VSXY

Victoria’s Secret

$75.72

-3.50%
Sep 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Victoria's Secret & Co. is a leading specialty retailer of women's intimate apparel, beauty products, and loungewear, operating under the Victoria's Secret, PINK, and Adore Me brands, with a global presence through stores and e-commerce. As a dominant player in the intimate apparel market, the company has leveraged its iconic brand equity to maintain a strong competitive position, though it faces intense competition from both traditional retailers and direct-to-consumer disruptors. The current investor narrative centers on a decisive operational turnaround, highlighted by a recent earnings beat and raised outlook, which has sparked a short squeeze and a significant re-rating of the stock. However, the company's high debt load and volatile cash flow remain key points of debate among investors.

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VSXY 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $75.72
Average Target $75.72
High Target $87.08
Low Target $64.36

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Victoria’s Secret's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $91.55 and implied upside of +20.9% versus the current price.

Average Target

$91.55

0 analysts

Implied Upside

+20.9%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

covering this stock

Price Range

$73 - $110

Analyst target range

The target price range spans from a low of $73.00 to a high of $110.00, reflecting a wide spread of $37.00, which indicates significant uncertainty about the stock's future performance. The high target of $110.00 assumes continued operational momentum and successful execution of the turnaround strategy, potentially leading to further margin expansion and earnings growth. The low target of $73.00 suggests concerns about the company's ability to sustain growth amid retail headwinds and its high debt load. Recent rating actions show a mix of upgrades and downgrades, with UBS and Jefferies downgrading from Buy to Neutral/Hold, while B of A Securities upgraded from Neutral to Buy, indicating a divergence in analyst views.

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VSXY Technical Analysis

The stock has exhibited a strong recovery trend over the past year, with a 1-year price change of 1.92% (though this figure appears understated given the 52-week range of $25.00 to $102.46). Currently trading at $75.56, the stock sits at approximately 67% of its 52-week range, indicating it has pulled back from the highs but remains well above its lows. This positioning suggests a consolidation phase after a significant rally, with the stock having more than tripled from its 52-week low, reflecting robust momentum but also potential overextension in the short term.

Beta

2.05

2.05x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-26.3%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$25-$102

Price range past year

Annual Return

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodVSXY ReturnS&P 500
1m-24.3%-1.4%
3m-3.9%+3.3%
6m+15.1%
1y+17.2%
ytd+11.8%

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VSXY Fundamental Analysis

Revenue has shown a strong growth trajectory, with the most recent quarter (Q1 2026, ending April 30, 2026) reporting revenue of $1.559 billion, a 15.27% year-over-year increase. This marks a significant acceleration from the prior year's Q1 revenue of $1.353 billion, and the multi-quarter trend shows sequential growth from $1.472 billion in Q3 2025 to $1.559 billion in Q1 2026, indicating a robust recovery. The growth is likely driven by successful product launches and improved store traffic, though segment data is not available to pinpoint specific drivers.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.6B

2026-04

Revenue YoY Growth

+15.3%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

37.6%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$314000000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

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Valuation Analysis: Is VSXY Overvalued?

Given that net income is positive (TTM net income of $476.91 million in the most recent quarter), the primary valuation metric selected is the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE stands at 27.26x, while the forward PE is 13.43x, implying that the market expects significant earnings growth in the coming year. The gap between trailing and forward PE suggests that the market is pricing in a substantial improvement in profitability, which is supported by the recent earnings beat and raised outlook.

PE

27.3x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range 4x~24x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

13.0x

Enterprise Value Multiple