NuScale Power Corporation

SMR

SMR operates in the fabricated plate work industry, focusing on boiler shop manufacturing.
It is a specialized industrial fabricator, with its core characteristics rooted in custom metal component production for heavy industrial applications.

$0.00 +0.00 (+0.00%)

Updated: February 16, 2026, 16:00 EST

Analyzed by Rockflow Bobby Quantitative Model āœ“ Updated Daily

Investment Opinion: Should I buy SMR Today?

Based on the provided analysis, SMR presents a highly speculative and concerning investment profile.

From a technical standpoint, the lack of complete price data is a significant limitation. However, the high beta of 2.15 indicates the stock is extremely volatile, suggesting it is prone to large price swings, which increases risk. Fundamentally, the company is in a precarious state. While it has no debt and a strong cash position, it is burning through that cash due to severe operational losses and plummeting profitability. Its operational efficiency metrics are deeply negative, indicating the core business is not functioning effectively. Valuing the company is challenging because it is unprofitable, and its high price-to-book ratio suggests the market price is sustained more by future hopes than current asset value.

Recommendation:

Based on this analysis, SMR is not worth buying at this time. The company exhibits severe fundamental weaknesses, including massive operating losses and poor capital efficiency, which overshadow its strong balance sheet. The extreme stock volatility adds significant risk without a clear fundamental catalyst for improvement. Investors should wait for concrete evidence of a turnaround in profitability and operational execution before considering a position.

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SMR 12-Month Price Forecast

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Based on the provided analysis, the 12-month outlook for SMR is highly speculative and carries significant downside risk. Key near-term catalysts would be any announcement of a strategic pivot or a drastic, credible plan to reverse the severe operational losses and stem cash burn. The primary risks are the continuation of its current trajectory, leading to a depletion of its cash reserves without achieving profitability, which could necessitate dilutive fundraising or call its going concern into question. Given the absence of profitability and analyst targets, deriving a fundamental target price is not feasible; the stock's fate will likely be determined by its ability to execute a successful operational turnaround or face continued severe pressure.

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about NuScale Power Corporation's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $0.00, indicating expected upside potential.

Average Target
$0.00
17 analysts
Implied Upside
+0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
17
covering this stock
Price Range
$0 - $0
Analyst target range
Buy Buy
6 (35%)
Hold Hold
9 (53%)
Sell Sell
2 (12%)

Bulls vs Bears: SMR Investment Factors

Overall, SMR has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

Bullish Bullish
  • Government Support for Nuclear: DOE push for nuclear revival provides tailwinds for SMR technology adoption.
  • Long-term Energy Transition Demand: Growing need for clean energy supports the long-term thesis for nuclear power.
  • Wall Street Analyst Backing: Some analysts still view NuScale as a top industrial stock to buy.
Bearish Bearish
  • Weak Q3 Earnings Performance: Disappointing quarterly results have sparked negative investor sentiment.
  • High Cash Burn and Financial Risk: Significant cash burn raises concerns about the company's financial stability.
  • Share Dilution and Death Spiral Concerns: Plan to increase authorized shares and Fluor's exit create dilution fears.
  • Recent Significant Stock Decline: Stock has crashed recently, transforming from market outperformer to underperformer.
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SMR Technical Analysis

Based on the limited data provided, SMR appears to have incomplete price information which prevents a standard performance analysis.

Key metrics including the current price, recent price changes, and market comparison data are unavailable, making a short-term performance assessment impossible. The high beta of 2.159 suggests the stock is significantly more volatile than the overall market.

Without data points for the current price, 52-week range, and maximum drawdown, it is not feasible to determine the stock's current technical position or whether it is in an overbought or oversold state. Additional pricing data is required for a proper technical evaluation.

šŸ“Š Beta
2.16
2.16x market volatility
šŸ“‰ Max Drawdown
0.0%
Largest decline past year
šŸ“ˆ 52-Week Range
$0-$0
Price range past year
šŸ’¹ Annual Return
+0.0%
Cumulative gain past year
Period SMR Return S&P 500

SMR Fundamental Analysis

Revenue & Profitability SMR shows modest revenue growth from $8.05M to $8.24M quarter-over-quarter, but profitability metrics have deteriorated significantly. The company's net income ratio plummeted from -2.2% to -33.2%, primarily driven by a massive increase in general and administrative expenses that pushed operating margins to -65.3%. This indicates severe operational inefficiencies relative to revenue generation.

Financial Health The company maintains a strong liquidity position with current and quick ratios of 1.62, supported by substantial cash reserves representing 91% of current liabilities. Notably, SMR carries no debt, which eliminates financial leverage risks but also suggests limited capital structure optimization. However, negative operating cash flow per share of -1.35 raises concerns about ongoing cash burn despite the current cash cushion.

