SATS

EchoStar Corporation

$128.13

+11.19%
Jun 11, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
EchoStar Corporation is a diversified technology company operating primarily in the Communication Equipment industry, with core businesses in satellite television, wireless services, and satellite telecom. The company is a significant player in the US satellite TV market, serving millions of customers under its DISH and Sling brands, and has expanded into wireless through its acquisition of Sprint's prepaid business (Boost Mobile). The current investor narrative is heavily centered on its strategic portfolio of spectrum licenses and its pending asset sales to AT&T and SpaceX, positioning the stock as a high-risk, speculative vehicle for gaining pre-IPO exposure to SpaceX, which is overshadowing concerns about its declining legacy satellite businesses and significant financial losses.

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SATS 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $128.13
Average Target $128.13
High Target $147.34949999999998
Low Target $108.9105

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on EchoStar Corporation's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $166.57 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$166.57

1 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

1

covering this stock

Price Range

$103 - $167

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
0 (0%)
Sell
1 (100%)

Insufficient analyst coverage available. The provided data indicates only a single analyst providing estimates, with no consensus price target or recommendation distribution shown. This limited coverage typically signifies that EchoStar is a complex, special situation stock with limited institutional research interest, which can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery. The lone analyst's revenue estimate for the next period is $12.48 billion. The institutional ratings history shows sporadic activity from a handful of firms, with recent actions including a Morgan Stanley upgrade to 'Overweight' in December 2025 and maintained 'Buy' ratings from TD Cowen and Deutsche Bank, but the overall thin coverage underscores the stock's niche and speculative nature.

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SATS Technical Analysis

The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a staggering 1-year price change of +669.38%. As of the latest close of $124.64, the price is trading at approximately 85% of its 52-week range ($14.90 to $147.25), indicating it is near recent highs and reflecting strong momentum, though also suggesting potential for overextension. The stock has significantly outperformed the broader market, with a relative strength of 642.34 over the past year, highlighting its status as a high-beta, momentum-driven name. Recent momentum shows signs of consolidation after the parabolic rise, with a 1-month gain of +6.22% and a 3-month gain of +17.32%, which, while positive, decelerates from the longer-term trend and suggests the stock may be entering a volatile digestion phase. This divergence is further evidenced by the price pulling back from its recent peak of $147.25, with the beta of 0.96 indicating volatility roughly in line with the market, though its extreme price swings are more idiosyncratic. Key technical levels are clearly defined, with immediate support at the 52-week low of $14.90 (though far below) and major resistance at the 52-week high of $147.25. A decisive breakout above $147.25 would signal a resumption of the primary uptrend, while a sustained breakdown below key moving averages could trigger a deeper correction; the stock's high short ratio of 8.06 indicates significant bearish speculation that could fuel sharp rallies on any positive news.

Beta

0.96

0.96x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-34.1%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$17-$147

Price range past year

Annual Return

+641.9%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodSATS ReturnS&P 500
1m-1.0%-0.1%
3m+18.3%+11.4%
6m+19.3%+8.2%
1y+641.9%+22.7%
ytd+14.2%+8.2%

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SATS Fundamental Analysis

The company's revenue trajectory is stagnant and slightly declining, with Q4 2025 revenue of $3.80 billion representing a year-over-year contraction of -4.31%. The multi-quarter trend shows volatility, with revenue dipping from $3.97 billion in Q4 2024, indicating persistent challenges in its core satellite and wireless segments. Service revenue, at $3.54 billion, constitutes the vast majority (93%) of total sales, while equipment sales are minimal at $185 million, underscoring the company's reliance on recurring, but potentially eroding, subscription streams. Profitability is severely challenged, with a massive net loss of -$9.99 billion in the latest quarter, driven largely by a substantial income tax expense of $8.69 billion. The gross margin of 62.19% appears healthy on the surface, but this is overshadowed by deeply negative operating and net margins of -20.54% and -263.16%, respectively, indicating catastrophic bottom-line performance after operating expenses and special items. The company is deeply unprofitable on a trailing twelve-month basis, with an EPS of -$0.46 and a net margin of -96.62%, showing no near-term path to profitability. The balance sheet and cash flow position are precarious, with a dangerously high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.38 and a weak current ratio of 0.42, signaling significant financial leverage and potential liquidity constraints. Free cash flow is deeply negative at -$1.07 billion (TTM), and the latest quarterly operating cash flow was -$425 million, meaning the company is burning cash and is dependent on external financing or asset sales to fund operations, elevating financial risk substantially.

Quarterly Revenue

$3.8B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

-0.04%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.62%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$-1.1B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Equipment sales and other revenue
Service revenue

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Valuation Analysis: Is SATS Overvalued?

Given the company's deeply negative net income and EBITDA, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio. The trailing PS ratio is 2.08x, while the Enterprise Value-to-Sales (EV/Sales) is higher at 4.24x, reflecting the significant debt on the balance sheet. The forward PE ratio is astronomically negative at -1093.33x, underscoring the market's focus on sales rather than earnings for this cash-burning entity. Peer comparison is challenging due to the company's unique hybrid structure, but a PS ratio around 2x could be considered elevated for a business with declining revenue and massive losses, suggesting the valuation is being supported by speculative optionality rather than fundamentals. Historically, the stock's valuation has exploded from its recent past; the current PS ratio of 2.08x is a massive premium to its historical levels from 2021-2024, which often traded below 1x. This dramatic multiple expansion places the stock near the top of its own historical valuation band, indicating the market is pricing in highly optimistic expectations for its spectrum asset monetization and SpaceX optionality, leaving little room for error.

PE

-2.2x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -9x~29x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

-3.8x

Enterprise Value Multiple