Amphenol
APH
$155.99
-1.93%
Amphenol Corporation is a global leader in the design, manufacture, and supply of connectors, sensors, and interconnect systems, serving diverse end markets including automotive, broadband, industrial, IT/data communications, military, and mobile devices. As the second-largest connector manufacturer worldwide with operations in 40 countries, the company benefits from a highly diversified revenue base and a strong competitive moat built on engineering expertise and customer relationships. The current investor narrative centers on Amphenol's exposure to the AI-driven optical networking boom, with recent news highlighting its role in the AI infrastructure buildout's second act, while insider selling by the CEO has sparked debate about valuation after a significant stock rally.…
APH
Amphenol
$155.99
Related headlines
APH 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Amphenol's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $202.79 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$202.79
4 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
4
covering this stock
Price Range
$125 - $203
Analyst target range
Amphenol is covered by 4 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish. The average estimated EPS for the current fiscal year is $7.54, with a low of $7.23 and high of $7.91. The average revenue estimate is $46.36 billion, implying a forward PE of 21.1x based on the current price of $159.06, which is below the forward PE of 27.7x from the valuation data (likely due to different fiscal year definitions). The consensus recommendation is Buy, with recent ratings from Jefferies (Buy, upgraded from Hold), Barclays (Overweight), Citigroup (Buy), and JP Morgan (Overweight). The average price target is not explicitly provided, but based on the forward PE of 27.7x and estimated EPS of $7.54, the implied target is approximately $209, representing 31% upside from the current price. The target range, based on the EPS estimates, spans from $200 (low) to $219 (high), implying upside of 26% to 38%. The high target assumes continued strong growth in AI-related optical networking and margin expansion, while the low target may reflect risks from cyclical downturns in automotive or industrial markets. The recent upgrade by Jefferies from Hold to Buy in March 2026 signals improving sentiment, and the overall bullish consensus suggests analysts see further upside despite the stock's strong run.
APH Technical Analysis
Amphenol is in a strong long-term uptrend, with the stock up 61.8% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 20.6% gain. The current price of $159.06 sits at 64.5% of its 52-week range ($95.19–$178.52), indicating the stock is in the upper half of its range but not yet at overbought extremes near the highs. This positioning suggests sustained bullish momentum with room for further upside, though the stock is not at a level that typically signals exhaustion. Short-term momentum is accelerating, with the stock gaining 6.6% over the past month and 13.0% over the past three months, outpacing the S&P 500's 4.1% and 11.1% returns, respectively. The 1-month relative strength of 2.5% versus the market confirms near-term outperformance, and the 3-month trend aligns with the longer-term uptrend, showing no divergence. The stock's beta of 1.24 indicates moderate volatility relative to the market, meaning it tends to amplify market moves by about 24%. Key support lies near the 52-week low of $95.19, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $178.52. A breakout above $178.52 would signal a continuation of the uptrend and likely attract momentum buyers, while a breakdown below $95.19 would be a major bearish signal, though the stock is currently 67% above that level. The recent pullback from the June 30 high of $176.32 to $159.06 (a 9.8% decline) could be a healthy consolidation within the uptrend.
Beta
1.24
1.24x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-28.3%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$95-$179
Price range past year
Annual Return
+57.9%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | APH Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +1.4% | +1.0% |
| 3m | +4.9% | +7.9% |
| 6m | +6.3% | +8.5% |
| 1y | +57.9% | +20.1% |
| ytd | +11.7% | +9.9% |
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APH Fundamental Analysis
Amphenol's revenue trajectory is accelerating strongly, with the most recent quarter (Q4 2025) reporting revenue of $6.439 billion, up 49.1% year-over-year from $4.318 billion in Q4 2024. This growth is driven by robust demand across all segments, particularly Communications Solutions ($3.528 billion) and Harsh Environment Solutions ($1.773 billion), which together account for over 82% of total revenue. The multi-quarter trend shows revenue growing from $3.256 billion in Q1 2024 to $6.439 billion in Q4 2025, reflecting a compound quarterly growth rate of approximately 12%, indicating accelerating momentum. Profitability is strong and improving, with net income of $1.195 billion in Q4 2025, up from $746 million in the prior-year quarter, and net margin expanding to 18.6% from 17.3%. Gross margin improved to 38.2% from 34.3% a year ago, driven by operating leverage and favorable mix, while operating margin rose to 27.5% from 22.4%. The company is solidly profitable with a trailing PE of 38.5x, but the forward PE of 27.7x suggests earnings growth is expected to moderate. The balance sheet is healthy, with a current ratio of 2.98 and debt-to-equity of 1.16, indicating ample liquidity and manageable leverage. Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months is $4.378 billion, providing strong internal funding for growth and acquisitions. Return on equity is an impressive 31.8%, reflecting efficient capital allocation and high profitability.
Quarterly Revenue
$6.4B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+49.12%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
38.22%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$4.4B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is APH Overvalued?
Since net income is positive, the primary valuation metric is the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE is 38.5x, while the forward PE is 27.7x, implying the market expects significant earnings growth over the next year. The gap between trailing and forward PE suggests that the current price already reflects anticipated growth, but the forward multiple is still above the industry average. Compared to the industry average PE of 22x (based on sector data), Amphenol trades at a 75% premium on a trailing basis and a 26% premium on a forward basis. This premium is justified by the company's superior growth (49% YoY revenue growth vs. industry average of ~10%), higher margins (net margin 18.5% vs. industry ~12%), and dominant market position. Historically, Amphenol's trailing PE has ranged from 20x to 39x over the past five years, with the current 38.5x near the top of that range. This suggests the market is pricing in optimistic expectations, but the forward PE of 27.7x is closer to the historical median of 28x, indicating that the elevated trailing multiple is largely due to recent earnings growth that has yet to be fully reflected in the trailing calculation.
PE
38.5x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
High-End
5-Year PE Range 20x~39x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
24.5x
Enterprise Value Multiple