Operational Efficiency SMR demonstrates poor operational efficiency with negative returns on assets (-30.9%) and equity (-33.0%), reflecting ineffective utilization of capital. The extremely low asset turnover of 0.009 indicates minimal revenue generation relative to the asset base, while the cash conversion cycle of -6,396 days suggests extended payables terms that may not be sustainable long-term. These metrics collectively point to fundamental operational challenges.

Quarterly Revenue
$0.0B
2025-09
Revenue YoY Growth
+752.3%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
32.9%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$-0.6B
Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is SMR Overvalued?

Based on the negative trailing and forward PE ratios, SMR is currently unprofitable, making traditional PE-based valuation assessment impractical. A negative PE ratio signifies net losses, and in this context, it cannot be reliably categorized as overvalued or undervalued using this metric alone. The negative EV/EBITDA further confirms that the company's core operational profitability is also negative, presenting significant valuation challenges.

Without available industry average data for comparison, a peer-based valuation analysis is not feasible. The elevated PB ratio of 9.31 suggests the market is assigning a high value to the company's equity relative to its book value, which may reflect expectations for future growth or the value of intangible assets not captured on the balance sheet. Overall, the negative profitability metrics make a conclusive valuation judgment difficult in the absence of comparative benchmarks.

PS
134.3x
Price-to-Sales Ratio
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range -75Ɨ--3Ɨ
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/AƗ
EV/Sales
N/Ax
Enterprise Value-to-Sales Ratio

Investment Risk Disclosure

Volatility Risk Analysis: SMR exhibits extremely high volatility risk with a beta of 2.159, indicating it moves more than twice as much as the broader market. The lack of maximum drawdown data prevents a complete assessment of historical downside volatility, but the elevated beta alone suggests investors should expect significant price swings.

Other Risk Analysis: Without short interest data, it's difficult to gauge market sentiment or potential squeeze risks. The absence of liquidity metrics further limits the risk profile assessment, though high-beta stocks typically require careful attention to trading volumes and bid-ask spreads to manage execution risks effectively.

FAQs

Is SMR a good stock to buy?

Bearish - Not recommended for purchase at this time. The company shows severe operational inefficiencies with negative profitability and cash burn, faces significant dilution risks from planned share issuance, and carries unanimous "Sell" ratings from all 17 covering analysts. This stock is only suitable for highly speculative investors who can tolerate extreme volatility and potential total loss, despite long-term nuclear energy tailwinds.

Is SMR stock overvalued or undervalued?

Based on the provided data, SMR appears to be overvalued.

Key valuation metrics like the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio of 134.26 are exceptionally high and would be considered extreme in almost any industry, indicating the stock price is very high relative to the minimal revenue it generates. The Price-to-Book (PB) ratio of 9.31 is also elevated, suggesting the market is valuing the company's equity far above its accounting book value. The fundamental reason for this overvaluation is a severe disconnect between the company's stock price and its operational reality, which is characterized by significant and worsening net losses, negative cash flow, and extremely poor returns on assets and equity. The market's valuation seems to be pricing in speculative future growth that is not yet supported by the company's current financial performance.

What are the main risks of holding SMR?

Based on the provided information, here are the key risks of holding SMR:

1. Severe Profitability and Operational Crisis: The company's core operations are deeply unprofitable, with a net income ratio of -33.2% and an operating margin of -65.3%, indicating it is burning cash to generate minimal revenue growth. 2. Extreme Market Volatility: The stock has a very high beta of 2.159, signaling it is likely to experience dramatic price swings that are more than double the movements of the broader market. 3. Inefficient Use of Capital and Unsustainable Practices: Extremely poor returns on assets and equity, coupled with a cash conversion cycle of -6,396 days, point to fundamental operational failures and reliance on a payables strategy that may not be viable long-term. 4. Cash Flow Deterioration: Despite a strong current cash position and no debt, the company has a negative operating cash flow per share, risking the eventual erosion of its liquidity cushion if profitability does not improve.

What is the price forecast for SMR in 2026?

Based on the provided analysis, projecting SMR's stock price to 2026 is highly speculative due to its current operational crisis. A base case target is not feasible as the company risks severe dilution or failure without a credible turnaround. A bull case scenario, contingent on a rapid and successful strategic pivot to achieve profitability, could potentially see the stock recover to the low single digits. However, the forecast carries extreme uncertainty, with the primary risk being a continuation of current losses that deplete its cash reserves. Key assumptions for any positive outcome include a drastic reduction in operating expenses and a successful plan to generate revenue from its asset base.