LUMN

Lumen Technologies

$6.25

+3.48%
Aug 31, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Lumen Technologies is a leading telecommunications carrier providing a comprehensive suite of enterprise-focused communications services, including data transportation, colocation, and internet access, following strategic divestitures of its consumer fiber and rural local phone businesses. The company has pivoted to a B2B model, with enterprise services now accounting for approximately 85-90% of revenue, positioning it as a key player in the digital infrastructure space. Investor attention is currently centered on Lumen's transformation into a leaner, enterprise-centric operator, its ability to stabilize revenue declines, and the potential for AI-driven demand for connectivity and data services to drive future growth. The recent sale of its consumer fiber network to AT&T marks a significant milestone in this strategic shift, but the company continues to face challenges from legacy revenue erosion and a heavy debt load.

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LUMN 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $6.25
Average Target $6.25
High Target $7.19
Low Target $5.31

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Lumen Technologies's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $7.64 and implied upside of +22.2% versus the current price.

Average Target

$7.64

0 analysts

Implied Upside

+22.2%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

covering this stock

Price Range

$6 - $9

Analyst target range

Lumen has coverage from 10 analysts, with a consensus recommendation of 'hold' and a mean recommendation score of 3.0 (on a scale where 1 is strong buy and 5 is sell). The average target price is $7.64, implying an upside of 26.5% from the current price of $6.04. The distribution of ratings is not provided, but the 'hold' consensus suggests a neutral stance, with analysts seeing limited upside potential given the company's challenges. The recent actions from major firms like Citigroup and UBS have been 'Neutral', indicating a cautious outlook, while Raymond James has an 'Outperform' rating, showing some optimism about the transformation.

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LUMN Technical Analysis

Lumen's stock has exhibited a volatile, range-bound pattern over the past year, with a 1-year price change of +20.32% but a significant drawdown from its 52-week high. The current price of $6.04 sits at 20.2% of the 52-week range (between $4.57 low and $11.95 high), indicating the stock is trading near the lower end of its yearly range, close to the 52-week low. This positioning suggests a bearish sentiment, as the stock has given back most of its earlier gains, and the price is now closer to support levels than resistance, potentially offering a value opportunity if the company's turnaround gains traction, but also posing a risk of further downside if fundamentals deteriorate.

Beta

1.81

1.81x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-52.1%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$5-$12

Price range past year

Annual Return

+25.8%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodLUMN ReturnS&P 500
1m-2.0%+2.7%
3m-40.8%+1.0%
6m-10.2%+12.0%
1y+25.8%+18.9%
ytd-18.7%+12.5%

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LUMN Fundamental Analysis

Revenue has been on a declining trajectory, with the most recent quarter (Q4 2025) reporting $3.041 billion, down 8.65% year-over-year, and a sequential decline from $3.087 billion in Q3 2025. The multi-quarter trend shows a consistent contraction, with revenue falling from $3.29 billion in Q1 2024 to $3.041 billion in Q4 2025, reflecting the impact of divestitures and legacy declines. The business segment, which generates the bulk of revenue, is the primary driver, but the mass market segment is shrinking as the company exits consumer markets. This revenue decline is a critical concern, as it indicates the enterprise transformation has not yet offset the loss of legacy businesses, and the company must demonstrate stabilization to restore investor confidence.

Quarterly Revenue

$3.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

-8.6%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

-43.9%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$371000000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Business Segment
Mass Market Segment

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Valuation Analysis: Is LUMN Overvalued?

Given Lumen's negative net income (EPS of -$0.225 in the latest quarter), the price-to-sales (PS) ratio is the most appropriate valuation metric, as PE ratios are meaningless for loss-making companies. The current PS ratio of 0.62 is significantly lower than the industry average, suggesting the market is pricing in a substantial discount due to the company's declining revenue and profitability. The forward PE of -20.38 further underscores the lack of earnings, but the negative value also implies that analysts expect losses to persist, albeit at a narrowing pace. The EV/Sales ratio of 1.52 provides a more comprehensive view, indicating that the enterprise value is still relatively high compared to sales, reflecting the company's debt load.

PE

-4.4x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 3x~8x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

18.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple