CI

The Cigna Group

$300.71

+0.74%
May 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
The Cigna Group is a major integrated healthcare services company operating in the Medical - Healthcare Plans industry, providing pharmacy benefit management (PBM) and health insurance services. It is a dominant player in the PBM space, a position solidified by its 2018 merger with Express Scripts, and serves a large base of employers and health plans, including significant contracts with the Department of Defense and insurer Centene. The current investor narrative is focused on the company's strategic pivot, as recent news highlights strong quarterly performance and raised guidance, but also a planned exit from the individual exchange market and a strategic review of its eviCore business, introducing a mix of operational execution and portfolio optimization risks.

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CI 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $300.71
Average Target $300.71
High Target $345.81649999999996
Low Target $255.60349999999997

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on The Cigna Group's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $390.92 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$390.92

7 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

7

covering this stock

Price Range

$241 - $391

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (29%)
Hold
3 (43%)
Sell
2 (29%)

Analyst coverage for Cigna is limited, with only 4 analysts providing estimates, which is unusually low for a large-cap company and may indicate reduced institutional focus or consensus difficulty. The consensus sentiment, inferred from recent institutional ratings, is overwhelmingly bullish, with multiple firms (Bernstein, Truist, Barclays, Guggenheim, RBC Capital) maintaining or initiating Buy/Overweight/Outperform ratings in early 2026, suggesting strong professional conviction. The average revenue estimate for the period is $331.74 billion, with a range from $326.20 billion to $340.03 billion, indicating a relatively tight spread of about 4.2% around the consensus, which points to higher conviction in the top-line forecast despite the low number of analysts.

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CI Technical Analysis

The stock is in a sustained uptrend over the medium term, evidenced by a 15.75% gain over the past six months, but remains in a longer-term downtrend with a 1-year price change of -15.60%. Currently trading at $282.90, the price sits approximately 39.3% above its 52-week low of $239.51 but 19.2% below its 52-week high of $350.00, positioning it in the lower-middle portion of its annual range, suggesting it has recovered from lows but still faces significant overhead resistance. Recent momentum shows a positive 1-month return of 5.83% and a 3-month return of 3.21%, indicating a short-term recovery phase that is diverging from the negative 1-year trend, which could signal the beginning of a trend reversal or a bear market rally. The stock exhibits low market-relative volatility with a beta of 0.272, meaning it is roughly 73% less volatile than the broader market, which is notable for a large-cap healthcare name. Key technical levels are clear, with immediate support near the 52-week low of $239.51 and major resistance at the 52-week high of $350.00; a decisive breakout above resistance would confirm a new bullish phase, while a breakdown below support would invalidate the recent recovery and likely lead to further declines.

Beta

0.31

0.31x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-28.1%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$240-$339

Price range past year

Annual Return

-0.4%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodCI ReturnS&P 500
1m+9.3%+8.2%
3m+4.6%+9.0%
6m+11.5%+10.5%
1y-0.4%+26.5%
ytd+7.7%+8.9%

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CI Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth is robust, with Q4 2025 revenue of $72.47 billion representing a 10.39% year-over-year increase, and the sequential quarterly trend through 2025 shows consistent top-line expansion from $65.50 billion in Q1 to the Q4 figure. The Evernorth PBM segment is the primary growth driver, contributing $64.74 billion in a recent period versus $12.51 billion from the Cigna Healthcare insurance segment, highlighting the company's reliance on its pharmacy services business. The company is profitable, reporting Q4 2025 net income of $1.23 billion, though profitability metrics show some pressure with a quarterly net margin of 1.70% and a gross margin of 7.66%, which are low but typical for the high-volume, low-margin PBM industry. Margins have been volatile quarter-to-quarter, with the operating margin dipping to 2.96% in Q4 from 3.70% in Q3, indicating potential cost pressures or mix shifts. Balance sheet and cash flow health is strong, with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.75 and robust trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $8.39 billion, providing ample internal funding for growth initiatives and shareholder returns, as evidenced by a current ratio of 0.85 and a return on equity of 14.28%, which signals efficient use of shareholder capital.

Quarterly Revenue

$72.5B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.10%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.07%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$8.4B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Cigna Healthcare
Evernorth

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Valuation Analysis: Is CI Overvalued?

Given a positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 12.29x, while the forward P/E is 8.45x, indicating the market expects significant earnings growth, as the forward multiple is 31% lower than the trailing figure. Compared to sector averages, Cigna's valuation appears discounted; its trailing P/E of 12.29x and Price/Sales ratio of 0.27x are well below typical healthcare plan multiples, suggesting the market is applying a penalty, possibly due to regulatory concerns or lower growth expectations relative to peers. Historically, the stock's own trailing P/E has ranged widely; the current 12.29x is below the 14.83x reported at the end of Q4 2025 and significantly lower than peaks above 30x seen in 2024, placing it near the lower end of its recent historical band, which could indicate a value opportunity if fundamentals remain intact.

PE

12.3x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -94x~33x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

8.4x

Enterprise Value Multiple