RH

Restoration Hardware

$174.55

+7.87%
Jul 14, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
RH is a luxury furniture and lifestyle retailer operating in the $136 billion domestic furniture and home furnishing industry, offering merchandise across furniture, lighting, textiles, bath, decor, and hospitality. The company distinguishes itself as a premium, integrated brand with a curated product ecosystem spanning channels and extensions like RH Estates and Waterworks, positioning it as a market leader in the luxury segment. Currently, investor attention is focused on RH's international expansion, digital platform growth, and hospitality ventures, while the stock has experienced significant volatility amid a broader market rotation and mixed housing market data.

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RH 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $174.55
Average Target $174.55
High Target $200.73
Low Target $148.37

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Restoration Hardware's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $226.92 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$226.92

3 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

3

covering this stock

Price Range

$140 - $227

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (33%)
Sell
2 (67%)

Only 3 analysts cover RH, with a consensus leaning bullish: 2 Buy/Overweight, 1 Neutral, and 0 Sell. The average target price is not explicitly provided, but based on the estimated EPS of $28.20 and a forward P/E of 17.8x, the implied target is approximately $502, representing over 200% upside from the current price of $165.35. However, this seems unrealistic given the limited coverage and recent price action. The actual consensus target is likely lower; based on institutional ratings, firms like TD Cowen (Buy), Morgan Stanley (Overweight), and Wells Fargo (Overweight) are positive, while Telsey (Market Perform) and UBS (Neutral) are cautious. The range of targets is wide, reflecting high uncertainty. The high target likely assumes successful international expansion and margin recovery, while the low target prices in continued housing market weakness and margin compression. The limited analyst coverage (3 analysts) implies RH is a small- to mid-cap stock with less institutional attention, leading to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery. Investors should be cautious about relying on consensus estimates given the small sample size.

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RH Technical Analysis

RH is in a recovery uptrend from its 52-week low of $106.30, but remains down 22.5% over the past year. The current price of $165.35 sits at 64% of the 52-week range ($106.30–$257.00), indicating a rebound from the lows but still well below the highs. This positioning suggests the stock is in a recovery phase, with potential upside if momentum continues, but it has not yet reclaimed the highs that would signal a full trend reversal. Short-term momentum is strong, with a 1-month gain of 11.2% and a 3-month gain of 31.7%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 1-month and 3-month returns of 4.1% and 11.1%, respectively. The 1-month relative strength of 7.1% confirms near-term outperformance, but the 1-year relative strength of -43.2% highlights the long-term underperformance. This divergence suggests a potential trend reversal or mean reversion, as the stock is recovering from oversold conditions. The 52-week low of $106.30 provides strong support, while the 52-week high of $257.00 acts as key resistance. A breakout above $257 would signal a resumption of the long-term uptrend, while a breakdown below $106.30 would indicate further downside. With a beta of 1.876, RH is 87.6% more volatile than the market, amplifying both upside and downside moves, which is critical for risk management.

Beta

1.88

1.88x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-55.0%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$106-$257

Price range past year

Annual Return

-14.0%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodRH ReturnS&P 500
1m+14.1%+1.4%
3m+34.8%+7.4%
6m-21.9%+8.6%
1y-14.0%+20.3%
ytd-9.8%+10.3%

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RH Fundamental Analysis

Revenue has shown modest growth, with the most recent quarter (Q4 FY2025, ended Jan 31, 2026) reporting $842.6 million, up 3.7% year-over-year from $812.4 million in the prior-year quarter. However, the multi-quarter trend shows deceleration: Q3 FY2025 revenue was $883.8 million (up 8.9% YoY), Q2 FY2025 was $899.2 million (up 8.4% YoY), and Q1 FY2025 was $814.0 million (up 12.0% YoY). The RH segment contributed $846.7 million and Waterworks $52.4 million, indicating core RH drives the business. The growth trajectory is slowing, which may temper investor enthusiasm. Profitability is positive but thin: net income for Q4 FY2025 was $28.8 million, with a net margin of 3.4%. Gross margin was 42.9%, stable compared to 44.7% a year ago, but operating margin compressed to 11.1% from 11.1% (flat). The company has been profitable for the trailing twelve months, with EPS of $1.53 for the quarter. However, margins are below industry averages for specialty retail, reflecting high fixed costs and investment spending. The balance sheet shows high leverage: debt-to-equity is 65.5, and the current ratio is 1.19, indicating adequate liquidity but elevated debt. Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months was $249.6 million, with a free cash flow yield of 6.7% based on market cap. ROE is 2.06%, low due to high equity base, while ROA is 4.4%. The company generates positive operating cash flow ($96.1 million in Q4), but capital expenditures remain high ($44.2 million), limiting free cash flow generation.

Quarterly Revenue

$842623000.0B

2026-01

Revenue YoY Growth

+3.7%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

42.9%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$249629000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

RH Segment
Waterworks

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Valuation Analysis: Is RH Overvalued?

Since net income is positive, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 29.9x, while the forward P/E is 17.8x, implying the market expects earnings growth to justify the current price. The gap between trailing and forward suggests anticipated earnings improvement, consistent with analyst estimates of $28.20 EPS for the current fiscal year. Compared to the specialty retail industry average P/E of approximately 22x, RH's trailing P/E of 29.9x represents a 36% premium. However, the forward P/E of 17.8x is at a 19% discount to the industry average, indicating that the market is pricing in a significant earnings rebound. The premium on trailing earnings may be justified by RH's luxury positioning and growth initiatives, but the discount on forward earnings suggests skepticism about sustained growth. Historically, RH's trailing P/E has ranged from 11.6x (Q1 2022) to 140.3x (Q4 2024). The current 29.9x is near the lower end of its historical range, suggesting the stock is not overvalued relative to its own history. The P/S ratio of 1.08x is well below the industry average of 0.8x, but RH's higher margins justify a premium. The EV/EBITDA of 14.2x is reasonable for a luxury retailer.

PE

29.9x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -448x~140x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

14.2x

Enterprise Value Multiple