VZ

Verizon

$47.21

-1.50%
May 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Verizon Communications is a leading telecommunications services company, operating primarily as the largest wireless carrier in the United States, with a significant fixed-line fiber-optic network in the Northeast. The company's distinct identity is that of a capital-intensive, dividend-paying incumbent, historically defined by its nationwide wireless network and scale, but now facing intense competition in a mature market. The current investor narrative centers on a potential turnaround story, as recent news highlights the CEO's claim that a strategic pivot is underway, driven by strong earnings beats, raised guidance, and a focus on leveraging its infrastructure for AI and digital transformation, amidst a competitive landscape reshaped by T-Mobile's aggressive broadband expansion.

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VZ 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $47.21
Average Target $47.21
High Target $54.2915
Low Target $40.1285

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Verizon's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $61.37 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$61.37

7 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

7

covering this stock

Price Range

$38 - $61

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (29%)
Hold
3 (43%)
Sell
2 (29%)

Insufficient analyst coverage data is available in the provided dataset to determine a consensus recommendation, average target price, or implied upside/downside. The institutional ratings list shows recent actions by 10 firms, but no aggregate price targets are provided. The limited visibility into a formal consensus, despite several institutional ratings, may indicate that while the stock is covered, the provided data snapshot lacks the consolidated targets typically published by major data aggregators. This can be common for large-cap stocks like Verizon, where analyst opinions are plentiful but the specific quantitative targets were not captured in this data pull. The recent institutional rating actions show a generally neutral-to-positive bias, with one upgrade (Scotiabank to Sector Outperform) in March 2026 and several reiterations of Buy, Outperform, or Equal-Weight ratings. The presence of multiple reiterations following earnings suggests analysts are in a 'wait-and-see' mode regarding the proclaimed turnaround, awaiting further execution evidence before making more significant target adjustments.

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VZ Technical Analysis

The prevailing price trend is a strong recovery from a significant low, with the stock up 11.11% over the past year. Currently trading at $48.11, the price sits at approximately 73% of its 52-week range ($38.39 to $51.68), indicating it has recovered meaningfully from its lows but remains below recent highs, suggesting room for further recovery if momentum persists. Recent short-term momentum shows a divergence from the longer-term uptrend; the stock is down 2.59% over the past month but up 8.06% over the past three months. This 1-month pullback within a broader 3-month and 6-month (21.06%) advance likely represents a consolidation or profit-taking phase after a sharp rally, rather than a trend reversal, especially given the stock's low beta of 0.27, which indicates it is 73% less volatile than the broader market. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $38.39, while immediate resistance is at the 52-week high of $51.68. A breakout above $51.68 would signal a resumption of the bullish recovery trend and challenge multi-year highs, while a breakdown below the recent consolidation range near $45 would test the strength of the uptrend. The stock's exceptionally low beta of 0.27 underscores its defensive, low-volatility characteristics, which appeal to income-focused investors but may limit explosive upside compared to more volatile growth stocks.

Beta

0.22

0.22x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-14.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$38-$52

Price range past year

Annual Return

+10.7%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodVZ ReturnS&P 500
1m+3.9%+8.2%
3m-4.5%+9.0%
6m+15.0%+10.5%
1y+10.7%+26.5%
ytd+16.5%+8.9%

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VZ Fundamental Analysis

Verizon's revenue trajectory shows modest growth with signs of stabilization; Q4 2025 revenue was $36.38 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 1.96%. However, examining sequential quarters reveals a mixed picture: revenue grew from $33.48B in Q1 2025 to a peak of $36.38B in Q4 2025, but this was partly driven by a one-time surge in Q4 gross margin to 80.5%, which is atypical and requires scrutiny. The company is profitable, with Q4 2025 net income of $2.34 billion, but profitability has been volatile quarter-to-quarter, as seen in the sharp drop from Q3's net income of $4.95 billion. Gross margin was an unusually high 80.5% in Q4 2025, but this is an outlier; the operating margin for the quarter was a more normalized 13.75%, and the trailing twelve-month net margin is 12.43%. The trend suggests core profitability is stable but not expanding dramatically, with the company focused on cost management to protect margins in a competitive pricing environment. The balance sheet carries significant leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.92, which is high but manageable for a regulated utility-like telecom. Financial health is supported by robust cash generation, with free cash flow over the trailing twelve months at $19.79 billion, providing ample coverage for the substantial dividend payout (payout ratio of 66.85%) and capital expenditures. The current ratio of 0.91 indicates adequate, though not excessive, short-term liquidity, and a Return on Equity of 16.44% is respectable given the high debt load.

Quarterly Revenue

$36.4B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.01%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.80%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$19.8B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Verizon Business Group
Verizon Consumer Group

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Valuation Analysis: Is VZ Overvalued?

Given that Net Income is positive, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. Verizon's trailing PE ratio is 10.02x, while its forward PE is 9.15x, based on estimated EPS. The slight compression from trailing to forward PE suggests the market anticipates modest earnings growth, but the discount between the two is minimal, indicating expectations are for stable, not accelerating, profitability. Compared to sector averages, Verizon's valuation presents a mixed picture; its trailing PE of 10.02x is below the typical range for growth stocks but reasonable for a telecom. A more relevant comparison is its EV/EBITDA of 7.41x, which is low and suggests the enterprise value is not demanding relative to its cash earnings, a common benchmark in capital-intensive industries. Historically, Verizon's own valuation has compressed; its current trailing PE of 10.02x is near the lower end of its historical range observed in the provided data (e.g., it has traded as high as 18.39x in Q4 2025 and as low as 6.30x in late 2022). Trading near the lower end of its own historical band suggests the market is pricing in limited growth and competitive risks, potentially offering a value opportunity if the turnaround narrative gains traction and multiple expansion occurs.

PE

10.0x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -15x~18x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

7.4x

Enterprise Value Multiple