WBD

Warner Bros. Discovery

$27.09

+1.88%
Jul 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Warner Bros. Discovery is a global media and entertainment conglomerate operating through three primary segments: streaming (HBO Max), studios (film and television production), and linear networks (CNN, TNT, TBS, Discovery, HGTV, Food Network). As a major player in the entertainment industry, the company distinguishes itself through its vast portfolio of iconic brands and content libraries, positioning it as a content powerhouse in a rapidly consolidating market. The current investor narrative centers on the transformative $110 billion acquisition by Paramount, which received key DOJ approval in June 2026, signaling a potential reshaping of the media landscape and unlocking significant value for shareholders. Additionally, the market is closely watching Warner Bros. Discovery's ability to navigate cord-cutting headwinds in its linear networks segment while scaling its streaming business internationally.

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WBD 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $27.09
Average Target $27.09
High Target $31.15
Low Target $23.03

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Warner Bros. Discovery's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $35.22 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$35.22

7 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

7

covering this stock

Price Range

$22 - $35

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (29%)
Hold
3 (43%)
Sell
2 (29%)

Only 7 analysts cover Warner Bros. Discovery, a relatively low number for a large-cap stock, which may limit price discovery. The consensus recommendation is not explicitly provided, but the institutional ratings show a mix of Hold, Neutral, and Underperform, with recent downgrades from Benchmark (Buy to Hold) and Raymond James (Outperform to Underperform). The average estimated EPS for the next fiscal year is -$0.28, indicating continued losses. The average revenue estimate is $39.14 billion, implying a slight decline from the prior year. Without explicit price targets, the implied upside/downside cannot be calculated, but the bearish sentiment from recent downgrades suggests limited near-term optimism. The range of EPS estimates is narrow (-$0.30 to -$0.27), indicating relatively high conviction among analysts about near-term losses. The lack of bullish ratings and the recent downgrades point to a cautious outlook, with analysts likely waiting for clarity on the Paramount deal and revenue stabilization before turning more positive. The limited coverage and mixed sentiment imply higher uncertainty and potential for volatile price movements as news flow evolves.

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WBD Technical Analysis

Warner Bros. Discovery has exhibited a remarkable recovery over the past year, with a 128.2% price surge, but the stock is currently trading at $26.59, which is 78.4% of its 52-week range (low $10.76, high $30.00). This positioning near the upper end of the range suggests strong momentum, though the stock has pulled back from its highs, indicating potential consolidation or profit-taking after the massive rally. The 1-year relative strength versus SPY is an extraordinary +107.6%, underscoring the stock's outperformance relative to the broader market. Short-term momentum shows a divergence: the 1-month price change is +1.4%, while the 3-month change is -3.1%, indicating a deceleration from the longer-term uptrend. This conflict could signal a temporary pullback or mean reversion, especially as the stock's 1-month relative strength versus SPY is -2.7%, underperforming the market. The RSI is not directly provided, but the recent price action suggests a loss of near-term upside momentum. Key support lies at the 52-week low of $10.76, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $30.00. A breakout above $30.00 would signal a continuation of the uptrend, potentially targeting new highs, while a breakdown below $26.00 (recent lows) could test the $24 area. With a beta of 1.55, the stock is 55% more volatile than the S&P 500, amplifying both upside and downside moves, which is critical for risk management.

Beta

1.55

1.55x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-21.3%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$11-$30

Price range past year

Annual Return

+130.9%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodWBD ReturnS&P 500
1m+0.4%+1.0%
3m-1.0%+7.9%
6m-5.4%+8.5%
1y+130.9%+20.1%
ytd-5.0%+9.9%

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WBD Fundamental Analysis

Revenue in the most recent quarter (Q4 2025) was $9.46 billion, down 5.7% year-over-year, continuing a trend of deceleration from the $10.03 billion reported in Q4 2024. The revenue mix shows distribution revenue ($4.70B) as the largest segment, followed by content licensing ($2.65B) and advertising ($1.41B), with the latter likely under pressure from linear network declines. The streaming segment (HBO Max) is a key growth driver, but overall revenue contraction raises concerns about the company's ability to stabilize its top line amid cord-cutting and competitive pressures. The company reported a net loss of $252 million in Q4 2025, though this improved from a loss of $494 million in Q4 2024. Gross margin was 30.2%, down from 44.9% in the year-ago quarter, reflecting higher content costs and mix shift. Operating margin was 5.7%, positive but compressed, while net margin was -2.7%, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. The company has been unprofitable on a GAAP basis for most recent quarters, but the trajectory shows narrowing losses, with Q2 2025 being an exception due to a $1.58 billion net income boost from non-recurring items. Free cash flow (FCF) was $1.38 billion in Q4 2025, bringing trailing twelve-month FCF to $3.09 billion, a strong cash generation capability. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.91, manageable but elevated, and the current ratio of 1.06 suggests adequate liquidity. ROE is 2.0%, reflecting low profitability relative to equity, but the company's ability to generate positive FCF provides a cushion for debt servicing and strategic investments.

Quarterly Revenue

$9.5B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

-5.7%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

30.2%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$3.1B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Advertising
Distribution Revenue
Content Licensing Contracts
Service, Other

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Valuation Analysis: Is WBD Overvalued?

Since net income is negative (TTM net loss), the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is the primary valuation metric. The trailing P/S ratio is 1.91x, while the forward P/S (based on estimated revenue of $39.14B) is approximately 1.82x, implying a slight discount to trailing. The gap suggests the market expects modest revenue growth or stabilization. Compared to the Communication Services sector average P/S of roughly 2.5x, Warner Bros. Discovery trades at a 24% discount, which may reflect its revenue contraction and profitability struggles. However, the EV/Sales ratio of 2.61x is higher than the P/S due to debt, indicating a more expensive enterprise-level valuation. Historically, the stock's P/S ratio has ranged from about 1.8x to 7.5x over the past five years. The current 1.91x is near the lower end of that range, suggesting the market is pricing in pessimistic expectations. This low multiple could represent a value opportunity if the company can stabilize revenue and improve margins, but it also reflects the structural challenges in linear media and the uncertainty surrounding the Paramount acquisition.

PE

99.4x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -82x~79x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

10.5x

Enterprise Value Multiple