NTAP

NetApp

$174.55

+6.48%
Jul 14, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
NetApp Inc is a data infrastructure company that provides storage hardware and software solutions, primarily through its flagship ONTAP data management platform, serving enterprise customers worldwide. As a leader in hybrid cloud storage, NetApp has transformed from a traditional storage hardware provider into a software-driven, cloud-centric company, competing with Dell, Pure Storage, and HPE. The current investor narrative centers on NetApp's role in the AI data infrastructure buildout, with its recent earnings beat and bullish guidance driving a 35% surge in May 2026, as enterprises increasingly rely on its solutions for managing AI workloads. The stock is also benefiting from the broader AI tailwind, as evidenced by Dell's massive AI order book, which confirms accelerating demand for related hardware.

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NTAP 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $174.55
Average Target $174.55
High Target $200.73
Low Target $148.37

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on NetApp's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $226.92 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$226.92

4 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

4

covering this stock

Price Range

$140 - $227

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (25%)
Hold
2 (50%)
Sell
1 (25%)

NetApp is covered by 4 analysts, with a consensus recommendation leaning neutral. The average estimated EPS for the current fiscal year is $10.50, with a range of $10.23 to $10.94. The average revenue estimate is $8.33 billion. While specific price targets are not provided, the EPS estimates imply a forward P/E of 16.1x based on the current price of $168.87. The consensus appears cautiously optimistic, but the limited coverage (4 analysts) suggests the stock may not be heavily followed by the sell-side. The institutional ratings show a mix of Neutral and Overweight ratings, with recent actions including a downgrade from Morgan Stanley to Underweight in January 2026, but upgrades from Northland Capital Markets to Outperform in November 2025. The spread between the low and high EPS estimates ($10.23 to $10.94) is relatively narrow, indicating moderate uncertainty. The high estimate implies 4.2% upside from the average, while the low estimate implies 2.6% downside. The lack of explicit price targets limits the ability to calculate upside/downside, but the EPS range suggests a tight consensus. The limited analyst coverage means the stock may have less efficient price discovery, but the recent earnings beat and AI tailwind could attract more attention.

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NTAP Technical Analysis

NetApp is in a strong uptrend, with the stock up 58.7% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 20.6% gain. The current price of $168.87 sits at 87.6% of its 52-week range ($93.69-$192.83), indicating the stock is near the upper end of its range, reflecting strong momentum but also potential overextension. The 52-week low of $93.69 was set in January 2026, and the stock has more than doubled since then, suggesting a sustained bullish trend. Short-term momentum is accelerating: the 1-month price change is +5.1%, while the 3-month change is an impressive +76.0%, far outpacing the S&P 500's 1-month and 3-month gains of 4.1% and 11.1%, respectively. This acceleration from the longer-term trend (1-year +58.7%) indicates a recent surge in buying interest, likely driven by the May 2026 earnings catalyst. The relative strength index (RSI) is not provided, but the price action suggests strong bullish momentum. The 52-week high of $192.83 acts as key resistance; a breakout above this level would signal a continuation of the uptrend and could target new highs. Support lies near the 52-week low of $93.69, though the stock is well above that level. With a beta of 1.451, NetApp is 45% more volatile than the S&P 500, meaning it amplifies market moves, which is important for risk management.

Beta

1.45

1.45x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-25.5%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$94-$193

Price range past year

Annual Return

+66.8%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodNTAP ReturnS&P 500
1m+8.0%+1.4%
3m+74.0%+7.4%
6m+61.0%+8.6%
1y+66.8%+20.3%
ytd+63.9%+10.3%

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NTAP Fundamental Analysis

NetApp's revenue trajectory is stable with modest growth. In the most recent quarter (Q3 FY2026, ended January 23, 2026), revenue was $1.713 billion, up 4.4% year-over-year from $1.641 billion in the same quarter last year. Over the past four quarters, revenue has ranged from $1.559 billion to $1.732 billion, indicating a steady but not accelerating trend. The Hybrid Cloud segment (product and support) drives the majority of revenue, with product revenue of $786 million and support revenue of $654 million in the most recent quarter. Public Cloud segment contributed $174 million. The modest growth reflects a mature storage market, but the AI tailwind could accelerate demand. NetApp is highly profitable. In Q3 FY2026, net income was $334 million, with a net margin of 19.5%. Gross margin was 70.6%, which is strong for hardware, and operating margin was 25.2%. Margins have been stable over the past year, with gross margins ranging from 68.8% to 72.0% and net margins from 14.9% to 19.6%. The company's profitability is solid and compares favorably to industry averages. NetApp has a healthy balance sheet. Free cash flow (FCF) for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is $1.609 billion, providing ample liquidity. The debt-to-equity ratio is 2.02, which is elevated but manageable given strong cash flow. Return on equity (ROE) is exceptionally high at 94.4%, reflecting efficient use of equity. The current ratio of 1.44 indicates adequate short-term liquidity. The company generates sufficient cash to fund operations and return capital to shareholders, as evidenced by $103 million in dividends and $200 million in share repurchases in the most recent quarter.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.7B

2026-01

Revenue YoY Growth

+4.4%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

70.6%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$1.6B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Product
Professional And Other Services
Public Cloud Segment
Support

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Valuation Analysis: Is NTAP Overvalued?

Since Net Income is positive, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 16.9x, while the forward P/E is 17.2x, implying a slight premium based on expected earnings growth. The gap is minimal, suggesting the market expects stable earnings. Compared to the industry average (not provided, but typically for computer hardware, the average P/E is around 20-25x), NetApp's trailing P/E of 16.9x appears at a discount. However, the P/S ratio of 3.09x and EV/EBITDA of 11.45x provide additional context. Historically, NetApp's trailing P/E has ranged from 5.0x (in Q2 FY2023) to 54.4x (in Q3 FY2023). The current 16.9x is near the lower end of its historical range, suggesting the stock is not overvalued relative to its own history. The P/B ratio of 15.85x is high, reflecting the company's asset-light model and high ROE. Overall, the valuation appears reasonable given the company's profitability and growth prospects, with the forward P/E implying modest growth expectations.

PE

16.9x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 5x~54x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

11.4x

Enterprise Value Multiple