II-VI Incorporated
COHR
$385.03
+5.90%
Coherent Corp. is a vertically integrated manufacturer that develops and markets lasers, transceivers, and other optical and optoelectronic devices, modules, and systems, as well as engineered materials, serving the communications, industrial, instrumentation, and electronics markets. The company is a key player in the photonics and compound semiconductor industry, operating as a critical supplier of enabling technologies for advanced manufacturing and data infrastructure. The current investor narrative is overwhelmingly driven by the company's perceived role as a 'picks and shovels' beneficiary of the artificial intelligence infrastructure buildout, with recent news highlighting a powerful rotation into semiconductor and optical networking stocks as demand for AI-related hardware accelerates.…
COHR
II-VI Incorporated
$385.03
Related headlines
COHR 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on II-VI Incorporated's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $500.54 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$500.54
5 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
5
covering this stock
Price Range
$308 - $501
Analyst target range
Analyst coverage appears limited, with only 5 analysts providing estimates for revenue, and no explicit buy/hold/sell distribution, consensus price target, or target range provided in the data. The lack of detailed consensus targets and the minimal number of analysts suggest this is a stock with limited traditional sell-side coverage, which is somewhat surprising given its $13.8 billion market cap; this can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery as the stock is driven more by thematic narratives and institutional flows than by analyst ratings. The available institutional ratings data shows a uniformly bullish sentiment among the firms that do cover it, with recent actions from Needham, Barclays, JP Morgan, Rosenblatt, and Stifel all being 'Buy' or 'Overweight', and only Morgan Stanley maintaining an 'Equal Weight'; this pattern of sustained bullish ratings from a handful of firms, amidst the broader lack of coverage, indicates strong conviction from those closely following the AI optical networking theme, but the overall thin coverage base means investor sentiment is not being tempered by a wide range of analytical perspectives.
COHR Technical Analysis
The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a staggering 1-year price change of +416.84%. As of the latest close of $421.90, the stock is trading at approximately 96% of its 52-week high of $440.00, positioning it near the top of its annual range and signaling extreme momentum, though also raising concerns about potential overextension. The 1-month price surge of +25.67% and 3-month gain of +78.98% demonstrate that short-term momentum is accelerating dramatically, far outpacing the broader market's 1-month gain of +4.6% and 3-month gain of +12.6%, as indicated by the relative strength figures of +21.07 and +66.38, respectively. This explosive momentum, diverging from the market's more modest gains, underscores the stock's status as a high-beta, high-conviction AI infrastructure play, but also suggests it is susceptible to sharp pullbacks on any negative sentiment shift. Key technical support lies near the 52-week low of $76.88, but more immediate support is likely at recent consolidation levels around $300-$350, while resistance is clearly defined by the 52-week high of $440. A breakout above $440 would signal a continuation of the parabolic move, while a breakdown below $350 could indicate a significant correction; the stock's beta of 2.053 confirms it is more than twice as volatile as the market, necessitating careful risk management for investors.
Beta
2.05
2.05x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-26.5%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$77-$440
Price range past year
Annual Return
+375.6%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | COHR Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -4.6% | -0.1% |
| 3m | +58.6% | +12.0% |
| 6m | +115.9% | +8.8% |
| 1y | +375.6% | +22.9% |
| ytd | +98.1% | +8.8% |
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COHR Fundamental Analysis
Revenue growth is robust and accelerating, with the most recent quarterly revenue of $1.686 billion representing a 17.52% year-over-year increase, a significant improvement from the prior quarter's revenue of $1.581 billion. Segment data shows the Lasers Segment contributed $711.9 million and the Materials Segment $472.9 million, indicating both core business lines are driving growth, with the overall trend pointing to strong demand in its end markets, particularly datacenter communications linked to AI infrastructure. Profitability has improved markedly, with the company reporting net income of $147 million and a gross margin of 36.95% for the latest quarter, a notable expansion from the 36.63% gross margin in the prior quarter; the operating margin of 11.80% further confirms the company is translating top-line growth into operating leverage, moving decisively away from the inconsistent profitability seen in earlier quarters. The balance sheet and cash flow picture is mixed but improving: the debt-to-equity ratio is a manageable 0.48, and the current ratio is a healthy 2.19, indicating solid liquidity; however, trailing twelve-month free cash flow is negative at -$103.6 million, and the latest quarterly operating cash flow was a modest $57.9 million, suggesting the company is still investing heavily in growth and has not yet reached a stage of strong, consistent cash generation, which is typical for a company in a capital-intensive expansion phase.
Quarterly Revenue
$1.7B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.17%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.36%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$-103617000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is COHR Overvalued?
Given the positive net income of $147 million in the latest quarter, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE ratio is extremely high at 279.75x, while the forward PE is significantly lower at 52.11x; this massive gap implies the market is pricing in extraordinary earnings growth over the next year, expecting profitability to scale rapidly from current levels. Compared to sector averages, the stock trades at a substantial premium: its trailing PE of 279.75x and forward PE of 52.11x are well above typical hardware industry multiples, and its Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.38 also sits above the sector median, a premium justified only by the market's belief in its superior growth trajectory as an AI infrastructure enabler. Historically, the current trailing PE of 279.75x is near the top of its own range, as historical ratio data shows the PE has fluctuated wildly from negative figures to over 500x in recent years; trading at such an elevated historical multiple suggests the market has fully priced in an optimistic growth scenario, leaving little room for disappointment and increasing downside risk if execution falters.
PE
279.8x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range -173x~520x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
15.2x
Enterprise Value Multiple

