CHTR

Charter Communications

$143.06

-3.29%
May 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Charter Communications is a major telecommunications services company providing television, high-speed internet, and phone services to residential and commercial customers across the United States under the Spectrum brand. As the second-largest U.S. cable operator, it holds a dominant market position with a network footprint covering roughly 35% of the country, built through the transformative mergers of Legacy Charter, Time Warner Cable, and Bright House Networks. The current investor narrative is dominated by intense competitive pressures and operational challenges, as recent earnings misses and significant subscriber losses in its core internet business have overshadowed strong mobile line growth, casting doubt on the company's near-term growth trajectory and sparking a sharp sell-off in the stock.

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CHTR 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $143.06
Average Target $143.06
High Target $164.51899999999998
Low Target $121.601

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Charter Communications's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $185.98 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$185.98

6 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

6

covering this stock

Price Range

$114 - $186

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (17%)
Hold
3 (50%)
Sell
2 (33%)

Analyst coverage is limited, with only 5 analysts providing estimates, suggesting this large-cap stock may have fallen out of favor with the broader research community. The consensus sentiment is bearish to neutral, as evidenced by recent institutional ratings which include actions like 'Sell' from Goldman Sachs and 'Underweight' from Wells Fargo, with no strong buy ratings in the recent data. The average target price and specific buy/hold/sell distribution are not provided in the data, implying insufficient consensus data to calculate a clear implied upside or downside from the current price. The wide dispersion in recent analyst actions, ranging from 'Buy' (Benchmark) to 'Sell' (Goldman Sachs), signals high uncertainty and lack of conviction regarding the company's path forward, with the low analyst count further contributing to potential volatility and less efficient price discovery for investors.

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CHTR Technical Analysis

The stock is in a pronounced and sustained downtrend, with a 1-year price change of -55.16%, significantly underperforming the broader market. Currently trading at $171.74, it sits at just 9.5% of its 52-week range ($158.00 to $437.06), indicating it is languishing near multi-year lows and signaling deep investor pessimism and potential value trap concerns. The recent momentum is severely negative, with the stock down 20.59% over the past month and 16.68% over the past three months, a stark contrast to the S&P 500's gains of 9.98% and 4.14% over the same periods, respectively, highlighting extreme relative weakness and a lack of any near-term catalyst for recovery. Key technical support is firmly established at the 52-week low of $158.00, with a breakdown below this level likely to trigger further capitulation, while resistance is far above at the 52-week high of $437.06. The stock's beta of 1.026 suggests its volatility is roughly in line with the market, but its massive 84.20 percentage point underperformance versus the S&P 500 over the past year underscores its severe idiosyncratic risk driven by company-specific fundamental deterioration.

Beta

0.76

0.76x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-66.5%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$142-$437

Price range past year

Annual Return

-65.2%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodCHTR ReturnS&P 500
1m-36.8%+8.2%
3m-39.9%+9.0%
6m-29.6%+10.5%
1y-65.2%+26.5%
ytd-31.6%+8.9%

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CHTR Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has stalled and turned negative, with Q4 2025 revenue of $13.60 billion representing a -2.33% year-over-year decline, continuing a trend of sequential quarterly revenue declines from $13.78 billion in Q1 2025. The Residential Internet Product Line, at $5.90 billion, remains the largest segment but is under pressure from subscriber losses, while the Residential Video Product Line ($3.25 billion) faces secular decline, indicating a challenging core business model. The company remains profitable but margins are under pressure; Q4 2025 net income was $1.33 billion with a net margin of 9.79%, but the gross margin of 40.34% for the quarter is below the trailing twelve-month gross margin of 46.32%, suggesting cost inflation or pricing pressure. Operating margin was 24.66% for the quarter, which is stable, but the trajectory of net income has been volatile, declining from $1.47 billion in Q4 2024, reflecting the impact of top-line weakness on the bottom line. The balance sheet carries significant financial risk, with a high debt-to-equity ratio of 6.05, indicating a leveraged capital structure that amplifies equity risk in a downturn. However, the company generates substantial free cash flow, with TTM FCF of $4.42 billion, providing some capacity to service debt and fund operations, though the current ratio of 0.39 points to very tight short-term liquidity, which could be a concern in a rising rate environment.

Quarterly Revenue

$13.6B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

-0.02%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.40%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$4.4B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Advertising sales
Commercial Product Line
Residential Internet Product Line
Residential Product Line
Residential Video Product Line
Residential Voice Product Line

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Valuation Analysis: Is CHTR Overvalued?

Given a positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is an exceptionally low 5.66x, while the forward P/E is 3.88x, indicating the market is pricing in severely depressed earnings with minimal growth expectations, as the forward multiple suggests an anticipated earnings decline. Compared to sector averages, the stock trades at a deep discount; its trailing P/E of 5.66x is far below typical telecom multiples, and its Price/Sales ratio of 0.52x and EV/EBITDA of 5.89x also suggest a bargain-basement valuation, but this discount is justified by the company's negative revenue growth, high leverage, and competitive threats. Historically, the stock's valuation has collapsed from its own prior ranges; its current trailing P/E of 5.66x is near the bottom of its observable historical range (from data extending back to 2021 where P/E often exceeded 10x-30x), indicating the market is pricing in a permanent impairment of growth and profitability prospects rather than a cyclical downturn.

PE

5.7x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 5x~37x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

5.9x

Enterprise Value Multiple