VFC

VF Corporation

$15.08

-17.37%
Jul 29, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
V.F. Corporation designs, produces, and distributes branded apparel, footwear, and accessories across active, outdoor, and work categories, with a portfolio of 10 brands including Vans, The North Face, Timberland, and Altra. As a global apparel manufacturer with a history dating back to 1899, the company has evolved through numerous acquisitions and divestitures, positioning itself as a diversified player in the consumer cyclical sector. The current investor narrative centers on the company's turnaround efforts, as it navigates mixed financial performance with recent revenue stabilization and profitability challenges, while analysts debate the timing of a recovery amid ongoing brand restructuring and market headwinds.

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VFC 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $15.08
Average Target $15.08
High Target $17.34
Low Target $12.82

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on VF Corporation's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $20.02 and implied upside of +32.8% versus the current price.

Average Target

$20.02

0 analysts

Implied Upside

+32.8%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

covering this stock

Price Range

$14 - $40

Analyst target range

VFC is covered by 21 analysts, with a consensus recommendation of 'Hold' (mean rating of 2.52 on a 1-5 scale, where 1 is Strong Buy). The average price target is $20.21, implying approximately 18.7% upside from the current price of $17.03. The distribution shows a mix of ratings: recent actions include upgrades from BTIG (Buy) and Seaport Global (Buy), while UBS, Barclays, and Citigroup maintain Neutral/Overweight stances. The consensus leans cautiously bullish, with a notable upside potential. The target range spans from a low of $14.00 to a high of $40.00, indicating significant uncertainty. The high target of $40.00 implies a 135% upside, likely assuming a successful turnaround with margin expansion and revenue acceleration, possibly driven by brand strength and cost cuts. The low target of $14.00 suggests a 17.8% downside, pricing in continued margin compression, competitive pressures, or a recessionary impact. The wide spread (low to high of $26) reflects high uncertainty about the company's trajectory. Recent upgrades from BTIG and Seaport Global suggest some positive momentum in analyst sentiment, but the overall 'Hold' consensus indicates that many analysts are waiting for more concrete evidence of a turnaround before becoming more bullish.

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VFC Technical Analysis

VFC is in a recovery uptrend from its 52-week low of $11.11, with the current price of $17.03 representing a 34.3% gain over the past year. The stock is trading at 76.5% of its 52-week range ($11.11-$22.27), suggesting it has rebounded significantly but still has room before challenging resistance. This positioning indicates improving momentum but not yet overextended, as the price remains below the midpoint of the range. Short-term momentum shows a 1-month decline of -1.1% and a 3-month decline of -13.9%, conflicting with the strong 1-year uptrend. This divergence could signal a temporary pullback or consolidation within the broader recovery, as the stock has given back some gains from its April high near $21.50. The relative strength versus the S&P 500 is negative over 1-month (-1.88%) and 3-month (-17.45%), indicating underperformance in the near term. Key support is at the 52-week low of $11.11, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $22.27. A breakout above $22.27 would signal a resumption of the uptrend and potential for further gains, while a breakdown below $11.11 would negate the recovery and suggest renewed downside. With a beta of 0.974, VFC's volatility is roughly in line with the market, implying no significant amplification of market moves.

Beta

0.97

0.97x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-30.0%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$11-$22

Price range past year

Annual Return

+21.6%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodVFC ReturnS&P 500
1m-9.7%-1.6%
3m-20.3%+1.5%
6m-23.0%+5.4%
1y+21.6%+14.8%
ytd-17.0%+7.0%

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VFC Fundamental Analysis

Revenue in the most recent quarter (Q4 FY2026, ended March 28, 2026) was $2.166 billion, up 1.04% year-over-year, marking a stabilization after prior declines. However, the multi-quarter trend shows mixed results: Q3 FY2026 revenue was $2.876 billion, Q2 FY2026 was $2.803 billion, and Q1 FY2026 was $1.761 billion, indicating seasonality but also a deceleration from the Q3 peak. The Outdoor segment contributed $1.34 billion and Active $589 million, with Outdoor being the primary growth driver. The modest revenue growth suggests the company is stabilizing but not yet accelerating, which is a key point for the investment case as investors look for a return to sustainable growth. The company reported a net loss of -$119.3 million in Q4 FY2026, with a gross margin of 56.4%, which is healthy for apparel manufacturing. However, operating margin was only 2.8%, and net margin was -5.5%, indicating profitability challenges. Over the trailing twelve months, net income was positive at $254.9 million (sum of four quarters), but the recent quarter's loss highlights ongoing margin pressure. The company's ability to expand margins will be critical for the turnaround story. VFC has a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.69, indicating significant leverage, and a current ratio of 1.84, suggesting adequate short-term liquidity. Free cash flow over the trailing twelve months was $510 million, providing some cushion for debt service and investment. However, the high debt load (debt-to-equity of 2.69) and negative net income in the latest quarter raise concerns about financial risk, though the positive free cash flow generation is a positive sign.

Quarterly Revenue

$2.2B

2026-03

Revenue YoY Growth

+1.0%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

56.4%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$510015000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Active
Outdoor

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Valuation Analysis: Is VFC Overvalued?

Since net income is positive on a trailing twelve-month basis (TTM net income of approximately $254.9 million), the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 25.23x, while the forward P/E is 12.53x, implying the market expects significant earnings growth in the coming year. The large gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests that the market is pricing in a sharp earnings recovery, which aligns with the turnaround narrative. Compared to the industry average (Apparel - Manufacturers), VFC's trailing P/E of 25.23x is above the sector median of approximately 18x (based on industry data), representing a 40% premium. This premium may be justified by the expected earnings rebound, but it also leaves the stock vulnerable if the recovery disappoints. Historically, VFC's trailing P/E has ranged from negative (when unprofitable) to over 60x in the past few years. The current 25.23x is below the 5-year average of around 30x, suggesting it is not at extreme levels. However, the forward P/E of 12.53x is near the lower end of its historical range, indicating that the market is pricing in a normalization of earnings. This could represent a value opportunity if the turnaround materializes, but also reflects skepticism about the pace of recovery.

PE

25.2x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range 5x~38x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

13.4x

Enterprise Value Multiple