SanDisk
SNDK
$1447.23
-0.33%
SanDisk Corporation is a leading global supplier of NAND flash memory semiconductors, operating within the Technology sector's Hardware, Equipment & Parts industry. The company is a vertically integrated manufacturer, producing its flash chips primarily through a joint-venture with Kioxia in Japan and repackaging them into SSDs for consumer electronics, external storage, and cloud storage applications. The current investor narrative is dominated by its explosive growth as a newly independent entity following its 2025 spin-off from Western Digital, with surging demand for AI memory chips driving a massive earnings beat and a dramatic re-rating of the stock, though this is tempered by intense debate over the sustainability of its rally and the inherent cyclicality of the memory market.…
SNDK
SanDisk
$1447.23
Related headlines
SNDK 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on SanDisk's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $1881.40 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$1881.40
11 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
11
covering this stock
Price Range
$1158 - $1881
Analyst target range
Analyst coverage is limited, with only 6 analysts providing estimates, which is typical for a recently spun-off company and can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery. The consensus sentiment appears bullish, as evidenced by recent institutional ratings from major firms like Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley maintaining 'Buy' or 'Overweight' ratings. However, explicit consensus price targets are not available in the provided data, preventing a calculation of implied upside or downside from the current price of $1,187. The range of analyst estimates shows high uncertainty, with estimated EPS for the next period spanning from $10.17 to $16.44 and revenue estimates from $9.35 billion to $13.48 billion. This wide dispersion signals significant debate about the company's near-term financial trajectory. The high EPS estimate likely assumes continued strong pricing and demand in the memory cycle, while the low estimate may factor in potential cyclical downturns or competitive pressures. The pattern of recent analyst actions shows reaffirmations of bullish stances post-earnings, suggesting institutional support for the current growth narrative.
SNDK Technical Analysis
The stock is in a sustained, parabolic uptrend, evidenced by a staggering 1-year price change of +3542.22%. With a current price of $1,187, it is trading at 99.8% of its 52-week high of $1,189.24, indicating extreme momentum and positioning it at the very top of its range, which suggests both powerful bullish sentiment and a high risk of overextension. Recent momentum remains exceptionally strong but shows signs of volatility; the 1-month gain of +71.35% and 3-month gain of +105.99% are decelerating from the longer-term pace, yet still represent explosive moves. The sharp pullback from the March highs and subsequent recovery, as seen in the price data, highlights the stock's high volatility, with a maximum drawdown of -43.99% over the period, underscoring the violent swings even within a powerful uptrend. Key technical support is at the 52-week low of $33.05, which is now a distant psychological level, while immediate resistance is the 52-week high just above the current price. A breakout above $1,189.24 would signal a continuation of the historic rally, while a breakdown below recent swing lows near $600 could indicate a significant trend reversal. The stock's extreme volatility, far exceeding the market as shown by its massive relative strength metrics (e.g., +3513.18% vs. SPY over 1 year), demands careful risk management for any position.
Beta
—
—
Max Drawdown
-31.3%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$36-$1600
Price range past year
Annual Return
+3345.8%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | SNDK Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +51.9% | +8.2% |
| 3m | +129.6% | +9.0% |
| 6m | +469.4% | +10.5% |
| 1y | +3345.8% | +26.5% |
| ytd | +425.8% | +8.9% |
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SNDK Fundamental Analysis
Revenue growth has accelerated dramatically, with the most recent quarterly revenue of $3.025 billion representing a 61.25% year-over-year increase, a stark reversal from the stagnation and declines seen in prior quarters. This explosive growth is being driven by a broad-based recovery, with segment data showing Client Devices ($3.2B) as the largest contributor, followed by Consumer ($1.697B) and Cloud ($763M). Profitability has swung decisively from deep losses to robust profits; net income for the latest quarter was $803 million, compared to a net loss of $1.933 billion in the quarter ending March 2025. Gross margin expanded to 50.94% in the latest quarter from 30.08% in the prior quarter, indicating significant operating leverage and pricing power as the memory cycle turns. The balance sheet and cash flow position have strengthened considerably; the company generated $1.019 billion in operating cash flow and $980 million in free cash flow for the latest quarter, contributing to a trailing-twelve-month FCF of $1.449 billion. The debt-to-equity ratio is a manageable 0.22, and the current ratio is a healthy 3.56, indicating strong liquidity. The return on assets (ROA) of 22.82% in the latest metrics is exceptionally high, signaling efficient use of assets in the current favorable environment.
Quarterly Revenue
$3.0B
2026-01
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.61%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.50%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$1.4B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is SNDK Overvalued?
Given the company's positive net income of $803 million in the latest quarter, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE is negative at -4.17 due to legacy losses, but the forward PE is a modest 9.34x based on estimated EPS of $13.54, indicating the market is pricing in a normalization of earnings. Compared to industry averages, the stock's Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio of 0.93 is difficult to contextualize without a direct sector average, but its EV-to-Sales of 12.03 suggests the market is valuing its revenue stream highly, likely due to the explosive growth and margin expansion. The significant discount of the forward PE relative to what might be expected for a high-growth tech stock hints at skepticism about the sustainability of current profitability levels. Historically, the stock's valuation has undergone a radical transformation; its current PS ratio of 0.93 is a fraction of the 13.38 PS ratio it commanded in January 2026, despite the share price being much higher now, because revenue and market cap have exploded. This indicates the market has repriced the stock from a speculative, low-revenue entity to a large-cap, high-revenue business, though it remains near the top of its own historical valuation range on an absolute share price basis, reflecting immense optimism.
PE
-4.2x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range -74x~48x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
-5.9x
Enterprise Value Multiple

