GEV

GE Vernova

$1127.59

+1.61%
Jun 22, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
GE Vernova Inc. is a global leader in the electric power industry, providing products and services that generate, transfer, convert, and store electricity across three core segments: Power (gas, nuclear, hydro), Wind (onshore and offshore turbines), and Electrification (grid solutions and solar/storage). The company is a dominant, vertically-integrated player in the energy transition, serving as a critical infrastructure supplier for both traditional dispatchable power and renewable energy systems. The current investor narrative is overwhelmingly focused on the company's role as a 'pick-and-shovel' beneficiary of surging global electricity demand, particularly from AI data centers and broader electrification, a theme underscored by recent news highlighting explosive backlog growth, raised guidance, and strong post-earnings stock performance.

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GEV 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $1127.59
Average Target $1127.59
High Target $1296.7284999999997
Low Target $958.4514999999999

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on GE Vernova's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $1465.87 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$1465.87

21 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

21

covering this stock

Price Range

$902 - $1466

Analyst target range

Buy
6 (29%)
Hold
10 (48%)
Sell
5 (24%)

Analyst coverage is robust with 21 firms providing estimates, indicating strong institutional interest in this recently spun-off entity. The consensus sentiment is bullish, as evidenced by recent institutional ratings which include actions like 'Overweight' from Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo, 'Buy' from Goldman Sachs, and an upgrade from Rothschild & Co from 'Sell' to 'Buy'. The average revenue estimate for the forward period is $75.01 billion, with an average EPS estimate of $53.99, reflecting high growth expectations. The target price range, implied by EPS estimates, shows a high degree of analyst conviction but also some variance in assumptions. The low EPS estimate is $51.26, while the high is $55.85, representing a relatively tight range of approximately 9% around the consensus. The high target likely assumes flawless execution on backlog conversion, sustained margin expansion, and no macroeconomic disruptions to the energy transition investment cycle. The low target may factor in potential execution hiccups, cost inflation, or a slower-than-expected pace of new orders. The tight spread between high and low estimates suggests analysts have a relatively unified view on the company's near-term earnings power, reducing the uncertainty typically associated with a new spin-off.

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GEV Technical Analysis

The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a staggering 126.39% gain over the past year. As of the latest close of $1109.73, the price is trading near the top of its 52-week range, approximately 94% of the way from its low of $479.04 to its high of $1181.95, indicating significant momentum but also potential overextension. The short-term momentum remains robust but has moderated from its peak; the stock is up 30.39% over the last three months and 9.68% over the past month, suggesting the explosive rally seen in April (where the stock jumped from ~$990 to over $1149) has entered a phase of consolidation and digestion of gains. The 1-month relative strength of 8.94% versus the SPY's 0.74% gain confirms the stock continues to outperform the broader market, albeit with higher volatility as indicated by a beta of 1.045. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $479.04, though more immediate support likely resides near the $900-$950 zone where the stock consolidated in May. The primary resistance is the recent 52-week high of $1181.95; a decisive breakout above this level would signal a resumption of the primary uptrend, while a failure could lead to a deeper pullback. The stock's beta of 1.045 indicates its volatility is roughly in line with the broader market, which is notable given its massive 1-year return, suggesting the moves have been driven by fundamental re-rating rather than speculative frenzy. The maximum drawdown of -24.57% highlights the stock's capacity for significant corrections within the larger uptrend.

Beta

1.04

1.04x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-24.6%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$479-$1182

Price range past year

Annual Return

+131.6%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodGEV ReturnS&P 500
1m+8.6%-0.2%
3m+24.0%+14.0%
6m+69.0%+7.8%
1y+131.6%+25.3%
ytd+65.9%+9.2%

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GEV Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth is accelerating, with Q4 2025 revenue of $10.96 billion representing a 3.8% year-over-year increase, a meaningful acceleration from the 0.4% sequential growth in Q3. More importantly, the full-year trend shows a steady climb from $8.04B in Q1 to $10.96B in Q4, indicating strong execution and demand across its segments. Revenue is split between Product ($5.96B) and Service ($4.99B), providing a balanced and recurring revenue stream. This accelerating top-line trajectory is central to the investment case, positioning GEV to capitalize on the energy transition. Profitability has improved dramatically, with Q4 2025 net income soaring to $3.66 billion, yielding a robust net margin of 33.4%. This compares favorably to a net income of $452 million and a 4.5% margin in Q3, showcasing significant quarter-over-quarter expansion. The gross margin of 21.2% in Q4 is stable and has improved from 19.0% in Q3, while operating income of $601 million (5.5% margin) reflects solid operational leverage. The company has clearly transitioned to strong, expanding profitability after a period of volatility in 2024. The balance sheet is exceptionally strong with zero debt, as indicated by a debt-to-equity ratio of 0. The company holds a massive cash position of $8.85 billion, providing ample liquidity for growth initiatives and shareholder returns. Free cash flow generation is robust, with TTM FCF of $3.71 billion, translating to a high FCF yield relative to its market cap. The current ratio of 0.98 suggests adequate short-term liquidity, though it is slightly below 1. The combination of a debt-free balance sheet, strong cash generation, and a high Return on Equity of 43.7% underscores exceptional financial health and efficient capital allocation.

Quarterly Revenue

$11.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.03%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.21%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$3.7B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Product
Service

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Valuation Analysis: Is GEV Overvalued?

Given the company's substantial positive net income of $3.66 billion in its latest quarter, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE ratio is 36.4x, while the forward PE is higher at 45.3x, indicating the market is pricing in significant future earnings growth, which aligns with the raised guidance and backlog narrative. The forward PE premium suggests high expectations for continued profit expansion. Compared to sector averages, GEV trades at a significant premium. Its trailing PE of 36.4x and Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio of 4.67x are elevated for the Utilities/Renewable Utilities sector, which typically features lower growth and more stable multiples. This premium is likely justified by GEV's positioning as a high-growth infrastructure play within the energy transition, its explosive profitability improvement, and its zero-debt balance sheet, which differentiates it from capital-intensive traditional utilities. Historically, the stock's current trailing PE of 36.4x is near the top of its observable range over the past two years, having expanded dramatically from a low of 8.9x in mid-2024. Similarly, its PS ratio of 4.67x is well above the ~3.6x seen at the end of 2023. This positioning at historical valuation highs suggests the market has already priced in a very optimistic outlook for growth and margin expansion. Any disappointment in execution or a slowdown in order momentum could lead to multiple compression.

PE

36.5x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -183x~94x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

45.9x

Enterprise Value Multiple