VZ

Verizon

$42.12

-0.28%
Jul 10, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Verizon Communications is a leading telecommunications provider offering wireless services, fixed-line broadband, and enterprise connectivity solutions across the United States. As the largest US wireless carrier by subscriber count, it serves approximately 94 million postpaid and 20 million prepaid phone customers, and its recent acquisition of Frontier Communications has expanded its fiber network to reach about 29 million locations. The current investor narrative centers on Verizon's removal from the Dow Jones Industrial Average in June 2026, which has raised concerns about its growth trajectory, but the stock's low valuation and strong dividend yield continue to attract income-focused investors amid a challenging competitive landscape.

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VZ 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $42.12
Average Target $42.12
High Target $48.44
Low Target $35.80

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Verizon's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $54.76 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$54.76

15 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

15

covering this stock

Price Range

$34 - $55

Analyst target range

Buy
4 (27%)
Hold
7 (47%)
Sell
4 (27%)

Verizon is covered by 15 analysts, with a consensus recommendation leaning neutral to bullish. The average EPS estimate for the current fiscal year is $6.49, with a range of $6.32 to $6.63. Based on the current price of $42.12, the implied forward P/E of 6.5x is well below the trailing multiple, indicating that analysts expect earnings growth. The average revenue estimate is $150.6 billion, with a low of $147.6 billion and a high of $153.1 billion, suggesting modest growth expectations. The consensus recommendation is not explicitly provided, but the institutional ratings show a mix of Buy, Outperform, and Hold ratings, with recent upgrades from Scotiabank (to Sector Outperform) and Daiwa Capital (to Buy). The target price range is not directly given, but the EPS estimates imply a target price range of approximately $41 to $43 based on a 6.5x multiple, which is near the current price. The wide range of revenue estimates ($5.5 billion spread) indicates uncertainty about the pace of growth, while the tight EPS range suggests confidence in margin stability. Recent upgrades from key firms like Citigroup and Scotiabank signal improving sentiment, but the removal from the Dow may weigh on near-term sentiment.

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VZ Technical Analysis

Verizon's stock is in a sustained uptrend over the past year, with a 1-year price change of +21.4%, significantly outperforming the broader market's 20.6% gain. The current price of $42.12 sits at 81.5% of its 52-week range ($38.39 low to $51.68 high), indicating it is trading closer to the lower end of the range after a pullback from the highs. This positioning suggests the stock is in a corrective phase within a longer-term uptrend, potentially offering a value entry if support holds. Over the past three months, the stock has declined 8.5%, while the one-month change shows a sharper drop of 10.3%, indicating accelerating short-term selling pressure. This divergence from the positive 1-year trend signals a potential mean-reversion opportunity or a temporary pullback, as the relative strength versus the S&P 500 has been negative across all timeframes (1-month relative strength of -14.4%). The 52-week low of $38.39 provides key support, while the 52-week high of $51.68 acts as resistance. A breakout above $51.68 would signal renewed bullish momentum, while a breakdown below $38.39 could indicate further downside. With a beta of 0.24, Verizon is significantly less volatile than the market, making it a defensive holding that tends to decline less during market downturns but also lag during rallies.

Beta

0.24

0.24x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-18.3%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$38-$52

Price range past year

Annual Return

+0.2%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodVZ ReturnS&P 500
1m-10.3%+1.8%
3m-8.5%+10.0%
6m+4.1%+8.8%
1y+0.2%+21.1%
ytd+3.9%+10.7%

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VZ Fundamental Analysis

Verizon's revenue trajectory shows modest growth, with the most recent quarterly revenue of $36.38 billion in Q4 2025 representing a 1.96% year-over-year increase. However, this growth rate has decelerated from the 2.3% YoY growth seen in Q3 2025 and is well below the 4.5% growth in Q2 2025, indicating a slowing top-line expansion. The Consumer segment generated $28.44 billion in revenue, while the Business segment contributed $7.37 billion, highlighting the dominance of consumer wireless services. The deceleration suggests that Verizon is facing competitive pressures and market saturation, which could limit future revenue upside. The company remains profitable, with net income of $2.34 billion in Q4 2025 and a gross margin of 80.5%, which is exceptionally high for the telecom industry due to the low incremental cost of adding wireless subscribers. However, operating margins have compressed from 23.8% in Q1 2025 to 13.8% in Q4 2025, reflecting higher costs and investments in network infrastructure. The net margin of 6.4% in Q4 2025 is below the industry average of around 10-12%, indicating profitability challenges. Verizon's balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.92, which is elevated but typical for capital-intensive telecom companies. Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months was $19.79 billion, providing ample coverage for dividends and debt service. The current ratio of 0.91 suggests tight liquidity, but strong operating cash flow of $9.11 billion in Q4 2025 supports ongoing investments. Return on equity (ROE) stands at 16.4%, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital, though this is partly boosted by high leverage.

Quarterly Revenue

$36.4B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+1.96%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

80.49%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$19.8B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Verizon Business Group
Verizon Consumer Group

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Valuation Analysis: Is VZ Overvalued?

Since Verizon has positive net income, we lead with the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 10.0x, while the forward P/E is 8.0x, implying that the market expects earnings growth over the next year. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests that analysts anticipate a recovery in earnings, which could be driven by cost savings from the Frontier acquisition or margin improvements. Compared to the Communication Services sector average P/E of approximately 22x, Verizon trades at a 55% discount, reflecting its slower growth profile and mature industry. The P/B ratio of 1.65x is also below the sector average of 3.5x, further underscoring the value perception. Historically, Verizon's trailing P/E has ranged from 6x to 18x over the past five years, with the current 10x near the lower end of that range. This suggests that the market is pricing in pessimistic expectations, potentially due to concerns about subscriber growth and competitive dynamics. The low valuation relative to history could present a value opportunity if the company can stabilize its revenue and margins.

PE

10.0x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -15x~18x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

7.4x

Enterprise Value Multiple