercial profitability.…
QBTS
D-Wave Quantum
$19.51
Related headlines
QBTS 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on D-Wave Quantum's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $37.56 and implied upside of +92.5% versus the current price.
Average Target
$37.56
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+92.5%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
—
covering this stock
Price Range
$22 - $45
Analyst target range
The stock is covered by 14 analysts, with a consensus recommendation of 'strong buy' (mean recommendation 1.21 on a 1-5 scale). The average target price is $37.56, implying approximately 131.7% upside from the current price of $16.21. The distribution shows no sell ratings, indicating a uniformly bullish analyst sentiment. The target range spans from a low of $22.00 to a high of $45.00, representing a wide spread of $23.00. The high target of $45.00 assumes successful commercialization and multiple expansion, while the low target of $22.00 still implies 35.7% upside but factors in execution risks and slower growth. Recent ratings from Mizuho (Outperform), Rosenblatt (Buy), and Needham (Buy) reaffirm bullish sentiment, but the wide target spread signals high uncertainty. The strong buy consensus contrasts with the deteriorating fundamentals, suggesting analysts are betting on a long-term quantum computing adoption story rather than near-term financial performance.
QBTS Technical Analysis
The stock is in a sustained downtrend, with a 1-year price change of -17.97% and currently trading at $16.21, which is only 34.7% of its 52-week range (low $12.75, high $46.75). This positioning near the low end of the range suggests the stock is deeply oversold and potentially offering a value opportunity, but it also reflects persistent selling pressure and deteriorating investor sentiment. The stock has underperformed the S&P 500 significantly, with relative strength of -34.44% over the past year. Short-term momentum is sharply negative, with a 1-month price change of -29.46% and a 3-month change of -12.33%, indicating accelerating downside. The 1-month decline conflicts with the longer-term 1-year downtrend, but the magnitude of the recent drop suggests a potential capitulation event rather than a reversal. The stock's beta of 2.1 implies it is 110% more volatile than the market, amplifying both upside and downside moves. Key support lies at the 52-week low of $12.75, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $46.75. A breakdown below $12.75 would signal further downside risk, while a breakout above $46.75 would require a massive catalyst and shift the trend to bullish.
Beta
2.10
2.10x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-71.0%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$13-$47
Price range past year
Annual Return
+3.4%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | QBTS Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -14.3% | +1.4% |
| 3m | +7.7% | +3.9% |
| 6m | -21.9% | +6.3% |
| 1y | +3.4% | +16.0% |
| ytd | -30.6% | +8.4% |
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QBTS Fundamental Analysis
Revenue is declining sharply, with Q1 2026 revenue of $2.858 million representing a 80.95% year-over-year decline from $15.001 million in Q1 2025. The multi-quarter trend shows revenue falling from $3.739 million in Q3 2025 to $2.752 million in Q4 2025, indicating a consistent deceleration. Revenue segments reveal that professional services ($983,000) and system sales ($86,000) are the primary contributors, but the overall revenue base is extremely small and shrinking, raising concerns about the company's ability to commercialize its technology. The company remains deeply unprofitable, with a net loss of $18.357 million in Q1 2026 and a trailing twelve-month net income of -$183.57 million. Gross margin improved to 63.61% in Q1 2026 from 63.81% in Q4 2025, but operating margin remains deeply negative at -19.15%, reflecting high R&D ($25.793 million) and SG&A ($30.752 million) costs relative to revenue. The net margin of -642.3% underscores the severity of the cash burn. D-Wave has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.051, indicating minimal leverage, but it is burning cash rapidly with free cash flow of -$46.041 million in Q1 2026 and -$102.168 million over the trailing twelve months. The company ended Q1 2026 with $338.197 million in cash, providing a runway of roughly 2-3 years at the current burn rate. ROE is -41.66%, reflecting significant shareholder dilution and negative returns on equity.
Quarterly Revenue
$2858000.0B
2026-03
Revenue YoY Growth
-81.0%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
63.6%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$-102168000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is QBTS Overvalued?
Since net income is negative, the price-to-sales (PS) ratio is the primary valuation metric. The trailing PS ratio is 341.62x, while the forward PS ratio is not directly provided but implied by analyst revenue estimates of $428.31 million, which would yield a forward PS of approximately 19.6x. The enormous gap between trailing and forward PS reflects the market's expectation of massive revenue growth, but the current multiple is extremely stretched. Compared to the industry average (data not provided), a PS of 341.62x is astronomically high, even for a high-growth tech company, and implies that investors are pricing in years of future revenue that have yet to materialize. Historically, the PS ratio has ranged from 48.11x (Q4 2023) to 3,353.63x (Q4 2025), and the current 341.62x is near the middle of that range but still elevated. The stock is trading at a significant premium to its historical median, suggesting that the market is pricing in optimistic growth expectations that may be difficult to achieve given the declining revenue trend.
PE
-23.6x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
N/A
5-Year PE Range 17x~59x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
-22.4x
Enterprise Value Multiple

